1. Capital Gain taxes are delayed until you actually sell the stock.
2. Corporate taxes are being reduced because companies are moving profits to foreign jurisdictions.
3. Estate taxes & income taxes are being avoided by the creation of charitable foundations.
The 2nd and 3rd points are very valid, and I wish the author had spent more time on them. Unfortunately instead, the author spends much more time on point 1, conflating wealth with income, and avoiding the obvious argument that capital gains are eventually taxed - the rich are not escaping that.
...unless point 3 (foundation) occurs. And that should be the main story.
Squabbling over a wealth tax is not useful. The real issue is that the super rich create these personal "foundations" that act as never-taxed income holes, and then use them as personal and political tools.
In total, there's nothing very revealing about this article. It's everything we've already known. IMO, we need to curb foreign tax havens, and severely limit tax exemptions for charitable donations.
A more interesting question is how did ProPublica get a copy of Jeff Bezos' tax returns. Seems like a leak at the IRS?
> Capital Gain taxes are delayed until you actually sell the stock.
> Squabbling over a wealth tax is not useful.
I agree that a wealth tax is not the way to go. But there are other ways to skin this cat. The big takeaway I got from the article missing in your summary is that the wealthy take loans secured by unrealized gains in order to finance their lifestyle.
So what if we found a way to make a rule that using unrealized gains as collateral for a loan was, for tax purposes, the same as realizing the gains? (You might need to tweak the rule for fairness but the basic point remains.)
I think aggressively closing loopholes in the current code could go a long way (you mentioned a couple, like charitable donations and tax havens).
Capital gains being delayed is not a direction we want to pursue. There are huge problems with unsellable stock in venture-backed start-ups and other situations where you can end up owning a massively valued asset that you can't sell to pay the taxes on. Said asset could go to zero without you ever realizing money. I don't think people should lose their start-up stock over taxes, or face putting their entire wealth on the line on a gamble the company pays off. Keep in mind it's not unheard of to have stock worth $2+ million for an early employee in a company that goes to zero. Even more relatable to the average person: If your house price goes up too quickly you can be forced to sell to afford paying the capital gains on it.
To me, the parent wasn’t saying an asset holder would need to pay taxes on the asset unless they used it as collateral. To me, this makes a lot of sense. If someone owns a startup and worries tax implications would overextend them if the value was taxed, they shouldn’t use it as collateral on a loan.
I don't see why we care that they're using an asset as collateral for a loan. They still need to pay back that loan with post-tax money.
Maybe they're kicking the can down the road, but that's their choice.
The real issue here is that super rich are, at the end of that road, donating shares to their non-profits, tax free. ...and that their children then have access to that non-profit and all of its assets, again without income or estate tax.
The big hole here isn't the unrealized gains - it's the "charitable Foundations" that are a complete scam.
> They still need to pay back that loan with post-tax money.
Unless they pay back said loan with another loan. Given the massive amount of wealth accumulated, you can rinse and repeat indefinitely. Basically you have a free cash flow machine, without ever having to convert that income as proceeds (unless you want to convert between asset types).
Having said I agree with your main point: we need to close the loopholes, and the charitable foundations is the biggest of all, and sadly the article missed the point entirely.
> and that their children then have access to that non-profit and all of its assets, again without income or estate tax
That shouldn't matter as long as they don't start to enjoy the benefit of those assets.
This means tax rules should separate the estate as a business/investment from the personal use of the funds/wealth.
Sure, at some point it becomes neigh impossible, like let's say Bill and Melinda went to Africa on their marriage anniversary, was that business or personal? (And yes, at that level of wealth, influence, income it's always both.)
When an owner (or close relative or friend of an owner) of a family trusts/foundations/estates/NGOs/church/non-profit conducts business through said entity, that entity should pay some tax corresponding to said expense as if some part of that expense were income to the owner/relative/friend.
tldr; The rich, there kids and grandkids will never pay taxes under the current structure.
The problem is you're not kicking the can down the road, you are delaying it forever. Your entire 'Lifestyle' can be funded tax free. Instead of things being your assets, that you spent money on you could have a company plane, car, boat, house. Lavish dinners can be put on the company card as 'business meetings' and travel as 'Business Travel'. This is all taken out of your business profits and the best tax structure for a business is at a loss or barly profitable. Add that to the point OP made about taxing collateral loans is it would semi-eliminate the 'loophole' of never having to pay taxs.
Edit: One more point. Should a $1m donation to scientology be considered a tax writeoff?
Collateral for a loan is a completely separate point. The issue was taxing unrealized capital gains. Effectively if your house goes up $100,000 you'd owe the government the capital gains tax on $100,000 immediately, not when you sold. If you don't have the money to pay for the capital gains you're looking at selling the asset. Finding the money to pay capital gains while paying down a mortgage isn't a direction I'd want to go in.
As I understand the proposal, you wouldn't owe the tax on $100k immediately -- that would only happen when you use the house as collateral for a reverse mortgage or similar. This makes sense to me, because the capital gains are effectively realized when used as leverage.
Of course, in the USA, outside of California, this is essentially what we do.
We can argue about whether or not it's good, but its not unthinkable. Property taxes in most places (in the USA, the subject of the article) are linked to the current market value of real estate. Sometimes property values rise, taxes follow, and people have to move.
Property taxes are such a small portion of property value that they seldom force a move. Capital gains can be anywhere from 20-50% depending on country. Having your home go from 800,000 to 1,000,000 and having your property taxes go from 4000 to 5000 a year is very different from having your home go up 200,000 and suddenly owing the government 40,000 to 100,000 dollars.
I agree with you.
This makes even more sense as in: if a lender lends you $x against a collateral of N shares, this means that they consider that there is only a tiny chance that said shares may be worth less than $x before the maturity of the debt. So this means that for all practical purposes we could decide that there are at least $x of realised gains. (In a more extreme version you could even consider that all your shares, and not just the N shares used as collateral, should be valued at $x/N per share and treat the gain as a capital gain for tax purposes)
In your house example. this is only if the homeowner takes out a loan against the new increased value of the house, and then pays tax on a portion of that loan. If your house appreciates and you don't play financial games with it, the only increase in costs would come from a local tax reassessment.
I think it is assumed a wealth tax would not require taking out a loan. You can assume that your home would be exempt, but more likely it will just be a standard allowance deductable.
This isn't a new thing. Property taxes are the wealth tax that already exists, at large.
That is... You're point on a tax reassessment is exactly what is being discussed. And if the tax on your wealth is increased as a form of capital wealth, expect the rates to be higher that most property taxes.
Edit: I see I missed that this was a hypothetical on touching collateral. Not sure how I feel on that one. In large because I know so many folks are essentially tricked by marketing to refinance all the time.
I'd be happy if I could give a percentage of the shares themselves to the government as a tax payment (paying tax on the shares specifically), so I don't have to worry about the risk that they're overvalued by the tax agency.
You might be OK with being taxed in the form of some of your stocks, but would you want to be taxed partial ownership of your real estate based on increase in its market value? What about private high-risk equity in a venture you started by risking all of your own money? It could go to zero (or millions) in a decade, but for now the government becomes an increasing shareholder because of its current YoY volatility...
Taxing non-income wealth increases by any means incentivizes the government to manipulate the prices of those assets -- and more than any other entity, the government possesses the power to do so through regulation and legislation.
It also makes the government the eventual largest capital owner, which could create all sorts of unintended consequences. It could sit on those assets indefinitely (like it does its liabilities) instead of selling and using the money to fund itself. There's a special kind of poverty that exists when the government owns almost everything.
Also, there's a big difference between legal worth at a given time and fungible value at that time. The difference (or lack thereof) between the two could itself create all sorts of opportunities for gaming the system when fungible value becomes a basis for being taxed.
Unless you mean a series of leins incurred once a year based on price increases. But then an asset with high YoY volatility but no long-term gain would cause the lein sum to approach the value of the asset over many years, despite no material increase in price at exit. That makes no sense - the government profiting off of volatility alone.
If that's not what you mean, how is what you mean different from standard capital gains tax?
OK. You seem to be agreeing that this would be a fine system with those caveats.
So:
Exemptions specifically covering residency already exist in finance law. If you go bankrupt, you can still live in your house (only if you owned it, mind).
The government, as soon as practical, can auction the stock it receives. Thus identifying its value and releasing the funds.
> You seem to be agreeing that this would be a fine system with those caveats.
I'm not advocating anything in particular. I'm only pointing out some potentially serious issues with the proposed system.
Sure, primary residence could be excluded. But that doesn't change anything about what I said, except perhaps blunt the initial impact on the middle class.
> The government, as soon as practical, can auction the stock it receives. Thus identifying its value and releasing the funds.
Perhaps that could be part of the tax law. I doubt it would stay that way... once the government can own stocks and portions of real estate, I'm sure it will seek to incrementally increase its benefit from doing so. I shudder to imagine politician-beaurocrats as the most powerful hedge fund managers of tomorrow.
> once the government can own stocks and portions of real estate, I'm sure it will seek to incrementally increase its benefit from doing so.
There's nothing stopping the government from owning these things already (governments own plenty of real estate, in particular), so this seems like undue cynicism.
There's a big difference between agencies owning buildings within which to do business (or the BLM owning vast swaths of land for environmental preservation) and the IRS maintaining a real estate asset class.
In fact there's almost no comparison to be made between the two.
I don't think I've moved goalposts -- maybe just failed to articulate my concern precisely. (And only skimmed the article you linked.)
If the government purchases real estate with its own money and later sells it--fine by me. They have business to take care of and need places to do it.
What bothers me specifically would be a growing federal or state government stake in assets owned by others by virtue of a tax law that grants them such ownership.
I imagine whole swaths of businesses, apartments, and other buildings in cities across the US that are >50% owned by the government 40 years from now.
It would push us a lot closer to a world where people don't own anything anymore besides their own houses (maybe not even that) and the government owns everything.
> It would push us a lot closer to a world where people don't own anything anymore besides their own houses (maybe not even that) and the government owns everything.
I'm really struggling to understand this point of view, given the article that you couldn't be bothered to read says the US government owns 15% of all real estate already.
In my country, the reason that a lot of people own their houses is because the government sold its housing stock to residents in the 1980s and 1990s. That created a majority of homeowners, for the first time.
The fact that the government didn't replace this housing stock has been the cause of a massive generational rift, with a reduction in owner-occupancy from that peak, down to the point that a plurality of people (the vast majority of people under 45 - almost all young families) are now private renters in insecure housing situations.
While that same housing stock - originally built by the people, for the people - is increasingly dominated by exploitative for-profit landlords.
This would be a very interesting way to handle percentage taxation on assets like that.
Either pay %x in cash value or give %x percent of the item to the government.
Of course likely the government would just want to liquidate immediately but you could perhaps set it up as a "lien" on the stock/bond/property that gets satisfied at final sale.
For many situations it’s the same but there are cases where you have to pay tax on vesting Stock but have no way of selling the stock to pay the tax. It’s rare but it can occur.
It’s supposed to work out in the end as you have a higher basis at that point but you still have a liquidity issue.
So, unless I miss what you're saying, is that you propose that the government own a share in every business that is created by way of "taxation". Is that not what you're proposing in this statement?
Do they also get to leverage these shares to have a vote as to the business decisions, like any other share holder does? (assuming they have enough shares in this hypothetical share tax)
The government is taxing you anyway. I'm not proposing a new tax, I'm proposing more flexibility on how they accept payment. Right now, they only accept the taxes to be remitted in dollars.
For simple income tax, where you're paid in dollars and hand the government a percentage, that's fine.
But what if you're paying a tax on, say, some equity you were given in a startup?
This can cause huge trouble for people who have illiquid assets, like equity in a private company. You have to pay tax in dollars based on a guess of the value of that equity, even though you can't trade the equity for dollars (it's not liquid). When you eventually can sell the asset, like at an IPO, its assessed value could have decreased and it might be worth even less than the taxes you already had to pay on it.
That's the kind of gift you don't want to receive.
I'm suggesting that, for those who are worried about that risk, the government allow you the option of handing over a percentage of the asset instead. If it ends up being worthless paper, then the government gets nothing, but on the other hand that's also the correct amount for them to get because the tax on $0 should also be $0.
Most likely, the government would choose to (or perhaps by legislation could be compelled to) sell the asset at an IPO, but that's a detail. Perhaps they could also have an agency for managing and directing such assets in the public interest.
Not my idea, nor one I think is perfect, but I assume they are saying this would no be every company, just those where they would rather give shares than pay tax.
No doubt they would be loads of ways to scam this though, setting up supposedly valuable companies to 'pay' a big tax bill, then rinse the company or allow it to fail while diverting profit elsewhere.
I can't think of a way to scam it, as long as they only allow this method of payment for taxes assessed on the asset itself, rather than as a substitute method of payment for other taxes owed.
It would be an interesting idea to explore and could potentially be a massive boon to risky startups by allowing them to hand out equity more freely as incentives without worrying about the accompanying tax burden.
I was just saying, it sounds an awful lot like forced communism through taxation. A share in a company is a portion and a vote in a company, however small.
So the government would then be partial owner to your restaurant or mechanic shop? The government would then be partial owner to your catering business or flower store?
I cannot think of a more complicated mess as the government being part-owner of half the small businesses in America.
No, you wouldn't. Unrealized gains being taxed would eventually make you declare bankruptcy or live on the street. The government wouldn't let you pay in stock but sell stock yourself.
In this case, the value is not well defined. If you don't have a market, you cannot determine the value. You may think it's extremely valuable, but if you have no one else willing to recognize that value, then it doesn't really exist.
It is a bogus valuation... as it is not market based. If you can't sell the stock, and nobody wants to buy it, (yes, there are startups that are in this position), then that valuation is mostly wishful thinking.
Often the valuation undervalues the company as well, but that's another story.
It's not easy to get a loan against illiquid assets in many cases. And even if you get a loan, if the asset goes to zero you still owe the loan balance, which could be huge compared to your normal finances. And you pay interest on that loan.
It could work in some cases but I don't see how it's the same as selling stock A and buying stock B.
I think we'd want that tax income because a dollar today is more valuable than a dollar tomorrow - making sure we increase cash flow in the short term and stabilize expected cash flow allows us to more accurately set the budget.
> You may never have future gains to match the loss.
C'est la vie. That's how Capital Loss deductions, Electric Vehicle credits and other non-refundable tax credits currently work: individuals may not have enough upside to maximize their benefits, That's just how the system works as it is impossible to balance everyone's competing scenarios. If you are eligible for a $7500 EV credit but only paid $3000 in taxes, you'll only get that $3000 back, and not the full $7500.
Or, perhaps, stop accepting payment that may be valueless when you try to access it. And stop trying to get paid in a way that hides your income from the tax system.
I've seen this idea posted a few times without data, and it isn't convincing. The wealthy need to pay back those loans, and realize gains in order to do so. Sure, they can maintain a higher average debt/expenses ratio collateralized by unrealized gains, but the real problems here are:
1. When they do realize gains, the tax brackets are severely broken such that someone realizing $2Billion in capital gains pays a lower effective rate than someone with 1/10000th that number in income.
2. We live in a financial environment in which the Fed will rescue the stock market no matter what, creating asset inflation and making this a relatively reliable strategy, whereas there should be more theoretical risk in doing this. Bear markets, albeit painful, are the only times in recent history where wealth inequality decreases as the economy corrects and reallocates capital [0]. Staving them off at all costs for the last few decades via easy monetary policy is arguably one of the greatest contributors to the rise in wealth inequality, alongside poorly graduated income tax brackets and (to a lesser degree) automation.
