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Estimates of this sort depend crucially on the rate at which other labs ship ASICs. A good guess is that the hashing power of the network will double monthly until whatever machines people have right now are barely worth running, but there's not a lot of certainty.


It seems that this will happen during the first or second quarter of 2014 at this rate of difficulty increase...


It seems at that point that it would be down to your power cost per hash.




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