Tether's latest report says that it held about $140 million more in assets than liabilities, out of a $78 billion liability. It also says it holds about $5 billion in cryptocurrencies. So a 3% fall in cryptocurrencies would make Tether literally insolvent--or about an averagely bad day in cryptocurrency.
Let that sink in for a minute: Tether, by its own admission is barely solvent, so barely solvent a single not-especially-bad day would render them insolvent.
Now consider that this barely solvent state has persisted for their entire reports--they've always cited a very-barely-solvent state of their finances. Given that Tether has already admitted to lying in the past (and essentially cooking the books to mislead the public into thinking they were solvent), and that the books always seem to come out just perfectly not-quite-insolvent despite investing in very volatile assets, is it more likely that Tether has somehow found an investment strategy that just barely keeps them solvent, or that they are in fact insolvent and using every it's-technically-not-lying trick they can to get people not to realize it?
For what it's worth, as far as I understand it, Tether's Tier 1 capital isn't 3.87% but... 0.0%. Nothing Tether has produced has indicated any capital that can be raided to provide extra assets in the case that assets lose value--note that such capital isn't a part of the asset/liability ratio.
Let that sink in for a minute: Tether, by its own admission is barely solvent, so barely solvent a single not-especially-bad day would render them insolvent.
Now consider that this barely solvent state has persisted for their entire reports--they've always cited a very-barely-solvent state of their finances. Given that Tether has already admitted to lying in the past (and essentially cooking the books to mislead the public into thinking they were solvent), and that the books always seem to come out just perfectly not-quite-insolvent despite investing in very volatile assets, is it more likely that Tether has somehow found an investment strategy that just barely keeps them solvent, or that they are in fact insolvent and using every it's-technically-not-lying trick they can to get people not to realize it?
For what it's worth, as far as I understand it, Tether's Tier 1 capital isn't 3.87% but... 0.0%. Nothing Tether has produced has indicated any capital that can be raided to provide extra assets in the case that assets lose value--note that such capital isn't a part of the asset/liability ratio.