There's another aspect to consider, perhaps: nowadays it's very easy to get to get that kind of loans with low, low interest rates, well below average market returns. So, if you have a large collateral, you could just use a chunk of the loan to repay interest. I hope my math is not wrong, but if you borrow $100K with a 3% APR — even mere millionaires can get better terms than that — after 10 years, you've had to pay "only" $35K in interests. You could use part of the original loan to pay that, or you could get a new one, assuming your collateral has appreciated. Neither of those require realizing gains, right? You just keep pushing them into the future, until you finally die and your heirs' cost basis gets reset.
In many of the cases of those loans, they are structured to be payable only after the death of the person receiving the loans. And at that moment the cost basis for all of the investments goes to the price at the end of the day of death... bypassing all of the capital gains taxes. That is the real problem there.
I do completely agree that treating capital gains more favorably than earned income is just crazy (even though I personally benefit from it).
I don't think the loans actually need to be structured like that to achieve the same effect. You can just pay off the loan by taking out another loan.
There would be some risk that you couldn't get another loan, but if you're only borrowing 10% of your net worth, it's probably an extremely small risk.
Related to the topic, what is interesting, is Switzerland home loans. When usually countries have max periods of 20-30 years, Switzerland has periods of 50-100 years, so you very well would not pay it back before end of your life.
>I've seen this idea posted a few times without data, and it isn't convincing. The wealthy need to pay back those loans, and realize gains in order to do so.
No they don't. The article even describes how they use income to pay for that, and then use the interest paid to avoid write off paying any income tax:
>Borrowing offers multiple benefits to Icahn: He gets huge tranches of cash to turbocharge his investment returns. Then he gets to deduct the interest from his taxes. In an interview, Icahn explained that he reports the profits and losses of his business empire on his personal taxes.
You don't get to deduct interest for personal loans, and mortgages interest deductions have been limited to interest on 750K principal since 2017 (this article is picking examples that are no longer relevant.)
The whole article is full of logical fallacies and focusing on the wrong thing to drum up outrage. E.g. I do not care that Bezos didn't pay any taxes in some year where he sold no assets and received no income. What matters is what the tax brackets levy on wealthy people when they do liquidate, which are currently a complete joke and cap out at a number thousands of times lower than the highest earners.
This would also affect most home owners. They purchase a home, it goes up in value, and they refinance or take a second loan rather than sell the property. The wealthy do this as well with property, art, and securities. Trying to tax unrealized gains (like a home that has appreciated in value) would be a new mess of tax legislation with holes you could drive a semi-truck through.
The special treatment is at the time of sale. My comments were in response to taxing the appreciation at the time of a new loan (such as taking a second mortgage).
The idea is to treat a loan against an asset with capital gains as a sale. So one would have to pay taxes out of the loan and then you get a stepped up basis.
The exact rules could be tweaked to keep it from being a burden on families taking a second mortgage, e.g. if you borrow less than a certain amount in the tax year perhaps the rule doesn't apply. Use your imagination.
This sort of wealth tax probably would be targeted at amounts over a $5-50M threshold so it would never hit the primary residence of anyone except billionaires, who could surely pay cash.
So we’ve created one loophole. What if I buy multiple properties below the threshold? Is the limit per household? If so, does this apply to people heavily leveraged with little net worth who own many rental properties? The rent is income, but they often make improvements to the homes and take a cash-out refinance to pay for the cash down payment on a new property. If we do this to homes, and the wealthy move their money to a new place, such as venture capital, do we try and re-price those illiquid assets each year? If one IPO’s and they take a loan against the stock to buy a home, do you give them their previous year’s mark-to-market payment back to them if the stock goes down the following year and they get a margin call? I’m just going through a few scenarios but this would quickly inflate the tax code to an almost unmanageable state without creating just as many more new loopholes. Imagine trying to grow a startup and being worth X on paper with no actual gains or money in the bank. If you don’t include it, it suddenly becomes a tool for someone else to use within the assets you’ve excluded. If you don’t exclude it, you may force an early sale of promising new businesses to their competitors to cover a tax bill on the unrealized gains.
> The rent is income, but they often make improvements to the homes and take a cash-out refinance to pay for the cash down payment on a new property.
This is pretty much the situation that the tax is designed to combat - people using their assets to increase their wealth without paying taxes. So yes, if you did that, you would need to pay taxes on the new money in the refinance. I don't see an issue if that makes this business model unprofitable or untenable.
> If we do this to homes, and the wealthy move their money to a new place, such as venture capital, do we try and re-price those illiquid assets each year?
There's no need to price anything. You value the assets put up as collateral as the amount of the loan they are securing.
> If one IPO’s and they take a loan against the stock to buy a home, do you give them their previous year’s mark-to-market payment back to them if the stock goes down the following year and they get a margin call?
Nope. It's just like selling and immediately re-purchasing.
> Imagine trying to grow a startup and being worth X on paper with no actual gains or money in the bank.
Ok, but nothing happens unless you borrow against it. I'm not sure what scenario you are imagining here.
> There's no need to price anything. You value the assets put up as collateral as the amount of the loan they are securing.
People take out loans for much more or less than the value of the collateral. Do we ban that, or do we open up another tax/laundering loophole by letting the official value of a property diverge arbitrarily from a hypothetical sale value?
The taxable amount would be the loan amount, not the value of the property. The loan is trivial to value. If the property later sells for less than the loan amount then it would be a capital loss that could be carried forward from there.
> The big takeaway I got from the article missing in your summary is that the wealthy take loans secured by unrealized gains in order to finance their lifestyle.
Which they have to pay back with post tax money. I don't see a problem here. At best this is tax deferral until capital gains are realized, something we allow for good reason - paying real money to cover tax on paper gains (which could vanish) is a problem, and could even force you into giving away an illiquid asset because you can't afford the tax on it.
They're gambling their stock will perform better than the interest rate on the loan. That's a reasonable gamble.
Unless they die first. If heirs hold on to inherited property for a while (2 years?) they can sell it at the cost basis reset to the value at the time they inherited. They pay back the loan with the before-death gains untaxed. The original buyer got to effectively realize their gains via loans, untaxed.
We bought a house last year and I was forced by QuickenLoans to liquidate my Tesla positions, that appreciated 5x and incurred short term capital gains. Were I richer, I could have avoided liquidating my long positions and pay proportionally less in taxes.
The most annoying part is that in the end they didn't even need all of my stock portfolio liquidated, only about 30% to cover closing costs. Yet I got hit by a 5 figure tax bill because of it.
In short - the system literally setup to extract as much as possible out of everyone, other than the wealthiest/most powerful. And that includes banks, government and lenders.
Exactly, they are just delaying taxation. If their investments return less than loan interest, they will need to begin selling assets to pay the loans. If their equity compounds at a rate higher than the interest rate, then they can continue to defer until death where they can pass on to heirs and take advantage of basis step-up.
The interest being tax deductible isn't too bad. If they had to pay taxes on the capital gains as soon as they borrowed against it, it would be a fine way for them to finance their lifestyle
By virtue of being rich, they get loans to further increase their wealth, and then reduce their taxes because of the interest on that wealth increase.
If people really understood how this all essentially boils down to the rich not having to pay taxes, purely by being wealthy and being given loans on it, they'd riot tomorrow.
There are rumours that some wealthy people are in sufficiently dire straits that the loan-based vehicle for a flash lifestyle is now supported only by a very small number of banks (for them) and their debt instruments are valued well below a 1:1 rate.
It would be interesting to see what happened if a sufficient amount of that debt was bought up and forced to be repaid.
There were some discussions around this soon after the 2016 US presidential election, stating that the president-elect only had 1-2 banks willing to offer loans. As well as indicating that the estimated market value of the debt instruments was around 72 cents per USD. But, it being around 4-5 years ago, I only have vague memories and hearsay.
If you take loans secured by unrealized gains, don't you need to eventually sell some of those gains to repay the loan? You can only take out so many loans until the interest starts stacking up.
You can manipulate the payment of taxes and only pay off the loans when you have other offsets to avoid paying taxes. 9 years no taxes, year 10 I pay off my loans and donate a chair to a University.
Because they don't work. Many EU countries have attempted them and they have all failed. There are a host of issues with wealth taxes, one of which is simply placing value on illiquid assets is difficult. How much is that rare art price worth? Well no one knows until you put it on the market. Then there are issues with immaterial things like rights, that would be very tricky to value. What if you had the rights to all of Bill Cosby's recorded stand-up acts? That could have been valued highly before the rape convictions, now it is essentially worthless. A wealth tax would just create a battle of litigation between the wealthy and IRS, and the wealthy would win. The real solution is to just have a VAT like every other developed nation in the world, is the only way to get slice of the pie from the wealthy.
Many of these things are already valued, including some by the government such as lot of real estate. We can work to use those valuations. We can make it so insurance companies need to report valuations to the government for example. A painting worth 7 figures is going to be listed in some insurance policy. Report that number to the government and there is no legal argument to be had. Either it is being overvalued for insurance fraud purposes or undervalued for tax fraud purposes. The conflicting incentives should yield a relatively accurate valuation.
We also don’t need to make perfect the enemy of the good. We don’t need to account for absolutely every piece of wealth if we cover the big ones. We can also continue to revise these tax policies as new loopholes are discovered and exploited.
Major components of the economy are not valued regularly, e.g. private businesses. Sure, if a buyer paid $10MM last week for a private business, we might say it's worth $10MM today. But what about a business that was started from scratch by the founder? Or one that was last sold 30 years ago? Or one in a very niche industry?
Put simply, valuation is not only a science, but an art... and it's an expensive art. The cost and difficulty of administration alone would be reason enough to steer clear of a wealth tax.
Lastly, although I'm not a fan of higher taxes on anyone, even simply a more progressive income tax would make more sense than a wealth tax.
We aren’t talking about the economy as a whole or $10m businesses. The wealth tax wouldn’t care about values that low. We can start by focusing on billionaires. Most of those people own businesses that are either publicly traded or have some type of semi-public valuation.
I'll give you this: If you only applied a wealth tax to the wealthiest-of-the-wealthy, say billionaires only, the number of individuals might be small enough such that it's not an insane administration challenge. Forbes lists about 600 billionaires in the USA, so I'd guesstimate there are actually 1,200 (I know of at least three individuals who'd, conservatively, be worth at least $1B... but they're not on any list because they own under-the-radar non-VC companies).
I'm not a fan of taxes on most stocks (eg wealth) rather than flows (eg income). But if you held a gun to my head and said "design a wealth tax!", I'd set the minimum wealth far above the $32MM proposed by Bernie Sanders or $50MM proposed by Elizabeth Warren.
And keep in mind, even if there are actually only 1,200 billionaires in the US, a number of people slightly below the threshold will still have to be analyzed; I might not know if I'm worth $800MM and owe no wealth tax or $1.2B and owe tax on $200B of wealth.
Arguing that one valuation is too low/high is and admission that the valuation is wrong and you are therefore open to accusations of fraud. So maybe “no legal argument” is an oversimplification, but no reasonable legal argument can be made without an admission that the other party needs to update their valuation in their benefit.
Most European countries, including Switzerland, still have them. They do work with some limits. And they are absolutely necessary to prevent that, once you have made money, you can profit for the rest of your life including future generations.
If there is no form of weath + inheritance tax, a feudal society is unavoidable.
I don't see the problem. As long as there is 2% inflation that wealth needs to be put to work in a way that ends up employing someone, therefore the employee benefits from the existence of the wealth that someone else carried hundreds of years into the future.
> As long as there is 2% inflation that wealth needs to be put to work in a way that ends up employing someone
What exactly do you mean by this? Holding wealth in bars of gold doesnt need to employee anyone (if you have enough of them, you might want security personnel, but you could also just own a Gold ETF or something).
The Dutch (notoriously not the most Socialist of the lot) tax office assumes that any wealth above a certain “pocket money” stash, your first house and lifelong savings (money you effectively lock out of your reach until you reach pension) are invested and therefore taxed at ~20% on the assumed ~2% ROI.
How do you separate wealth building from consumption? If you buy 10 art pieces that could be an investment or an aesthetic/decorating choice. If you buy a TV it's almost certainly going to be worth nothing in a a few years.
Your overall point is right, a wealth tax would be massively complex. In all honesty it's probably only worth implementing on billionaires (and using some of the funds raised for beefing up the IRS legal team and auditors).
One thing I want to point out, the reason why 'wealth taxes have always failed' is because it's against the interests of the wealthy, and the wealthy are powerful. Look how scared republicans are of grover norquist and the billionaires that back him. It's hard not to argue the same thing is happening in the EU as well.
Billionaires are largely majority shareholders in corporations. I'd say that's a fine place to look. Maybe the IRS can look at the assets of anyone who's suspected to be worth 750M or more. Again, as I said, you could fund better enforcement of this by funding an IRS task force who's job it is to find and tax them. I can't believe something so simple as 'billionaires should pay more than 23% (or whatever it is) taxes are controversial, but here we are.
I especially love how the Koch brothers effectively funded an astroturf campaign that hijacked the republican party, to get blue collar folks to argue against taxes on the 1%. That is some rich irony.
Nobody is saying they shouldn't pay taxes. People are saying they shouldn't be taxed on their wealth partially because anybody with an inkling of historic knowledge knows that a wealth tax will be coming to the masses shortly thereafter. Taxes are already far too complicated.
It's not that hard to find a price for a rare art piece, or almost any other asset.
Make the owner declare its value, tax it at the value. But anyone can buy it at that price. If they want to keep it, they'll need to value it correctly, and thus it will get taxed correctly.
This a worse idea than the Jump to Conclusions mat.
I have to choose a price for all of my assets and then anyone could just be like 'yeah, I'll buy at that price' and take it from me? What if I bought the assets for the hope of it maybe being worth something in 5-10 years? Do I prematurely announce 'yeah, it's worth the price in 5-10 years that I hope it will be', and pay an enormous tax on something that's not a guarantee it will ever go to that price, just to keep other people from buying it from me if I announced what the market value is now? (And also I'm not allowed to keep any assets at market value unless I announce it's worth more to me?)
Ugh. Never get in a position where you could feasibly propose this in government, please.
Your reply could have been written to be a lot less insulting and assume I'm aware of policy implications of this proposal but did not choose delve into 150 years of research in a two line reply on HN.
I wasn't proposing that this become policy for all assets. Would it allow you to accurately assess the price of rare high valued art for the purposes of a wealth tax -- yes. It would also allow you to value other assets as well, but there are drawbacks.
I don't think your example of speculation is particularly good example of a drawback though. If you need to set the price at X so that someone doesn't buy it from you now, then that means its value is indeed just below X (assuming you've set X correctly).
If you're the only person in the world you thinks that the value of your asset will be 10X in 10 years, then you can safely set the value at X now and nobody will buy it from you. If you aren't the only person in the world who thinks this and someone is willing to buy it from you now for 2X, then I guess the value of the asset right now is 2X.
It sounds ridiculous on the face of it to me (one exception: in board games. There's something similar in board games like Isle of Skye where you set a price for tiles that you must pay if other players don't buy them from you, but that's just a 45 minute board game for victory points, not real physical assets)
But I'm willing to read more about the idea, if you have an article or two that makes a good case for your proposal, please post and I'll give it a look.
I saw in another comment someone called it the Harberger tax, and linked to a 66 page paper that I'm just not going to read for the sake of an internet post.
I could have been less antagonistic in my reply, I apologize for that.
I do think you're overestimating how well people can judge, individually, what something is worth accurately on declaration, both now and in the future, especially if it's an asset they don't ever want to part with.
But again, I'd be happy to read articles from experts that make a case for this.
Neither of these is particularly short and still don't address all (or even many) of the practical issues. As with most real policy and law, I don't think something can be both short and cover all the real world cases. There's unfortunately a reason most laws are really long.
I believe the chapter of the book addresses the issue of how will people know what values to set. In addition to the solution proposed in the book, another alternative (of mine), is to allow people to pay some amount of retroactive tax. Let's say someone tries to buy the asset from you for your set price, but you don't want to sell. You can raise the price to some amount the buyer no longer wants to pay, but since you were underpaying taxes on the asset, you need to make them up.
Would such a proposal probably mean people set lower prices than are correct -- yes; would it still make sense for things like homes -- yes.
I'll at least check out the video. I can put that on in the background while I'm doing dishes later. Thanks for the links.
Also specifically for houses, at what point are you expected to make such a declaration? You don't really own the house until you've completely paid off the mortgage on it. Until then it really belongs to the bank or mortgage lender. So does that mean you're free to not make such a declaration until your 30 year mortgage is up? And what if you take out a second mortgage on the property during that time?
We're designing the system, so I think we can choose what makes the most sense. I think regardless of whether or not you have taken out a loan (collateralized or not), you would still need to declare a value right away.
In a case where you have a collateralized loan to purchase the asset, I imagine the lender could require the value you set to be at least the value left on the loan. (But the lender probably shouldn't be allowed to set the value beyond that stipulation.)
I also want to say that I definitely do not have all the answers for all the possible policy issues that might or will come up. I enjoy trying to think them through, so the first attempt might have problems and the cycle of finding those problems and fixing them will eventually lead to something that hopefully works well.
It's a completely ridiculous policy that would require enumerating every item in history and deciding if people are able to buy it from you.
My fridge? My dog? My shoes? My car? My bike? My boat? My model railroad set? My grandmothers ashes? My underwear? Oops I accidentally undervalued my gaming computer on my taxes and now people are knocking on my door.
You'd end up with a document 3 million pages long and vengeful neighbors and exes buying each others items to fuck with each other. You're calling it a strawman argument, but these are actual things that would have to be addressed.
No amount of "delving into 150 years of research" gets around all the massive, massive holes in your ridiculous idea.
When you come up with a problem (in seconds) with a policy (especially one described in essentially one line), ask yourself, what reasonable change could I make to the original idea to make it more reasonable.
For example, you could easily say that only assets that would be declared as having a value over X amount need to be declared in this way. Choose X to be somewhere in the neighborhood of a house, and you would get almost all the value of such a policy without any of the drawbacks you just listed.
You still have a massive massive number of loop-holes to fill and complexities to answer for.
Does my collection of rare coins count as one asset as a whole, or individual assets that are each under X amount? Who decides what my random painting is worth so I know if I have to declare it? What happens when my asset depreciates?
Also, once you go to X being "somewhere in the neighborhood of a house" you lose a TON of taxable income with this policy to the point where it's probably not worth it. You're not going to gain much money taxing a few mega-yachts and rare paintings, especially when you have to include the money spent dealing with more complicated taxes and audits.
We can just raise income and capital gains taxes instead and it's a whole lot easier. Wealth taxes that include assets are so fragile and complicated.
The purpose of a wealth tax is (mostly) not to raise revenue, it is to provide a downward pressure on the wealth of the wealthiest individuals.
I also think you're making a poor estimate of what the distribution of wealth looks like. Yes, there are lots of small items, but the vast majority of wealth is stored in items/things/land/etc. of significant value. Perhaps more than anything it is stored as equity in companies. For income taxes the top 1 percent paid a greater share of individual income taxes (38.5 percent) than the bottom 90 percent combined (29.9 percent). For wealth the distribution is even more skewed.
I agree there are a lot of things to figure out. That was and is true of our current system too. At one point the rules for all its loop-holes didn't exist and they had to be created and that didn't happen overnight.
If your asset depreciates, then you say its worth less next year. You decide what your random painting is worth. If you don't report an asset that should be reported, I can see multiple mechanisms:
(1) You sell it for more than X. At this point it becomes clear it should have been reported and back taxes are owed.
(2) You bought it for X. If you don't report, questions would be asked.
(3) There is no record of purchase and you never sell it. You might avoid paying taxes. I'm not sure what assets of significant value (over $500K) would fall into this category.
I don't have a great answer completely off the cuff about how to deal with things like a collection of rare coins. Perhaps the best answer is the easiest answer: they are just treated separately.
> The purpose of a wealth tax is (mostly) not to raise revenue, it is to provide a downward pressure on the wealth of the wealthiest individuals.
Sorry, what? Taxes should always be about raising money for various projects that benefit the country. If we can't see eye-to-eye on that I don't think we'll find common ground here. I'm not looking to punish rich people for being too rich. I'm looking to fund public projects like healthcare, infrastructure, and education.
If we have different goals that are both achieved by the same means, I don't see the problem.
I think raising money through the tax is important, but I think a more important long-term function of a wealth tax is to ensure that large fortunes eventually revert to the mean rather than sustaining in perpetuity for generations. (Unless they continue to be invested with above average returns for generations.)
Also - there are many taxes that exist not for the purpose of raising revenue, but for the purpose of a policy goal. To deny this would be to deny how a great deal of how modern public policy works.
Can you imagine the day that you declare a value on your house and the following week someone much richer than you comes along and tells you to "beat it; I just bought this place!"
One can imagine reasonable policies around things like housing, my original two line reply was not meant to detail all the ways this would for all types of assets.
I don't think anyone would have much of a problem with the simplistic scheme applied to rare art though.
I do have a problem with that. I would prefer the Mona Lisa to remain in the hands of the Louvre than be regularly auctioned off. I would prefer American Gothic to remain in the hands of the Art Institute of Chicago, etc.
I’m trying to imagine the reasonably predictable response to the policy that you sketched out. Removing private property rights is not a casual undertaking I agree and would require substantial thought and care, perhaps too much to be practically workable.
Your replies so far don't seem to indicate you gave much thought to how such a system would reasonably work -- as evidenced by the assumption that art owned by charities or governments (institutions which don't pay tax) would also be up for auction.
There are already laws that would make such abuse illegal. Abuse of charities is not a new problem.
I'm not a lawyer - but it seems like one obvious factor would take into account where the artwork purchased by the charity resides. Is it in a private residence? A freeport? Probably not really a charity.
Is it hanging on the wall in the Art Institute of Chicago? Might be fine.
Then the question is what happens if the charity tries to sell it back to a private collector at some future point. Might be allowed as long as back taxes are paid assuming some appreciation schedule.
I think the more general point is that policy is _hard_, and to assume that something doesn't work because you've thought about it for 2.5 seconds is probably a bad assumption to make. Most of our existing laws/policies would be similarly easy to attack if distilled to one sentence. There's a reason actual policy and laws are really long.
Yes, policy is hard. That’s the exact same reason that when you think “it’s not that hard to find a price for a rare…”, you probably still have a lot more thinking ahead of you than behind you.
That comment was meant to be taken in theoretical sense not that I had the text of a law ready to go into effect tomorrow. I'm well aware there's plenty more thinking to be done.
You however, seem to think that because you can find a corner case in a two line proposal, the whole thing has no merit.
Would do wonders for the Bay Area housing market! On a serious note, this proposal was originally coupled with a pretty radical (from our point of view) approach to land ownership. Land is closer to zero-sum than many other things (ignoring artificial islands etc.), so this forces a more efficient pricing/land use at the expense of doing away with private property rights for land.
Worried that a competitor is catching up or threatening your market? Use your cash reserves to buy their factory out from under them. Don’t bother competing with Tesla, just make sure they can’t keep going once they get a little traction.
Imagine a reasonable policy rather than simplistic worst possible policy strawman. There are already many many laws that prevent abusive transactions in the current system, there's no reason that there wouldn't need to be similar laws to prevent abuse here either.
Do you have a source for this? People keep repeating this over and over, but I have never seen a shred of evidence for it. It seems some people have just decided that they hate inheritance and thats just it, no evidence required.
I would encourage you to look at the most unequal countries in the world by wealth. You may find it surprising that none of them are "feudal".
Edit: I don't mean to be snarky, apologies if it comes off that way. Unfounded ideas just bother me, and I would love to gain new perspective forming info.
He said "feudal-like". One of the key aspects of feudal society is an aristocratic elite that controls almost all the property and rents it out to the rest of the population.
Take a look at the current housing market craze where wealthy/institutional buyers are taking advantage of low interest rates to buy properties with all-cash, inspection-waived offers above asking price, in some cases whole neighborhoods at a time, so as to rent them out. This is a privilege unavailable even to the upper middle class, and could very well turn into a sort of neo-feudalism if left unchecked.
It's also not unprecedented for companies to own entire towns and pay employees in company "scrip" that was only redeemable at company stores, a practice which lasted well into the 1950s and (after some googling) apparently was tried by the Mexican subsidiary of Walmart as recently as 2008.
Looking at the broader state of the economy, wages have been stagnant for decades; property, healthcare & childcare (at least in the US) and education are more expensive than ever. With the exception of food, everything that matters in life is more unattainable for the average person, and everything that doesn't matter is super-cheap, with no signs of those trends reversing. How does that not turn into a form of neo-feudalism if left unchecked?
The last time we "checked" it (in the US) it took decades of labor protests/riots that often turned bloody and the effects of a couple of world wars. Historically plagues (that actually kill a lot of people indiscriminately) and wars are just about the only re-distributive methods that have proven successful in the long term. Unless we want a repeat of some real nasty history, we need a historically unprecedented way to redistribute wealth.
You should sort the list to notice that at the top of the list are countries that are aristocratic monarchies or pseudo monarchical aristocracies.
The Netherlands topping the list has average house prices at EUR 400k(massive spike in prices in the last year), while average annual income(pre tax) is EUR 60k.
Your argument doesn't seem to agree with the evidence.
Feudal economies were actually powered by wealth taxes. So putting in a wealth tax won't do anything to avoid it becoming a feudal society. Further, confiscatory taxes[0] (of which wealth taxes are but one type) are favored by dictatorial regimes throughout history. I don't think we want to go down that road.
Wikipedia has a great summary on feudal taxes[1], and they are based on wealth (usually land and hides). It's actually a pretty good summary of a long period of time, and a complex topic to begin with.
A tax on wealth is heinous, and in the long run won't work. First of all, how do you define wealth? An average over the year, end of year, middle of year? Who defines it? Part of the problem is wealth doesn't really mean anything. You can claim something is with X but until you actually sell it, it really isn't worth anything.
The other issue is, I could work hard, build a company up, make the same income as the previous year, but now my wealth had increased because my company increased. So I gave to pay more taxes?
Or I own some collectible that goes up in value, and I have to pay more taxes just because someone out there wants what I have?
No, a wealth tax is criminal.
Exactly. The strategic problem here is that the changes that took place in the Vietnam era and 80s ultimately creates a concentration of capital and power that is beyond anything we’ve seen since Roman times.
In the mid-term we’re looking at some sort of weird hybrid plutocrat/government hybrid with an American flavor and a Chinese flavor. Everyone else is in the middle with the scraps.
> So what if we found a way to make a rule that using unrealized gains as collateral for a loan was, for tax purposes, the same as realizing the gains? (You might need to tweak the rule for fairness but the basic point remains.)
Lenders will quickly adapt to give loans without requiring collateral
The most politically tenable way to end long term unrealized gains is
1. drop the corporate tax rate to 0%. Most notably, these corporations would follow the REIT tax policy that requires them to distribute > 90% of taxable income to shareholders.
2. Move Social Security and Medicare into the Progressive Income Tax (it being flat on income is regressive)
3. Offset #1 and #2 with a higher income tax (especially for capital gains)
For (1) You can set up pass thru entities that pay 0% tax and distribute 100% of their profits. The income is then taxed as regular income by the shareholders.
> A more interesting question is how did ProPublica get a copy of Jeff Bezos' tax returns. Seems like a leak at the IRS?
Yes the actual tax records are what make the story interesting, even if the data only confirms what “everyone knows” — at least there’s actual data and empirical analysis of the scope.
According to this accompanying explainer, the leak is anonymous:
> A second question certain to arise is the motives and identity of the source who has provided this data to ProPublica. We live in an age in which people with access to information can copy it with the click of a mouse and transmit it in a variety of ways to news organizations. Many years ago, ProPublica and other news organizations set up secure systems that allow whistleblowers to transmit information to us without revealing their identity.
> We do not know the identity of our source. We did not solicit the information they sent us. The source says they were motivated by our previous coverage of issues surrounding the IRS and tax enforcement, but we do not know for certain that is true. We have considered the possibility that information we have received could have come from a state actor hostile to American interests. In particular, a number of government agencies were compromised last year by what the U.S. has said were Russian hackers who exploited vulnerabilities in software sold by SolarWinds, a Texas-based information technology company. We do note, however, that the Treasury Department’s inspector general for tax administration wrote in December that, “At this time, there is no evidence that any taxpayer information was exposed” in the SolarWinds hack.
I’m all for people paying taxes they owe. I’m against vigilante style leaks when the target hasn’t committed a crime.
Just because the person is not a sympathetic figure doesn’t mean it gives people the right to leak this kind of info, be they Bezos, Clinton, Soros, Koch, Gates, etc. get them on actual evasion if they have.
Otherwise what’s the purpose, rich people use tools to minimize their taxes? Ok, publish what the tools are and promote change in the tax code.
I don't think these vague emotional statements are constructive.
The rules outlined in the article apply to everyone, not just the rich, and they should be fixed for everyone, not just the rich.
In this case leaking Jeff Bezos' tax returns targeted one individual and provided no new useful information. It's exactly what we already expected about his taxes.
...and frankly, the "rich are evil - look how they don't pay taxes on unrealized gains" is a huge distraction from fixing the actual problems with the tax system.
We need to eliminate foreign tax havens, and severely limit non-profit "Foundations".
Rules aren’t set in stone, they can change based on leaks like this.
Assuming people find this information objectionable that’s a reasonable justification to publish. In much the same way that leaking classified documents about questionable activities is morally justified, though illegal. Otherwise stamping secret on any evidence of say torture would work.
and a lot of less famous leaks of restricted information that have led to exposure and sometimes even justice for people who otherwise would have hid behind "legal" defenses for immoral or flat out illegal acts of their own?
I served in the Navy - I had a prety high clearance just to do the job I did. I know the value of classifying or otherwise restricting information. And I know the value of breaking those rules to expose those who would hide their crimes.
I consider the current tax code a recipe/playbook/script for stealing from the American public.
You are presenting an example of government cover ups or crimes. This is not the government doing something wrong, not even a private person doing something wrong.
It’s simple some vigilante having a vendetta against someone they don’t like and using illegal mans to skewer them.
The case they have is known. We know the loopholes. Let's as close them. Don’t go out on personal or vendettas of virtue when it aids nothing. There is nothing new here. Jeff, as much as I dislike his company, didn’t commit a crime.
> It’s simple some vigilante having a vendetta against someone they don’t like and using illegal mans to skewer them.
If the leak's target did nothing illegal or unethical with their taxes, then how are they being skewered? Their taxes would just show them to be an upstanding, law-abiding citizen, right?
So sure, you can claim all you like that we already knew about these holes, but abstract arguments and aggregate data are far less persuasive and motivating than specific examples that clearly show the stark reality.
Or are you forgetting how the George Floyd video galvanized a world-wide movement despite everyone already "knowing" that racism is bad, that it exists, that police training is subpar and that bad cops kill people of colour?
You mean ordinary people might develop a bad view of the untouchably wealthy because of the system they created to preserve their wealth? Cry me a river.
Should we extract more taxes from them, yes, arguably. But we don't have to resort to blackmail or other underworld tactics since it really accomplishes nothing other than momentary outrage by the mob.
You don’t actually become extremely wealthy by creating wealth, you become wealthy by extracting wealth from other people’s work.
Either by inheriting it or some business arrangement where you keep value created by other people. Bill Gates for example didn’t code Windows 7 himself. JK Rawlings didn’t print millions of Harry Potter books or even produce the movies etc. Sorts superstars don’t build stadiums or collect ticket sales etc.
This is most obvious with investments dividends. As such thinking of capital gains as the fruit of their effort is really kind of a silly idea.
the more appropriate comparison in your case would be an open marriage where one partner complains the other is cheating. They set up the rules then complain someone is taking advantage of the rules.
I myself would like Jeff to pay more in taxes. I think the super wealthy pay too little in terms of parentage, but I should be upset with the Congress/IRS not the wealthy.
PS: To better use your analogy, suppose rich guy X, had an open relationship with their spouse (the government) and then started dating someone without mentioning their marriage. That’s much closer to what’s going on because it’s not a question of if what they did was legal but rather the secretary around it and the impact on society.
No, because it’s not the government complaining. The people complaining didn’t create the rules as such the rules are irrelevant to their complaint.
Really, it’s not a question of laws but one of obligations to society as a whole. Because society and the government are different entities but society depends on it’s government.
That something is legally within the bounds of the US tax code is public knowledge.
That ultra-wealthy utilize something to an extent is not public knowledge.
Which cuts to one of the central issues with viewing the US tax code as democratic: there's almost no transparency of use.
The public might feel very different about a particular tax rule if they knew small businesses primarily used it, vs if they knew major corporations used it to shield 90% of their profits.
The IRS should do a better job of anonymizing actual tax reports, and reporting out on patterns in aggregate.
Talk to any software engineer in the valley and they do a lot of the same stuff that Bezos does. The "trick" of not paying taxes until you sell the stock is something I do all the time. It's not a trick even.
The problem with that argument is who get to make that decision? Would you still be saying that if someone leaked you tax records to the general public?
Anybody who has your full tax records has your name, your current and previous addresses, social security number, how much you make, your place of work, the name(s) of your children (if you file as head of household or for child tax credits), etc. What makes you think this treasure trove of information isn't going be used for identity theft? It's like saying you have no objections to someone breaking into your car or house and stealing your stuff, so long as they don't take your driver's license or registration papers and pretend to be you.
At this point, I've come to believe that the real goal has nothing to do with actually fixing the system. I see it time and time again where articles like this get written and the proposals that follow focus solely on increasing income tax and proposing some form of a wealth tax. Nothing about closing the loop holes that allow this situation to happen in the first place.
> In this case leaking Jeff Bezos' tax returns targeted one individual and provided no new useful information. It's exactly what we already expected about his taxes.
I completely agree with your overall point, but this statement is not true. Solid concrete evidence of what we "already expected" _is_ new information. (also, as other commenters have pointed out - what _you_ already expected is not necessarily what the average person already expected)
>In this case leaking Jeff Bezos' tax returns targeted one individual and provided no new useful information. It's exactly what we already expected about his taxes.
I think when he owns the Washington post, it becomes of the public interest.
Hell, in Norway literally everyone's salary is public information. Hasn't seemed to do them any harm either.
“We need to condemn the families and businesses in places like those tiny island nations in the Caribbean to more poverty”
Those tax havens exist because they realize that a very real thing they can offer as a service is a place to domicile a business and capital. Not everyone wants to go to Ireland for its nice beaches you know.
When you use Bermuda like that, you pay various fees to do so (registration fees, banking fees), and money ultimately goes into the national budget from that. The state then invests in infrastructure and some job creation from that national budget.
Similarly, when Caribbean nations sell citizenship to foreigners seeking easier travel or tax optimization (another avenue they have explored into order to diversify their economies), the foreigner typically pays a fee in the tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars for the passport, and that goes into the national budget.
It’s still not acceptable. At least the tax minimizer is following applicable laws, this vigilante is not.
They are taking it upon themselves outside the law to settle disagreements, but they want to leverage new laws to make taxes more aligned with their policy (but obviously they are okay with ignoring other parts of the law —that’s a disconnect).
You can believe in the power of a legal system without respecting the specific legal system that you're currently living under.
Would it be a disconnect to illegally oppose an immoral law - like, say, the legal protection of slaves as property - while simultaneously wanting to pass laws that you expect people to follow - like, say, making slavery illegal? Probably not.
It's inaccurate to treat obedience to the law as a moral act. It can only be moral because the law itself reflects moral attitudes. Wherever there is a disconnect between the law and morality, it is the law that bends - which is exactly why laws can be rewritten in the first place.
I'm not calling any law out as being immoral - I'm pointing out that there's nothing hypocritical in circumventing a law you find to be unjust while still campaigning for changes to the law that you expect others to follow.
And Jesus said to His disciples, “Truly I say to you, it is hard for a rich man to enter the kingdom of heaven. Again I say to you, it is easier for a camel to go through the eye of a needle, than for a rich man to enter the kingdom of God.”
I’m not a huge fan of gravity hurting me when I fall either, but I’ve found that railing against it is ineffective.
If you want these things to stop, you need to change the incentives that people operate on. Anything else will be like trying to plug holes in a dam with your finger; locally effective at best.
If you earn $100 a week and tax withholding let you have $80 to yourself. That $20 didn’t belong to the government. It belonged to you. You however, having entered into an implicit agreement with society agree you will part with your money and give it to the government (which is different from its being theirs). Now, if you donated some of the $100 to charity or whatever and reduce your tax liability, that’s not “theft”. That’s part of the initial implicit agreement.
No, that's projected. It's not a comment on wealth-creation, but rather that 90% of it, the surplus value, goes to the top. The middle class is getting squeezed.
"feels unfair" depends completely on the Overton Window.
What proportion of Americans have a federal income tax liability of zero or less? (Yes, some Americans get paid to file taxes, via "refundable" tax credits)
I believe it is around 42%.
What proportion of the top income earners pay 80% of Federal income taxes?
Our system is overall quite progressive. To complain that the five or so people mentioned in the article "only" paid billions in taxes over a five year period is a bit nonsensical.
Our overall system is not progressive. Once you factor in the regressive nature of social security taxes and average sales taxes, you quickly see that the rate of taxes paid on all income remains fairly consistent up until you get to people with a net worth in tens of millions plus who pay a much lower percent rate.
> Once you factor in the regressive nature of social security taxes
Social security is effectively a mandatory pension scheme where you get benefits at retirement based on what you paid in, so calling it a regressive tax seems inaccurate.
> and average sales taxes
Many states have exemptions for essential goods to limit the regressive nature of sales taxes, but yes they are regressive overall.
> you quickly see that the rate of taxes paid on all income remains fairly consistent
I'm not sure what your definition of fairly consistent is, but your first sentence is incorrect above, so it's probably not accurate here either.
> up until you get to people with a net worth in tens of millions plus who pay a much lower percent rate.
This is absolutely true, and is something that should be addressed in my opinion. Just taxing capital gains as income would be a great start, and might be enough.
Given that the federal government collects its revenue through income taxes, and that 53% of Americans are children, the elderly, students, retired, disabled, or simply unemployed, how many of those people, in your opinion, should have a federal tax liability?
Also, another 13% of Americans make less than $12/hour, with many of them working under 30 hours a week. Roughly how many of those people, in your opinion, should have a federal tax liability?
The correct response is to use your legislators to change the tax code to be more fair.
Yelling at people for properly taking legal deductions, when you yourself take deductions on your taxes, reeks of hypocrisy and being mad because Joey got a cookie and you didn't.
>reeks of hypocrisy and being mad because Joey got a cookie and you didn't.
You mean because Joey took his allowance and bought the supplies for a lemonade stand, took the money made from that to buy the ingredients to make cookies, then took the time to bake himself cookies.
It's strange that people find a person who creates & grows a company and who pays hundreds of millions of dollars in legally required taxes detestable. Yet a person who fails to gain the basic education that is free to them, who has no ambition, who is literally a drain on society, cannot be criticized. It's astonishing to me that society accepts and allows people to not have a least a high school education.
I wonder what the response would be to an article about how trillions in taxes are not paid because there are millions and millions of people who simply don't develop their personal capital and make decent choices that would result in them earning more and paying more in taxes.
I don’t know why you are being downvoted. If homeless people simply decided to learn Python and read PG essays for inspiration rather than being a drain on society, we could completely eliminate the homeless problem. Hopefully one day the troglodytes making up the rest of the world will catch up to our enlightened viewpoint.
When the US gets overtaken by other economies in Asia, it will be because people there focused on climbing to the top by any means while we whined about how hard our life is.
There are guys in Hyderabad right now in conditions worse than US homelessness learning Python, devops, cloud, virtualization, you name it because that's how they can survive.
I know people in fairly poor countries with terrible crime rates and bad job prospects, and I have never heard them complain about how hard life is. They figure out how to get out of their situation and improve their life.
The idea that someone else has to fix your situation because life is hard has to be one of the most crippling mentalities you could have. The sheer amount of opportunity we have in the west is unprecedented in human history; instead of crying about the fact that your stable job of 20 years is ending, yes: I'm going to say that it is fundamentally you that has to pivot (even if it would be nice if the government helped).
Good one. I do hope people recognize that homeless people constitute less than 1% of Americans. By contrast 60% of tax returns filed by Americans have negative net tax rates. They literally contribute nothing to the running of the Federal government, and for about 40% they contribute nothing to all other levels of government.
This story is about how the very few extremely high earners use sophisticated personal finance strategies to minimize their tax burden. On the other hand huge numbers of people use the unsophisticated strategy of not developing any significant skills or education and not earning much money resulting in not paying any net taxes. Not talking about the super poor who earn nothing, but people who earn $30,000-$60,000/year. At the end of the day, they are not net tax payers.
Don't know why you're being down voted. I have no love for bezos, but insofar as he seems to mostly follow the law, contribute to society, and built a large employer, he seems more worthy of emulation than the randos we are asked to care for on the government dole
> The correct response is to use your legislators to change the tax code to be more fair.
My entire thesis is that vigilante leaks like this are a product of the perceived unwillingness of the legislature to deal with the abuse of tax loopholes or to tax the rich at anywhere close to the rate that the overwhelming majority of voters want. If my theory is correct, then saying “talk to your legislator instead” is almost hilariously tone deaf, given that these leakers are probably taking actions into their own hands in response to a belief that their legislator is lazy or corrupt.
More broadly, my point is that singling out individual actors is an ineffective way to stop stochastic law breaking. Decry and punish individual law breakers all you want, but don’t expect it to stop until you at least triage the underlying causes.
Yup. Few people know that the 401k deduction is a massive loophole someone found and exploited. It was never intended to be a retirement vehicle or used in a widespread manner. There was discussion of repealing it as the tax revenue hit was not planned for.
This argument makes every single law moral. It also is telling you to not question laws that are in place. If "crime" is your definition of moral or immoral I'd love to hear your take on any of the civil rights movements of the last 100 years.
The Supreme Court isn't a moral court. It rules on if a law is constitutional or not. Plenty of grossly immoral laws were considered constitutional by the Supreme Court and required new laws to be passed to repeal those immoral laws.
> You litigate and appeal and go to your legislators
How do you think most of the rich stay on the good side of the law? They have much more direct access to legislators via mechanisms that should be illegal, but are not because they pay to protect them.
How do you pass laws to make this behaviour illegal without knowing what the scope of the problem is?
Laws take political capital to pass, and without public outrage, you have zero political capital to take the first step towards reform. Any attempt to pass laws that increase transparency will be quashed, because you have no political capital to do so, and people taking advantage of this have a huge interest in squashing them, so they can keep operating in secrecy.
I'm not shilling some weird conspiracy, here. This is exactly the purpose behind ag-gag laws. [1] Thanks to them, the public can't make an informed decision on whether or not illegal activity should be prosecuted or investigated, or whether or not currently legal activity should be made illegal.
This is a similar situation, except that the financial stakes - and the incentives for secrecy - are about a thousand times greater.
> Ok, publish what the tools are and promote change in the tax code.
Publishing an actual example of how these tools are used is a perfect way to explain what they are and how they're exploited. Bezos is rich enough to be untouchable, so what's really the concern here?
All rights have limits, including free speech and privacy. We can discuss where those lines should be, but by precedent it's established that public figures have reduced privacy rights because it serves the public interest.
It's clear at this point that extremely wealthy figures should expect reduced privacy rights when it come to their wealth because it serves the public interest.
You're basically arguing that the public shouldn't be aware whether a person owns a nuclear weapon because they bought it fair and square and "privacy".
All rights do have limits, but this is too soft a limit for me, personally. I can understand how someone who is a well-known public figure would give up some rights related to slander, or being photographed, or whatever. But we're talking about private tax data, secured by the IRS. Guesses based on what someone makes based on or derived from publicly-available information I can understand, but leaked private tax documents crosses a line I'm not comfortable with. I do understand that others might think differently on this topic, though.
All tax records are public in some developed countries. This is a cultural line that should be moved IMO. Maybe not all the way to full public disclosure of all records, but certainly away from the status quo. Government transparency is good.
Counterpoint: perhaps putting a name and numbers to these tax loopholes will make them less abstract for people.
For example, knowing that the richest man in the world avoided paying $x billion in taxes using a loophole could insight change better than a theoretical story about how somebody could use these loopholes.
That being said, I'm still not sure if leaks like this are a good idea or bad idea. Just playing devil's advocate a bit.
They are not doing whatever it takes. They are following the laws we have enacted. The only one doing whatever it takes is this person who seems to think taking justice into your own hands is an acceptable thing to do.
I'm not saying we should not close loopholes. I'm all for that, but I'm not for willy nilly leaking illicitly obtained private documents that do not describe illegal behavior nor anything we didn't already know.
The flaw here is that they're not following the laws that we the people have enacted. They're following the laws that they themselves have lobbied for and bought the legislators to pass for them.
If you only condone taking legal courses of action, how would you go about opposing those billions and the leverage over the legislative process that brings?
It's all well and good to take a moral high ground and say no one should ever break laws, but when the laws are exploitative and the legislators are beyond real influence, what other recourse is there?
Do you have evidence of them buying laws that allow them to not pay taxes until a capital gain is recognized? Because that’s the crux of this whole article, that they’re paying a small percentage of their “wealth gained”. As far as I’m aware, capital gains have never been taxed on eg company stock in the US before a sale triggers it, so it can hardly be considered the work of this group.
It gets substantially murkier, too, when you consider that much of the nominal valuation gains on their assets might be attributable to the dollar being essentially devalued vs hard assets.
One correction: they (the rich) are following the laws they have enacted. An average Joe can't bribe senators (sorry, I meant donate to their campaign), talk to them privately and get the desired law enacted.
Also, this person or persons probably didn't just take the information for a few rich people at the top. The probably stole the information for many, many more people. These are the few they leaked.
Making everyone's income public is very different than a public record or property ownership. I for one wouldn't appreciate people looking up and talking about the income of their high-school classmates. Income drives enough status in society without it being publicly known and discussable.
You could have a threshold. Sweden has a fully transparent system which is pretty nice imo. Being able to look up politicians is great to deal with corruption.
> Ok, publish what the tools are and promote change in the tax code.
That would work if people were purely logical. But people are not. Therefore the average person needs an anecdote, not data, to start caring.
I also think leaks about billionaire's finances are completely fair game. It's not that they are unsympathetic, it's that their finances are that important to the average person.
It's hard to commit a crime when you have layers of people managing your finances and other layers of people managing the people who write and enforce the laws.
> I’m against vigilante style leaks when the target hasn’t committed a crime.
The thing is that such leaks should help you realize that some things aren't crimes but should be.
Keep in mind that 200 years ago owning/buying/selling slaves was not a crime in the US. Yet nowadays we all agree that slavery exploitation is a crime.
Because it's the kind of low-effort humor that shouldn't be encouraged by excessive upvoting or else it would completely take over the site.
Chances are actual downvotes are still from people who not only disagree with style but also with content, but when those are a minority a magic thing happens: people who agree with content but are at best neutral about the style see it in deeply faded grey and vote "it's not that bad", but only as long as it's
deeply faded. The result of a most agree but don't wand to encourage surgeon reliably ends up a slap on the wrist "ca -1", no matter how many people voted. The mechanism works great.
(and it's also quite successful at keeping meta talk like this from escalating, I only feel that it's somewhat acceptable to write this now that the story has left the front page more than half a day)
I would be outraged if someone leaked my taxes to the public. I'd be looking for someone to sue, though in this case I'd fail to find anyone I can sue I'm sure. I don't care if these are the richest people in the country or if the data is really interesting, it's not ethical. In my opinion, even though propublica didn't solicit this information, they should not have posted information derived from private tax information without the consent of those involved. I don't what the laws are here, but I'm talking about ethics. I wouldn't want my private information summarized, by name, in this manner.
The other issue I have is that not only is the provenance of this data unknown, so also is it's veracity. They don't know who gave it to them or why and thus they can't confirm it wasn't made up out of whole cloth.
We'd need some small adjustments to make them not useful for identity theft (remove SSNs, stop using specific values from them as authenticators for the IRS, etc.) but with that done, I think it would be a great improvement in transparency.
My public sector salary is already a matter of public record, and that has worked fine.
Someone's public sector salary may be a matter of public record, but their deductions are not. The tax forms (in the US, anyway) cover everything from whether or not they or their spouse are blind to exactly how much they spent in health care costs from a health spending account (with receipts attached) to whether or not they added solar power to their roof. It would have to not show addresses, because of people hiding from abusive spouses, among other concerns.
I'm for more aggregate data being made available as long as it couldn't be used to find one individual, and I'm okay with the IRS adding a checkbox for "make my data publicly available" as long as you could always uncheck it. But then I take privacy more seriously than many others do, not sure why.
I'd be happier if we greatly simplified the tax laws so that this extra data was not necessary. Not going to complain if they reduce the tax burden as well.
Simplifying the tax code is certainly sensible. Reducing the tax burden is not. As mandatory expenditures (medicare and social security) continue to increase as a percentage of GDP, the discretionary part of the budget (roads, defense, R&D, etc.) is going to continue to get squeezed. Unless we can significantly reduce the amount of money going to the health care sector to the tune of about $1T/year (and deal with the impacts of that on the people currently working in that sector), tax burden is going to have to go up.
I don't think it's any coincidence that Jeff Bezos specifically was leaked.
He has been straying into politics in DC very very heavily, and it looks like he's making enemies. I suspect that is also the reason we see near-daily anti-Amazon posts on social media.
He's literally the richest man in the world. If the leaker's purported motive is to expose tax avoidance by the ultrawealthy, it would be very strange for Bezos to not be in the leaked data.
I don't think ProPublica describes in exact specificity the scope of the data, other than it contains "the tax returns of thousands of the nation's wealthiest people, covering more than 15 years". And it includes Warren Buffett, Rupert Murdoch, Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Ellison, Mike Bloomberg, Carl Icahn, and Elon Musk — a group of guys who, along with Bezos, are not considered to be politically aligned.
I was worrying about some loophole Jeff Bezos was abusing but no, his hack is that he has no income. What a joke. Time to move on from this garbage article. They didn't expose anything except that Jeff Bezos has strong faith in Amazon stock.
While you're not at all saying this, it would be silly to try and analyze private and unacknowledged wealth, primarily because it would be more difficult to evaluate the wealth.
The tax returns need some relative value to compare against to show effective tax rates. If most of that wealth is illegal and well hidden, it's going to be pretty difficult to compare a tax return against and get anything meaningful from. At least in these cases, the wealth is more glaringly obvious in the open and can be more reasonably compared to tax records.
People whose wealth cannot be calculated as known equity valuation * disclosed equity held. That doesn't necessarily mean anyone is richer, but they very well could be.
You misunderstand that list. It's not the worlds richest. Bezos is actually pretty far down (probably 100 people or more richer than him in the world).
Some folks suspect Vladimir Putin is the richest man in the world, but there isn't the sort of public documentation that would land him on the Forbes list.
Because making and selling cocaine globally (not to mention other drugs) must bring in tens of billions every year, and they have been doing it since the 60’s.
The ”human banking” method is very popular in transnational organised crime. Just look at how Putin has hidden his assets.
The estate tax in America has been called the voluntary tax for a reason - it's almost never paid on at the rate you quote by anyone who can do the leg work to set up legal entities which can make the effective tax rate 0% - which ends up being trivial for billionaires: https://archives.cjr.org/the_audit/bloomberg_waltons_how_bil...
Perhaps, though all of those things have downsides and limitations. But the idea here is not defending all the intricacies of the US tax code. It's simply noting that the gloss of the article that somehow it's a giant scandal that unrealized cap gains aren't taxed is dumb.
If the lower bound on estate taxes are too low, certain kinds of capital intensive family businesses like farms take a big hit as they pass from generation to generation -- in a world where they generally have a net disadvantage to corporations already.
I also love how the family farm remains a universal justification even as it’s almost entirely disappeared from American life. It’s similar to how every American child knows what a pig and cow sound like despite almost none of them having seen one. Our culture is funny.
That aside, I’m not arguing for a lower estate tax threshold. I’m arguing for an elimination of the state up basis at death, at least for assets which the estate tax has not been paid.
If Joe Farmer’s kids keep his $10 million farm, they won’t pay any taxes. But if they sell it, they ought to have the same basis as Joe would were he still alive.
I would say most kids have seen a pig or a cow either at a farm, driving past a farm or going to the zoo (zoos are a common experience for most average kids).
Zoos I've been to tend to have more exotic animals - giraffes, elephants, zebras, lions, monkeys, etc. I think a zoo would prefer to direct its budget/resources towards these kinds of animal attractions.
In the U.S., a pettings zoos or a county fair might have pigs, cows, and others like goats, horses, etc. Working animals or ones that kids/families raise for contests/shows, say the 4H society or FFA.
I don't remember seeing pigs or cows at any zoos I've been too. Have you? I've certainly driven past cows in fields, but a child living in a city may not experience that. I think pigs are even more rare since they don't seem to be kept outside.
There's really no reason other than custom that appropriate numbers of pigs couldn't be raised and slaughtered in any city. They can subsist entirely on table scraps, the disposal of which is a regular burden for cities. They don't require lots of room to roam. They do produce effluent, but that is only a burden at mega-farm volumes. An individual hog will produce roughly what an individual human will produce, but only when it approaches the right size to butcher. Eventually this will seem normal, if only because chicken husbandry is growing more common all the time in many cities.
I come from a long line of farmers. It hasn't been possible to have a "family farm" for 4+ decades. Any profitable farm has 1000+ acres and is basically a corporation.
I know the intent of your comment is to support family farms, but now these tax incentives have become perverse and really only benefit rich people, not family farmers.
That’s the convenient excuse that anti-estate tax advocates use, yes.
In reality it would be pretty easy to setup the tax code to avoid such issues, but instead we’ve whittled the estates tax down to nothing to benefit heirs of the ultra wealthy.
Suppose I own $1 million worth of Bitcoin I mined back in the day. If I sell the day before I die I’ll owe $200,000 in long term capital gains taxes. But if I die, leave those coins to you, and you sell them the day you inherit them for the same $1 million, you owe no capital gains taxes.
Edit: if this is surprising, it should be. The step up basis is insane.
Yeah. I've tried to convey this point to family before. I'm not sure why they don't believe me. They are convinced the "death tax" is some nefarious thing.
The proposed "death tax" idea is to make inheritance a taxable event. I'm against that. I'm for however that capital gains carry past death.
If you inherent cash, that cash has already had taxes paid for that. It shouldn't be taxed again like some "death taxes" propose to do. If you inherit stock, then sell it, the basis date for that stock should be the date it was bought, not the date you received it.
At some level, most (all?) money has already been taxed. Some entities can write off expenditures as a deduction. Most of us can't.
Consider, my income had already been taxed. Why do I have to pay sales tax on purchasing something?
Edit: and in case you fix on sale's tax being different from income. Payroll for businesses comes out of profit. Which comes from that same transaction. So, somebody's income is ultimately funded from a sales made with money that had been taxed.
The step up basis only applies to estate taxes below the federal limits, so it doesn't apply to super-rich. ...another point (deliberately?) omitted from OP's article.
Step up basis might get eliminated in any case, as the Biden Administration is proposing to remove it.
That’s not quite right. The step up basis applies to everyone.
It is true that if estate taxes are paid on the gains then the step up loophole hasn’t completely eliminated taxes on capital gains. However, the estate tax is even more full of loopholes than the capital gains tax. See for example the Grantor Retained Annuity Trust.
Finally, the Biden administration is not proposing to eliminate the step up basis entirely, unfortunately, but merely rein it in some.
Go ahead and lobby Congress to pass that. See how easily you can get that done against the lobbying from the holders of that wealth.
Now how do we change the system? Put it in front of the entire public how much higher a percentage of their wealth they give up compared to these few, and get the entire public to fight for equity.
I agree, but even Biden’s opening gambit, which I believe has very little chance of passing as is, doesn’t eliminate it entirely. It seems to have powerful supporters.
When you die, your estate pays taxes on the current value of the assets you’re passing along. Without stepped up basis, your heirs would get taxed again on gains that you essentially already paid a 40% tax on.
I think it would be perfectly reasonable to reset the basis on any asset which had 40% estate taxes paid on it, but that’s now how the law is written. Not only is there an $11 million lifetime exemption there’s also an annual gift tax exclusion that combined with some clever trust setups allow the wealthy to pass on much more than that without paying the 40%.
In practice huge amounts of capital gains are not taxed by either the capital gains tax or the estate tax.
Correct, exactly the same way as if you'd realized some gain a day before your death. Your heirs are also taxed again on the money you earned as a regular income. This is more of an argument against estate tax, not against step-up-basis.
Don't think this is a useful comparison because wealth isn't taxed. Income is. If you take the top 1% of earners, they make 20% of the income, but pay 38% of the taxes.
> If you take the top 1% of earners, they make 20% of the income, but pay 38% of the taxes.
And that's normal.
If I make $1k per year, taxing me is almost criminal, since I can barely afford to feed myself.
If I make $100k per year, taxing me $20k year is kind of annoying, but manageable. I'll probably have to avoid some bigger expenses I would have made if I were not taxed at all.
If I make $100m+ per year, taxing me $40m per year doesn't even change my lifestyle. It just gives me topics to bitch about at dinner time, but it doesn't change my life in any material way.
The more I have, the more I can afford to give away without it impacting me or my family in any realistic way. Except for losing ego points.
I understand the point but I question if reality works that way. No one looks at a tax bill and says "what have I got left after it?" They just look at the bottom line. And it doesn't matter if you've got a $100m in the bank or $900m - $40m is a lot of money.
Avoidance is a more or less a fixed cost. It's the price of tax attorneys and Congressman. To the degree you go over that fixed cost it's going to be harder and harder to get the amount. The biggest surprise to me is always just how much the rich pay not how little.
You're correct. I know that I got a lot more utility out of the first $100 I ever made then a $100 now. I don't think mentally it tracked perfectly though - that first $100 was a lot but I knew in the larger scheme it wasn't really a lot of money and today I'll still price show to save $100 even though I know it's not a lot in terms of my income.
I have no economic concept for this but I strongly suspect it's true.
How about this? If you go rooting around underneath my couch cushions you'll find quarters. If you do the same for Bill Gates' couch you'll find ... Not $100 bills. Even if in respect to his entire wealth a $100 is less then nothing to Bill Gates he can still see the utility that money has in the world at large and that changes how he views it - maybe he doesn't see it the same way I do now or I did when I was 15 but he'd value it more then would be expected in relation to his over all wealth.
The distinction between capital gains and wage income is heavily coded into law, but that doesn't make it a distinction that SHOULD be treated in the way that it is.
The problems faced at a certain level of wealth are so alien that it's not uncommon for their solutions to sound totally nonsensical - even actively harmful - to anybody outside of that demographic.
In light of this, I don't think we can so easily dismiss delayed taxation of capital gains as unimportant and irrelevant. Maybe it is, but I think we need more information to solidly come to that conclusion. Even one of the things you (rightly, I think) identify as a problem seems to have some serious synergy with such a delay. What happens if one of these charitable foundations ends up with stock? How long of a delay might that taxation have then? And is there any way for them to get some liquidity out of that stock without actually selling it? Can they take out loans with it as collateral, for example?
I'm not actively making claims here, but rather trying to show the situation is complex enough that we can't write off seemingly innocuous mechanics simply because they appear innocuous. It's complex, and weird, and needs deeper information and data to really understand.
He said delay, but that's just because the stock hasn't sold yet. Until you do, the gains are unrealized, i.e. the stock could drop precipitously suddenly due to some black swan event (i.e. a pandemic), and then they suddenly that wealth may as well never have existed.
Like let's say I'm some regular guy, but I put my only $1000 in some asset that appreciated 100x, and it's now "worth" $100,000. These people that want to tax unrealized gains swoop in and go "hey, you're 'worth' $100k on Dec 31, you should pay us $30k in taxes this year". And so I don't have that money and have to sell my stock to pay it, but two days before I do the stock market tanks before I get a chance to sell and it's dropped 70% in price, so now I'm 'worth' 30k. And now I've sold it all just to pay the unrealized gains tax.
Now this is an extreme example and unlikely to happen exactly in the stock world, although not terribly extreme if this weren't stocks we're talking about, but some cryptocurrency.
This is why taxing unrealized gains never made much sense to me. The gains aren't actually real until you've converted them into something else or you purchase goods or services with. Until then it's just some number on a scoreboard.
This is also why I think it’s crazy we pay taxes on startup options when exercised. There’s not market to liquidate to pay those taxes and the end value is very likely $0
Yeah, borrow as in you have to pay it all back plus an extra percentage. It might be a lower percentage than capital gains, but you better hope the asset keeps appreciating at more than you borrowed + percentage.
And then once you pay it back you still have to eventually cash out and pay capital gains tax anyway.
Like if I had done that with bitcoin a couple of months ago (and it's possible to do, there's DeFi now), I would have been in some deep shit with the 50% drop recently.
It does seem like a bit of a sidestep though, and I'm sure rich people are probably taking advantage of it, so I wouldn't be opposed to some sort of small tax on money gained from loans made against your assets assuming you owned enough of them (like I don't want to hurt small business loans or anyone in the middle class from it), to discourage this practice a bit.
> we need to ... severely limit tax exemptions for charitable donations
Why do we need to do this? Wouldn’t the natural incentive-based result of this be a huge reduction in charitable donations? It’s essentially an asset transfer from charitable causes to the government. I’m not sure I understand why that’s default good.
If donations were going to 3rd party charitable organizations, maybe (though they are notoriously inefficient/corrupt themselves), but if you are simply transferring the money to an organization under your full control anyway, then it's not really a charitable organization.
This distinction is so hard to make, that I think it simply makes more sense to limit donations to a much smaller percent of AGI.
The current limit of 60% is so high, that most donations at that level are providing some sort of unspoken utility to the benefactor.
Even a charitable organization the donor fully controls must follow regulations on its activity. Surely some people use their foundations as personal piggy banks, but that’s fraud and is pursued as such.
It’s like a conservation agreement. The land (wealth) remains in control of the owner, but the state gets some say in its use and the public benefits. Abuse of the the system is a case for stricter enforcement; sanctioned but objectionable uses are a case for stricter regulations
Yes, but these regulations are not well policed. They effectively take the accounting books provided at face value.
It's almost never investigated, and there is, in the normal course, so much overlap between expenses that benefit ME as a person, and ME as the owner of the charity.
This type of misbehavior is widespread, too. These foundations are not limited to the ultra wealthy. Tons of even moderately rich people (say, tens of millions in wealth) take advantage of these vehicles. Pumping their income into "charity" where charity is not Habitat For Humanity, but "MR JOHN B ENTREPRENEUR CHARITABLE FOUNDATION LLC". The foundation is run within a millimeter of the law, and basically funds the owner's lavish lifestyle tax-free. It's such an obvious scam but since it's just barely legal, nobody bats an eye. And if anyone questions the practice, you have people coming out of the woodwork saying "why are you against charities like Habitat For Humanity?"
Probably a fair complaint. I’d question whether enough people with foundations take bald-face risks with enough of the assets to be relevant to tax policy.
More pedestrian stuff (eg expensing a conference in Seychelles) definitely slips through, but we could make the same principal-agent complaint about business expenses or other settings where one person gets to spend money from different buckets that are taxed differently.
I’d challenge the notion that the rules are unenforced though - someone will have questions if you’re living in a house your foundation purchased or somesuch. At the very least several people with an obligation to know better and much less to lose we’re going to be very nervous.
> Even a charitable organization the donor fully controls must follow regulations on its activity.
Conversely, even a charitable organization not run by the donor may be heavily influenced by a disproportionate donor such that it is de facto controlled by them.
So they get to set organizational policy, but still can’t compel the organization to do illegal things (like route the donors money back to them tax-free)
Sadly true, though he did get get sued by the NYAG and in settlement agreed to a raft of restrictions on his charitable service, as well as the closure of the foundation and return of $2m in misused funds[0]
Howard Hughes Medical Institute - In 1969, Representative Wright Patman "complained that the Hughes foundation was a tax‐evasion device," noting that the institute spent only $5.7 million for its operations between 1954 and 1961, a period during which Hughes Aircraft accumulated $76.9 million in profits. By 1975, it had also avoided certain stipulations of the 1969 reform act for charitable institutions due to legal filings by Hughes to change its operational status, with his objections going directly to the White House.
It seem like a good loophole for the rich to have control on where their charitable money goes to and do what. you can argue the Gates foundation is the same but Bill Gates actually doing some goods with his charitable organization like someone else said, if the charity is being use like a little piggy bank for the rich then its a crime.
Either that, or change the law so that it becomes enforceable, or spend more resources on enforcement. If the law is enforced in, say, 1% cases, why is it even there? Most people who break it face no consequences, and it has a potential to be a tool to unfairly target people ("we want to destroy you so we will find a law that you're breaking that is normally not enforced and lock you away for that").
As for the specific example, yes, I think felons that served their sentence should have their full rights restored.
Not a tax lawyer but I'm pretty sure there are regulations around what it means to be a charitable organization according to the IRS.
For instance, I'm fairly certain that using the money in a way that provides you a tangible benefit is verboten, as is taking a deduction for a "donation" to said charity that results in a tangible benefit.
Whether these things are enforced or violated is another question; but it does not seem reasonable to assume that every such organization operates by fraud, nor that getting rid of all of them would be no loss.
You can't make a charitable donation to an organization created after you were born, or created by an ancestor. It's not perfect, but it's a sharp line in the sand, and prevents bullshit like the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.
A tax deduction is essentially a matching grant from the rest of the tax payers. I don’t know that I’m totally opposed to the idea, but it’s ripe for abuse and conceptually difficult to fully define in such a way as to eliminate any possibility of such abuses.
Why not instead have people donate their own money to causes they believe in, and have no matching grants?
That is exactly the reason to be opposed to them. There’s zero reason for them to exist, other than to enable corruption and enabling a way to direct your taxes towards your own tribe (churches, synagogue, etc) rather than the public as a whole.
Typical estimates suggest a 1% increase in tax expenditure on charitable deductions (so government forgone revenue due to deductions) leads to a more than 1% increase in charitable giving, so deductions increase social spending (see p170 in https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.25.2.157)
But could be distributional issues as well depending on where the rich choose to donate — lots of that money is probably implicit transfers from government revenues to the Met
This logic is similar to trickle down economics. It's not useful. Government expenditures have a high multiplier as well, so even if true it's not better than tax revenue.
Should have been more precise. By "social spending" I mean sum of (tax revenue) + (donations to charities), since 1% decrease in revenue translates to >1% increase in donations to charity. Agreed that this says nothing about "net social benefits," since it depends on the value of government vs. social spending.
My point is only that the elasticity is above 1, since if it were below 1 then there would be literally no justification for deductions. In that case, 1% reduction in tax revenue from deductions would lead to a less than 1% increase in giving, so the government could increase aggregate funding for charities by killing deductions and issuing grants. Elasticity >1 opens the door for deductions being sensible depending on objectives and use of funds by gvt vs. charities.
Note this is not a spending multiplier, so the comparison with government spending multipliers is irrelevant. The relevant comparison there would be, for example, GDP (or ideally the "social") impact of each dollar in charitable spending. I don't know what that is and it probably varies by charity.
I'm not convinced that most charities really get much done other than making their donors feel good. I think the government is actually more efficient. And I'm saying that as someone who really doesn't like the government.
Catholic Charities, Archdiocese of San Antonio (I'm the Board Chair, we run ~40 programs meeting people where they are and helping them on a path to self sufficiency) https://ccaosa.org/
What charity doesn't promote the interests of the people giving it money? Who doesn't believe their interests are for the common good?
If the problem is that you think some interests should be promoted and other not - well, I'm all in favor of that. The two of us just need to sort out which will be favored. My plan is for me to decide and you to agree with me. Sound good?
They are using the deductions we grant for their purpose. Seems to me we should at minimum be aware of the fact we are ceding control over the country for no good reason.
In some cases, evidence is fairly clear that the charities are used to actively undermine our society even further, e.g. Kochtopus.
Fairly clear? That's the standard? I'm going to stick with my proposal that I get to decide what charities are destroying America and which one's are helping it.
The foundations listed are basically political entities. When you or I make political donations, we have to do it with post-tax money. Why shouldn't the wealthy have to do the same?
People should be giving to charities out of the good of their heart, not to get a tax deduction. The tax deductibility of charitable donations makes them no cost options for the donor. Remove the tax implications, and you will see who really cares about their cause.
For the sake of argument, assume a flat 20% tax rate for a minute.
Scenario A: Your taxable income is $1,000,000. Your tax liability is $200,000. You pay your taxes, you net $800,000.
Scenario B: Your taxable income is $1,000,000. Your tax liability is $200,000. You donate $200,00 to charity. Now your taxable income is $800,000 and your tax liability is $160,000. Your net income is $640,000.
The only scenario where a charitable contribution doesn’t lower your overall income is
How does this make sense. It’s “tax deductible” because you are giving the income away instead of keeping it. Of course people would give less if they had to give the government a cut.
“I want to give a million pounds to charity.”
“That’s nice of you. You still need to pay tax first on that sum, though.”
That's just the way it works. There's numerous alternative arrangements and arguments in favour and against.
You could think about if the owner of a business generously decides to give all his employees a pay rise - the government now receives less money because the employees pay a lower marginal tax rate than what the owner would have paid if he kept the money for his own higher salary. Should the government get involved here and claw back that lost tax?
(Legitimate) tax deductible donations aren't no-cost. You can only use it to reduce your tax at the marginal rate you pay.
If, for example, you were in the 30% tax bracket and gave a $100 deductible donation, you'd only reduce your tax liability by $30 (ignoring edge cases) - ie you're still $70 out of pocket.
My understanding is that donating to charity, which would ideally be for the good of the common public, is purposefully encouraged, and that is not fundamentally different than giving money to the governments as taxes. In other words, someone may believe more in a given charity spending money towards social good than on the government itself.
* The main argument for tax-deductibility of donations is that it is a form of government assistance or subsidy for what are considered publicly beneficial causes.
* A third argument is that indirect support mechanisms, such as tax-deductibility of donations, facilitates choice. So, taxpayers can direct a certain proportion of their tax to causes they choose, rather than the government determining how it should be spent.
Directing money to a charity, to avoid the money going to the government, is explicitly a way of directing your money away from the common good of the public (which is after all theoretically what the government would spend it on) and towards the specific spending goals which the donor supports. The idea that a wealthy person has a 'better' idea of how to spend their money than the collective will of the people expressed through government is fundamentally antidemocratic.
A billionaire spending money through a charity that promotes a particular kind of schooling, rather than paying the money as taxes into the general fund where it would be used to fund education as directed by a democratically elected government, is basically a way of using their wealth to obtain a bigger-than-one-vote say in how education spending works, and to bypass democratic decisionmaking about how to spend money for the common good.
Of course, democracies are imperfect decisionmakers and they may not always reflect the spending priorities that will maximise collective good - but at least as institutions they are intended to balance interests, and provide a measure of fairness and equality in how decisions are made. And why would we believe that individual wealthy charity donors will make better decisions on how to direct spending?
An individual billionaire deciding that all schools should work the way they would prefer might be a positive way to end-run around institutional inertia and advance the state of schooling for everyone; or they might just pay to have every school library stocked with books about how humans coexisted with dinosaurs. They're one person, unconstrained by how the rest of society would like to improve schools.
Your points are valid. I agree mostly. I was only answering HenryKissinger who missed both your and my points.
>> The idea that a wealthy person has a 'better' idea of how to spend their money ...
The word 'wealthy' can be taken out here. The said choice is being given to others too if we let go of the nitty-gritties.
I agree also that I have no reason to believe that donations should be entirely tax free. The optimal point may be at giving say 10% of the donation amount as rebates while the remaining 90% still is subject to taxes. May be that optimum is at 0% rebate also.
>> and provide a measure of fairness and equality in how decisions are made
Overall, I do agree to your point. Fairness in decision making is more important.
Also, I do not see how high earners being subjected to higher taxes is fair (to them). In my opinion, the very premise of taxes being proportional to income has flaws. See my comment here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27433973
>> is basically a way of using their wealth to obtain a bigger-than-one-vote say in how education spending works
If my viewpoint in the linked comment above of constant income tax is accepted, then the rich may not even have a bigger-than-one-vote to begin with. Overall, I agree to you though.
> Also, I do not see how high earners being subjected to higher taxes is fair (to them).
The fundamental model behind progressive taxation is that the pain of paying taxes should be roughly the same regardless of income level. The notion of "pain" in this context is closely tied into the concept of marginal utility of income: how much value does a given person get from receiving an extra $X in income (or conversely, how much do they lose by not having $X in income). Give an extra $1000 to person who only earns $12k/yr, and it's a pretty big impact. Given an extra $1000 to a person who earn $12M/yr and its just noise. Taxes follow the same principle, but in reverse. When we tax those with very high incomes, we want them to feel the same "pain" of taxes as those with lower incomes. Because of marginal utility, that requires different marginal tax rates.
> the very premise of taxes being proportional to income has flaws.
Taxes are not proportional to income. We have marginal tax rates, not all-income tax rates. Someone who earns $40k/yr pays the same taxes on the first (and only) $40k (likely close to zero) as someone who earns $4M/yr. Someone who earns $200k/yr pays the same taxes on that $200k as the person who earns $200M/yr.
>> The fundamental model behind progressive taxation is that the pain of paying taxes should be roughly the same regardless of income level.
Good point. I'll think more on this.
One thing though which makes this non-obvious: We are in an equibrium system where demand and supply rebalancing change things. Economic utility and purchasing power of $1000 is the same whether someone earns $10K or $10MM per month. For somplicity sake, if all are made to pay $30,000 per year in income taxes, those who earn less would stop working, however, the demand-supply rebalance would either raise their income levels or the industry would have a higher drive for innovating and inventing to automate those jobs. In a similar fashion, with lesser taxes for the super-riches, more people would incline towards doing startups, etc. When that rebalancing is considered, the point of equalizing pain does not remain obvious to me anymore, as of now. :-)
>> Taxes are not proportional to income. We have marginal tax rates, not all-income tax rates.
Yes, I had made an approximation when writing "proportional". Marginal tax rates makes the income taxes grow faster than proportional with the income, whereas I am arguing for a constant income tax. :-)
> Economic utility and purchasing power of $1000 is the same whether someone earns $10K or $10MM per month.
Marginal utility of the $1k is not independent of income, even if purchasing power (almost irrelevant in this context) is. This is just basic economics.
> more people would incline towards doing startups, etc.
This seems naive. The rich do not, in general, do startups. The super-rich in particular do not do startups. Maybe you mean "invest in startups", which is an entirely different thing, since it presupposes the existence of startups to invest in. There is zero evidence from anywhere in the world that reducing taxation on the super rich results in any notable increase in investment activity.
I have no idea what this "rebalancing" that you're referring to is. I see no evidence that economies in the real world are in equilibrium states, nor any reason to suppose that they would be.
> For somplicity sake, if all are made to pay $30,000 per year in income taxes, those who earn less would stop working,
This thought experiment seems fairly pointless. This isn't going to happen. And if it did happen, people would not stop working. People need to eat, etc. Depending on the enforcement of the tax, they would have to find more or less ingenious evasion methods.
Are they able to count contributions to organizations that lobby on issues that benefit their business, or to politicians (like a SuperPAC) that would vote favorable to them as charitable contributions? Because if that's the case that's kind of shitty. I honestly don't know though, just occurred to me that might be another way they're taking advantage of this.
That's indeed a valid point, and I bet there would be instances of the same where the charitable contribution serves self-interests besides tax savings.
> voiding the obvious argument that capital gains are eventually taxed - the rich are not escaping that.
In one sense yes, but if they're living happily on a tiny fraction of their wealth then they can hang on to the rest until an opportune time to cash out. Governments come and go, taxes are imposed and abolished, loopholes open and close. If they can afford to play the long game then "eventually" may be very different to what would happen if they cashed out today.
But what's the alternative? Forcing people to sell? Forcing people to mark-to-market? There's no way to (fairly) tax capital gains except at the time of sale.
I don't know. I suspect the true answer is "there is no fair way to tax people equally across multiple orders of magnitude of resource ownership and multiple wildly different types of resource," especially when dealing with individuals who are approaching the same economic ballpark as the governments that are attempting to tax them. I'm just pointing out that capital gains being taxed "eventually" isn't watertight.
And it's not as if the current system is fair. You regularly see cases like that kid who won a trip to the ISS and had to give it up because it was valued at $X million dollars and to accept it he'd have to somehow pay hundreds of thousands of dollars in taxes. There's also the issues with stock options that come up here from time to time, where someone is owed millions in options that they can't actually use because they'd have to first pay a percentage of the value in taxes.
As someone who is currently undergoing a tax audit for a year in which I reported ~$20M in cryptocurrency trades but only realized about $10k in income from them, I can confirm that "fairness" does not appear to be a goal of the tax code. Cryptocurrency (and especially derivatives) really exposes some of the head-scratching aspects of the tax code around capital gains.
The fair part is that it's taxed - otherwise, it's unfair on people who are unable to exploit this tax avoidance.
We are talking about people with meaningful wealth. They can afford to be taxed without waiting for it to be perfectly 'fair'. Letting them pay $0 until its fair doesn't make sense.
It makes more sense to pay the expected amount, at least until you have the receipts.
Indeed, that's how my own labour income is already taxed. I first pay income tax for 2021 based on my income in 2020 - whenever it turns out to be too much, I can declare it later and will get a refund. But, I can't pay $0.
>>We are talking about people with meaningful wealth. They can afford to be taxed without waiting for it to be perfectly 'fair'. Letting them pay $0 until its fair doesn't make sense
But....shares are useless until sold. Even if you have 1BN worth of shares it means nothing until you actually sell them/trade them? In fact, they could be worth nothing next week, how can you be taxing someone on a hypothetical sale value?
>>Indeed, that's how my own labour income is already taxed. I first pay income tax for 2021 based on my income in 2020 - whenever it turns out to be too much, I can declare it later and will get a refund. But, I can't pay $0.
That's literally insane. So you're basically giving your government a loan a year in advance? Why? Why not pay your income tax when you know - you get your income, like the rest of Europe does?
> Why not pay your income tax when you know - you get your income
Yeah, I have no idea why gambiting is not doing that.
The rules in the US is that your estimated tax payments have to cover the smaller of 90% of your current-year ongoing (quarterly) tax liability or 90% (sometimes 110% for high incomes, an there are other special rules for farmers/fishermen) of the previous-year tax liability.
So yes, you can make them based on last year's income as as safe harbor if you have no clue what's going on with your income this year for some reason. Or you can just make them based on this year's income as you go.
Not to mention that at least in the US, decades of effort has been put into moving peoples' retirements into personal, private investment accounts. Including Roth IRA/401k where the entire point was to pay tax on the input to avoid it later on the output.
The idea that someone should pay taxes on potential money is not a good one, IMO. I think there would be a lot of legitimate pushback, and if a plan was adopted anyway there would be serious political consequences.
> That's literally insane. So you're basically giving your government a loan a year in advance? Why? Why not pay your income tax when you know - you get your income, like the rest of Europe does?
You might be misunderstanding - this is literally how tax withholding works. You pay estimated taxes as you go through the year, and then file a return at the end of the year and settle up with the government to what your actual tax liability should be.
That's how most income taxes work in most countries.
Dollars only have hypothetical value until spent as well, but we still tax them.
I'm not super rich but if the government wanted to tax my shares, I'd pay the tax out of my income instead of buying more shares. I could probably pay a decent chunk of it out of dividends too, if I wasn't reinventing them.
Property tax here in Australia is based on hypothetical value, the sky doesn't fall.
Even if people have to sell some shares, I just don't care, it's not a big deal. Sell em.
Not all shares can be sold. Especially at all times (blackout periods, etc.)
The problem with the oft-cited options example is that tax is levied on gain of an asset that in fact cannot be legally sold at the time the tax is levied and is often enough worthless (or worth a lot less than at tax time) by the time it _can_ be legally sold.
Asset-based taxation on liquid assets with deep markets and clear prices is indeed probably fine in various ways. But if you tax other sorts of assets there are various problems, and if you only tax the easily-taxable ones people will turn to the other ones to avoid taxation...
When I worked in North America I found this incomprehensible at first. I think the reason is because you need to manually file a tax return each year rather than having it calculated and deducted automatically.
To avoid a massive tax payment at the end of the year, you could elect how much tax would be deducted from your salary each month. The usual way to calculate it was based on last year's income. It wouldn't factor in all tax deductions so, at the end of the tax year, and after you'd filed the tedious and complicated tax return, you'd find that you'd overpaid. Better that than underpaying.
In the UK, usually your employer collects tax monthly. They calculate the amount to collect based on your current monthly salary projected forward and how much tax you've already paid. If there's a mismatch at the end of the year, the tax office uses a 'tax code' to adjust the amount to collect over the next 12 months.
> That's literally insane. So you're basically giving your government a loan a year in advance? Why? Why not pay your income tax when you know - you get your income, like the rest of Europe does?
I think you're misunderstanding. The tax rate they are paying is estimated based on the previous year income (we'll actually it's a combination of present income and previous years) because the tax office can't know your exact income (and deductions) until the end of the year. So when you do your tax return at the end of the year you either get a refund or need to pay some more. I'm pretty sure that's how it works in most of Europe (at least in most of the countries I'm aware of).
So there is no loan to the government, they still pay the tax as a rate on when the income comes in.
> But....shares are useless until sold. Even if you have 1BN worth of shares it means nothing until you actually sell them/trade them? In fact, they could be worth nothing next week, how can you be taxing someone on a hypothetical sale value?
Basically your tax advisor agrees with the government on a "fair" valuation and you are taxed on a 'fictions sale' when you cease to be a German tax resident and hold more than 1% shares in a company.
This is clearly untrue. At least they have use in the ongoing option to sell. I can use them as collateral to borrow at least as much as, and probably a multiple of, their value.
If you genuinely think they are useless, please give me some. I will use them.
> how can you be taxing someone on a hypothetical sale value?
Since shares are fungible, the government could just apply the tax as a number of shares. Then nobody has to worry about defining a hypothetical value.
I think there are high profile cases of founders getting low interest loans with the shares as collateral. This allows spending of the money without losing control or paying taxes now.
But......at the moment when you want to repay that debt, you need to sell the shares = pay tax on them. You can of course pay off the debt in some other way, but presumably whatever money you use for that purpose would have been taxed too, perhaps even more so than shares are.
And I mean, if I borrow money to help me out until I get my paycheck, I don't pay the income tax on the borrowed money - I pay it when I get the paycheck.
What is being proposed is to change the law. A court will absolutely uphold that law, once it is written. What it would do under current laws is irrelevant.
Plenty of unfair taxes hold up in court. Property taxes are an "unfair tax" in the same sense.
Of course, the assessor can't exactly predict the value of a commodity like a home with complete accuracy. Some people get undercharged and some get overcharged, this might even be a systemic thing. But as long as it's "good enough", then the tax works more or less how it should.
> So if I wait to sell shares when it suits me I a some how a monster now ?
Being asked to pay tax on your wealth is not a judgement about your moral character.
We ask people to pay tax to benefit society, not because we hate them.
Given that shares are fungible, you could just give a percentage of your shares to the government as the tax/the government could or should accept this as your tax payment.
> You do realise that many employees on average wages do this.
I'd like to say almost none but I understand the median person the US holds a small amount of wealth. If there was a progressive wealth tax, you could take people with average wealth out of the requirement to pay.
Except the uber wealthy who can afford to lose money to pay taxes for the infrastructure that has enabled their explosive asset growth.
I agree that you and me, and even my paper-millionaire neighbors and friends cannot afford to be taxed on their assets, but a billionaire can, even a paper billionaire can drum up the cash or debt when needed to pay taxes. They do it every day for their large purchases.
The problem really isn't people not paying tax. Americans have similar expenditures to Europeans on a per capita basis ($20,674 US vs $17,202 UK or $20,960 in France the highest taxed nation in terms of % of GDP) they just get considerably less for their money.
> Except the uber wealthy who can afford to lose money to pay taxes for the infrastructure that has enabled their explosive asset growth.
Federal income tax almost never gets used for infrastructure. Infrastructure is mostly built by state and local governments, which receive most of their income from sales tax and property tax, and other taxes, which are already almost entirely paid by businesses. So, they are already paying for the infrastructure that enabled their growth.
A great many state projects are 50-90% funded by federal grants. Interstate highway projects and airport projects in particular are often 90% federal (and are self-evidently infrastructure).
Various levels of local governments provide many services and benefits for my physical property located in their jurisdictions, so I do not oppose a reasonable property tax. But the federal government provides no services or benefits to the securities in my vault, so a general federal wealth tax on them is altogether different, and I oppose it.
The government very clearly provides for support for the equities in many ways (which I’m sure you’re aware of) How do the following not count as benefits to the equities in your vault?:
1. Maintaining a navy that reduces piracy enough to have global JIT delivery networks that reduce costs for corps
2. Protects corp interests abroad allowing a larger market and higher profits
3. Enforces regulations that attract a larger than otherwise likely share of people to put their money in the stock market, increasing the value of your equities.
The federal government has spent several trillion dollars fighting several disastrously stupid wars over the last several decades. Please don't try to pretend all that death and destruction wasn't good for the securities in your vault.
Or if that’s too abstract for you, think about how the securities in your vault would fair in the absence of government maintaining basic law and order; honouring and enforcing otherwise fictional property such as copyright, trademarks and patents; some degree of redress in a court system; and some degree of stability of regulation of markets.
So much of the wealth on this planet relies on Governments for it to exist and to persist.
I disagree that you can compartmentalise Government in that way. To the extent that there's aspects of Government which don't directly prop up the value of assets, many of them still play an important role in maintaining the social license required for Government to govern—and thus provide whatever it is you imagine is in your "1%" bucket.
The fact that a lot of unrelated money transits through Government to pay for social services is completely irrelevant to the point.
Military spending is 54% of the federal discretionary budget, though (the discretionary budget is about 1/3rd of the total budget). That all contributes to its security, if not all directly.
According to the 2020 figures, national defense was 11% of federal spending. Discretionary vs. mandatory seems irrelevant here. We might as well say military spending is 100% of military spending. It's just dividing it by something to make it sound higher, usually for propaganda purposes.
Nevertheless I totally agree some part of that 11% will benefit business and commerce. But it is still a terrible deal. In any other context no one would ever buy something with a 90% "commission".
I overlooked that I was looking at the chart from 2015 sorry about that. I was reporting the number on the chart I was seeing, which is why I specified discretionary and also said that discretionary was about a third of total spending, so it was clear. I just didn't have the exact number.
So I did look up actual numbers and the numbers I saw were different to yours. In 2020 the percentage was 15% (721.5 billion for military of 4.79 trillion budget).
But the exact percentage isn't that important. I still don't get the 'not a great deal' part. It's not some good you could either buy from retailer X or brand Y. If no money is spent on military than the country is ripe for invasion, so it's either secure or it isn't. And it's not like we want the percent to be higher. Like we don't want to spend MORE than the Department of Defense thinks we need to secure the country. That's an even worse deal.
Even if you choose to move your assets/business to a country that spends a lot less on military, you're likely benefitting indirectly from how much the US spends on military (assuming it's an ally and the world is stable, that might not stay true in the next couple of decades).
Unless you're arguing to pay for a private security firm to secure your assets, then maybe you can pray we get to a Mad Max style future where it makes sense to do that.
Or you're suggesting it can be bypassed by buying cryptocurrency, which is secured by other means than government might. If that's the case then I'm on board with that thinking.
If your main argument is 'I want all of the money I spend in taxes to solely be spent on securing my assets, so reduce my taxes!' then that's ignoring the other government services those taxes provide.
Don't these exact same arguments apply to property taxes?
Yet property taxes are very common throughout the US. Would you make the same arguments to eliminate property taxes? If not, why are capital gains any different?
(not sure why the downvotes, I just upvoted you - this is a solid question)
I suppose because property values are considered to be more stable than, say, GameStock puts. But you raise a good point, that what we're talking about (really) is a "how we should tax _wealth_" vs "how should we tax _capital gains_".
I feel like "capital gains" occupy a strange middle-ground between income and wealth.
Capital gains clearly represent a change in your wealth, and are somewhat "income-like". But they also are a persistent thing that you are in control of until the time of sale, and are somewhat "property-like".
It seems plausible that we could come up with a reasonable-scheme for capital gains taxes that manages to accommodate both properties, but I think it'd take a fair amount of consideration to make sure that there aren't nasty edge cases, and the benefits outweigh the additional accounting.
Capital gains aren't a strange middle ground. They are the best attempt to have an income system work: they allow the taxation of income from money. A system that taxes only income from labour is grossly unfair to the poor. A system that taxes all wealth is overly bureaucratic and deeply invasive.
I'm against wealth taxes, but you make a good point.
You may have just solidified my opinion against property taxes :)
Seriously, evaluating and setting values for property takes a lot of resources at the city/county level... it would take a massive increase to properly evaluate wealth for taxation, because so much of it is completely intangible and abstract.
Real property is subject to tax every year. Every county in USA has an elaborate hierarchy of assessors and collectors devoted to this. There's no conceptual reason that securities couldn't also be subject to tax on a regular basis, and it could be made much simpler by only levying the tax on e.g. the top 1% of owners of securities.
Well, obviously, I don't actually think that. USA as a system of representative government, if it ever actually existed, certainly doesn't exist now. There is no way for the polity as it exists to stop taking everything from the majority of citizens and giving it to the authoritarian rich. The eventual answer will be a breakup, with the wealthy Pacific states escaping first and various other regional subdivisions giving up on the dream until finally the DC vampires will have no more victims left. Some of these successors to USA will reproduce the same broken system, only at a mercifully smaller scale. Others, I hope, will reduce the harms that arbitrary authority inflicts on humanity. Since we'll all still be Americans, many of us will be able to move to e.g. western Iowa if they figure out the best way to live before the rest of us do. At least once bond-holders are no longer tempted to finance our horrible wars we won't menace the rest of the world with so many of them.
However, when discussing the various symptoms of this fundamental malady, as we are ITT, it's often useful to take the marketing at its word. It would be nice if our IRS were created and operated in the interests of justice for the vast majority of Americans. Let's imagine how that might be, and see how far the actual falls short of the ideal. The quicker we see USA as it is rather than how it has been sold to us from birth, the quicker we'll figure out something else marginally less awful.
There are any number of principled reasons to oppose paying taxes to USA government, but "I'm rich and I can afford the lobbyists and tax attorneys to make the system work for me" is not among those.
The entire middle class already does pay a regular tax on their assets. We call it "property taxes". The groups who AREN'T taxed on the bulk of their assets are the poor (who have no assets) and the wealthy (whose assets aren't taxed).
For liquid investments that have a well-agreed-upon market value, that wouldn't be a problem above a moderate wealth threshold. In particular, it should be easy to obtain credit against these securities (if necessary/desired) to pay the tax bill.
The loans would be very secure, since by definition they would have appreciated more than the taxes owing. And if the current offsetting-loss notions are retained (e.g. losses can be carried back to offset prior gains), if the securities fall in value then the taxes paid would be refunded, providing another way to repay the loan.
In the meantime, you'd avoid a current inefficiency of the tax system that encourages people to hold on to subpar or undesirable investments to avoid realizing taxable gains. The entire cottage industry of deciding which investments are "tax efficient" and should be held in taxable versus tax-sheltered accounts should go away.
Probably true in general, but if people are already monetizing assets through borrowing then likely: they have liquidity and b) the asset has a fairly concrete value.
I’m not sure how you’d write a matching tax provision but there should be something. Maybe the answer is to rely more heavily on VATs as Europe does.
Actually it is even worse --
1. What happens if the MtM is negative (your have unrealized losses) -- does the government now owe you a refund?
2. Isnt this unfairly in favor knowledge businesses where there is tremendous value but no real MtM? So a private accounting firm with lots of clients gets no real MtM while a farm with physical assets gets a high MtM that is taxed.
What if you ask them to declare the taxable value,
however anyone is allowed to step in and purchase the asset listed at that value?
If you want to list your business as losing money and worth no taxable value. Someone can pay what you say it's worth and take it over.
Using greed to align incentives.
The problem with that (and all other forms of eminent domain) is that the value of a piece of property to the owner is often far higher than its value on the open market. Even if this is purely a business decision and not, say, related to an irreplaceable family heirloom, the risk of a forced sale at an inconvenient time would be far too disruptive.
For example, let's say you own a car with an appraised value of $25,000—meaning that you could buy one similar to your for that price (more or less). So you declare the taxable value to be $25,000 and pay the corresponding tax, and then right before you leave for an extended road trip someone decides that they would rather have your vehicle than one from a dealer and makes you an offer for $25,000 which you cannot legally refuse. Now you're without a car and scrambling to buy a replacement and get it registered, insured, packed, and ready to leave on short notice. Your plans are disrupted and the new vehicle, while "equivalent" to the one you had before in terms of factory specs and general condition, just isn't the same as the one you had carefully maintained and customized to your liking.
In practice people would need to over-declare the value of any property they didn't want to sell, which effectively makes this a tax on how attached people are to specific items and not a tax on their "fair" market value. The situation becomes even worse if the owner has enemies willing to over-pay for the item purely out of spite.
One of the fundamental rights of ownership is the right to choose not to sell, no matter how much someone offers.
Pretty trivial to declare your car at $26,000. The extra tax is minimal, and if someone buys it, the $1000 bonus will cushion your annoyance.
If we think that "everyone" will have to "overdeclare" in such fashion, then obviously the government is collecting more revenue than it intended and will lower the tax rates to compensate, so in the end, you'll pay the same dollar amount in tax on your $26,000 car as you would have on your $25,000 car.
So, such a system would work fine. Particularly for property taxes, which are currently the subject of much scamming (apartment buildings in NYC being valued at a few percent of their actual market value, for example).
> If we think that "everyone" will have to "overdeclare" in such fashion, then obviously the government is collecting more revenue than it intended and will lower the tax rates to compensate, …
If everyone over-declares by the same amount, sure. But not everyone will. It depends on how much attachment one has to a specific item, how much risk there is that someone will attempt to take it, and how painful or inconvenient it would be to lose it. And you're ignoring the point about being vulnerable to motivated individuals willing to pay above-market rates purely to cause trouble.
Pretty obvious that insurance companies would make a killing here, providing "asset retention" riders.
You get to declare a reasonable value, and if someone wants to buy, but you're not willing to sell at that time, the insurance company negotiates a substitute payment, and works that cost into your retention rider rate going forward.
This is outrageously favorable to the uber-wealthy (and anyone who is an order of magnitude more wealthy than you.)
Piss someone off? Maybe they'll just come in and buy your house. Cherished one of a kind item? Jeff Bezos likes it, so it's his now. Property developer wants to build something on your land? Get ready to move, no questions asked.
>>Cherished one of a kind item?
Can you give an example of an item with a large resale value that is cherished? Most sentimental valuable items tend to be of lower value. The ones I can think of, e.g. Wedding rings etc..... well if this would drive people to spend less on diamond rings or useless trinkets that generate a lot of pollution because it's the sentimental value that matters, that would be a win.
Any item must be purchased at a +30% premium over the recorded value with that extra 30% going to the state if a sale occurs. So if you did want to hold onto something, you would declare a higher value and get paid extra.
You would declare a higher valuation and get taxed extra... all while still not preventing Jeff Bezos or anyone with sufficient wealth from swooping in and buying it.
I agree that forcing people to sell has its issues, but perhaps you could have a tax on loans of a certain size and/or not being able to deduct as much for the interest paid. Then nobody would be forced to sell, unless they wanted very large amounts of cash. I'm sure someone could find loopholes for those ideas as well.
What if the government purposely targeted relatively high inflation by printing money (and distributing it to all as a UBI).
Inflation seems like a pretty efficient wealth tax… and if the money is distributed fairly as a UBI that would cancel out the benefits that the wealthy have vs regular people to protect against inflation.
There's some truth to this - but opposite could happen as well. You might get to the end of your life and find that the tax situation is even worse. So it's a gamble.
If we eliminated the charitable "Foundation" dodges that the super-rich are using, then I think we'd see many fewer people playing this game.
> The real issue is that the super rich create these personal "foundations" that act as never-taxed income holes, and then use them as personal and political tools.
Opinions may differ, but one major point is that our tax system is a joke.
If we can put a movie about flying humans to the moon on Netflix, why can't we implement a tax system that isn't a Byzantine train wreck?
> ... why can't we implement a tax system that isn't a Byzantine train wreck?
Because the people with power (money) like it this way. They aren't interested in what is fair for everyone, they are only interested in what they can get away with.
The rich can afford to hire a team of lawyers and accountants to navigate the tax system, and pay almost nothing. But they have to keep the fiction up that they are paying tax by having their "on the books" tax rate be non-zero.
Lacking? The incentives are in geared towards a high rate with lots of deductions, certainly on the business side. If I'm running a business I don't want a low rate or low regulation - I want a high rate with loopholes narrowly tailored to whatever I'm doing and a high regulatory burden.
Politicians want exactly the same thing.
It's not exactly the same with non-business tax rates but it's not that far off either - see the deduction for SALT.
> avoiding the obvious argument that capital gains are eventually taxed - the rich are not escaping that.
I used to think this too until my wife inherited some stocks from her grandmother. Turns out the strike price is reset when you inherit and you dodge all of the capital gains tax.
This turned out to be a major win for us because her grandmother had acquired the stocks when she worked for AT&T back in the Ma Bell days and had not paid attention to them for 50 years. The paperwork was a complete mess and we had zero idea what the strike price would have been on stock she got as part of her normal income some time in the 50s and had been split up and recombined so many times in the mean time.
Capital gains are eventually taxed if you ever sell, but some individuals will just hold and take out loans against their enormously large amount of collateral to avoid incurring capital gains tax.
This argument is repeated a lot but I never understood the mechanics. Wouldn’t they have to pay back the principal + interest, from a supposedly taxed source of income? This sounds like a scheme to delay taxes and optimize cash flow, but not a way to avoid taxes altogether?
I created this spreadsheet to show that the difference is pretty trivial IFF you ever cash out (<2% over 10 years).
However, a lot of people:
1) never plan to cash out.
2) know that tax rates are fickle and plan for a day when there will be extremely low tax rates - just like for companies to "repatriate" their profits - and hope that they can in the future realize with little-to-no profits (although, I doubt capital gains tax rates will go much lower, and might actually go MUCH higher).
Anyway - the difference before you realize is >13% over 10 years (and the higher the rate of return is, the bigger the difference - it's >17% with a 10% per year return, which is historically average for the extremely wealthy according to Piketty).
This strategy isn't really popular unless you have a networth of greater >$20M. It's particularly attractive, because you get $40k in untaxed capital gains per year - which is roughly what you need to pay the interest on your "borrowed" / "pretend unrealized" capital gains. And, the added benefit is, the interest IS TAX DEDUCTIBLE!
It's all about deferring to death and then hoping for the best possible tax treatment at death allowing basis step-up and avoiding estate taxes via various trusts.
To the degree that someone isn't so concerned about passing down the maximum amount of wealth, there are also a number of things that can be done to turn appreciated assets into an annuity through an existing non-profit of some sort. (e.g. using a CRUT).
Great summary and sensible conclusion. The problem is much of the NYT and ProPublica writing are wrapped in sensationalism and start from an extreme left position on the subject.
I'm totally supportive of "taxing the uber wealthy"... But govt needs to take the long approach on this. Eventually, people die and inheritance kicks in. That's where these generational mega wealth transfers that don't do much good for society can be mitigated.
The document leak probably has a banal explanation. Some insider with access to the documents...
I hope you at least recognize that this is an uncommon opinion. Most Americans think billionaires pay too little tax, not only that they pass too much to their heirs. It's hardly extreme left.
Luckily US cannot police other countries (not that it didn't try) to prevent people from taking advantage of more competitive tax regions outside of US.
US obsession with taxing people and businesses to the ground is a strong contributor for so much capital escaping US.
I feel like this article does 4 things:
1. Foment rage at the inequalities of the tax system (very easy to do) through their simple narrative
2. Flag to wealthy people who are paying their fair share to look at how to further improve their tax efficiency.
3. Create political damage (which seem to lean democratic) to the individuals who are doing everything legally?
It seems like ProPublica is trying to continue to lay the groundwork for a wealthtax campaign by fomenting further rage around the inequalities of US tax system.
Aside from that I have deep concerns about the source of this information and why it was used. Seems like IRS taxes have been weaponized and are readily available. Everyone should be deeply concerned about how ProPublica got this information.
Actually, most HNWI capital growth is not taxed, ever. It is a mistake to think any meaningful percentage of the wealth is sold or transferred, except on a stepped up basis to descendants, who likewise will hold it indefinitely. This does concentrate wealth.
That depends on what you mean. The US government (and a lot of US citizens) think that the tax on money Apple earns on selling iPhones in Europe belongs to the US, not France. But I feel if an iPhone is sold in a French building by a French person to another French person, with money transfered between two French bank accounts, all of that in French society, that that tax money belongs to the French and the US needs to keep its grubby paws off of it. No bullshit 'if you bring it back in the US we will forgo half of the tax on it and protect you internationally from the fallout'.
Yes... and it's important to remember that unrealized stock gains aren't really wealth either. It's not like Bezos can go out and buy 100 billion things from the McDonald's dollar menu. The money is locked up in the shares and he has so many that any attempt to sell more than a few could really depress the price of the stock.
If anything, he's sort of a curator of the wealth for everyone in the Amazon world. Yes, he's able to live very well, but the simple value of his unsold shares doesn't capture his true ability to buy things.
The article explains this, they use those unrealized gains as collateral for loans—bypassing the need to pay capital gains by actually selling the shares.
Presumably they sell stock, but any money works. It's all a gamble. If the stock tanks -- and they often do-- then it's easy to end up in bankruptcy.
But this article is all about hating on the rich and imagining that it's all perfect for them. They don't want to talk about the times when the stock falls and the once rich turn into very poor.
Remind me when that's ever been allowed to happen in the past 10 years. At the first sign of any market trouble, the default Fed response is OMO and cutting interest rates to shore up the markets. Stock prices can never fall even if the actual economy is in the shitter.
Note that assets in a foundations and donor advised funds are not reported in anyone’s net worth online calculators.
There is no way to predict somebody’s net worth and all the lists are wrong. There are only a few public things and they are all snapshots in time that assume it’s still true forever. An actor on a big movie? The list will say “we estimate they made 20 million, lets list them as a net worth of 20 million forever”, a non obfuscated real estate property record either in someones name or linked to them? Okay we are counting that. Aside from that they are just counting shares of public companies that large % holders are required to disclose. Outside of those slivers you’ll still never know if they were a savvy and passive investor in other public equities just like you are trying to be. You’ll never know if they made 1,000% more on tech stocks. You’ll never know if they assigned shares and cash to a charitable organization they control. You’ll definitely never know what subsequent trades the charitable organization made.
But even without pointing at charities: Hedge Funds, VC and Private Equity firms are not reported nor are any business interest. These things can pay out arbitrarily and also have large amounts of funds in any limited partners name.
This seems like a state-sponsored hack to reveal this information (Solarwinds?). Way too much information for one IRS employee to leak.
I would be incredibly surprised if anyone who had that kind of access to IRS returns (ie searchable database for everyone) would leak the 25 top earners. It does add up for the career risk to take that risk on especially as its not leaking anything illegal just shining a light on the injustices of the system.
“We do not know the identity of our source. We did not solicit the information they sent us. The source says they were motivated by our previous coverage of issues surrounding the IRS and tax enforcement, but we do not know for certain that is true. We have considered the possibility that information we have received could have come from a state actor hostile to American interests. In particular, a number of government agencies were compromised last year by what the U.S. has said were Russian hackers who exploited vulnerabilities in software sold by SolarWinds, a Texas-based information technology company. We do note, however, that the Treasury Department’s inspector general for tax administration wrote in December that, “At this time, there is no evidence that any taxpayer information was exposed” in the SolarWinds hack.“
The article also points out that "in the coming months" it'll reveal more. Although I agree this isn't that interesting, just judging by the income reported Buffett, Bezos, Musk, paid 19%, 23%, and 30% respectively (not counting obviously massive stakes in unrealized gains)... the outlier here is Bloomberg at 3%.
Due to the step-up-basis law, the government does not collect any capital gains not realized prior to death. So if you make 10 million in capital gains on a lucky early stage $5,000 investment, and die without any other assets, the (US federal) government will collect zero in taxes from you, your estate or your heirs.
Other countries have a time limit for how long you're allowed to sit on unrealized gains. In Ireland, for example, you have to pay capital gains on unrealized gains at the 7 year mark.
> 1. Capital Gain taxes are delayed until you actually sell the stock.
By far, the greatest increase in wealth (and inequality) is due to capital gains.
> [...] capital gains are eventually taxed
Normally, one might sell assets before a decline, and at that point gains (and therefore taxes) may be realised.
This is avoided by HODL stock in holding companies (such as Berkshire Hathaway) which can rotate assets without ever incurring capital gains (or indeed income).
What about the point about taking out loans to avoid paying income tax, since money from a loan isn't income. Isn't that one of the major points?
I don't get how do they pay the loan off though, without paying taxes on the money used to pay off the loan. How does that work? Any loan I take out, I'd have to get income and then use my income to pay off the loan.
I assume if you have a loan of $100,000 secured against an asset worth $1 million that appreciates 10% each year, you can basically continue rolling over the loan.
As long as the asset value doesn’t drop, you never have to actually repay the loan with your own cash (at least, not until you die or you sell the asset).
> Squabbling over a wealth tax is not useful. The real issue is that the super rich create these personal "foundations" that act as never-taxed income holes, and then use them as personal and political tools.
Politicians have them as well. Their foundations rarely if not ever cater to their stated mission. Instead, politicians use them as legal bribery vehicles.
> Unfortunately instead, the author spends much more time on point 1, conflating wealth with income, and avoiding the obvious argument that capital gains are eventually taxed - the rich are not escaping that.
Isn't it the point that wealth creates more wealth? and the more you have the more you can make? thus not paying taxes leaves you with more to play with?
No, the more wealth doesn't mean the "more you can make". A majority of people own homes, for instance. And these homes usually go up in value. But no tax authority comes to your house and starts taxing you on how much the value of your home has increased. You pay taxes on the profits when you sell your home, not when you sit in it. Same thing goes for shares in companies. In both cases, the home and shares, owning something that has increased in value doesn't mean you have a stack of cash in your hand. You might once you sell your assets, at which point you pay taxes in both cases.
Real estate tax is literally a tax you pay to the authority that “comes to your house and starts taxing you on how much the value of your home has increased”.
Just to be precise, aren't the taxes approved by the taxing authority allocated proportionally based on the total value of the real estate in the jurisdiction? In other words if all real estate values go up, your taxes should remaing constant?
Maybe in different parts of the US this varies, but should the taxing authorities get more money because the real estate market is hot and do they take less when real estate values are down?
That's a property tax, not quite the same thing. You'd still pay it even if the home didn't increase in value, and you'd still pay it even if the home decreased in value, right? Isn't that more a local infrastructure bill?
Here the property tax is a function of the estimated marked value of the property.
Especially fun for old people living off their pension in their family home with large, attractive gardens in areas which were way outside town but now, some 50-60 years later, has become highly attractive...
The property tax is based on the value of the home. If your home loses value, your property tax goes down, all other things being equal. Increasing home values increase your property tax bill.
This doesn't make sense to me, people take loans to make more money via starting a business or other ventures, loans cost a lot of money, so just having capital to loan out etc makes you money.. Money creates more money so the more you have the more you can make in a proportional way. No?
Isn't point 3 actually a net good, though? I'm personally okay with people wealthy enough to consider point 3 creating foundations that procure more murals, enhance local zoos, or support cancer research.
Interestingly I can't hear any party, be it from the left or from the right hand side of the spectrum, telling that they are going to tackle tax avoidance by limiting 2. and 3.
It should be frankly quite easy to identify fake costs and "charitable" foundations.
They can only talk about minimum Corporation Tax...
The rich usually are escaping capital gains tax. There are a very large number of ways to avoid realising capital gains. A good example of this is John Malone...he has spent about two decades continuously trading assets up to $8bn, I would be surprised if he has ever actually paid capital gains.
Point #3 has come to the (wealthy) masses via the “directed trust” which allows you to “donate” your money and take the write-off without actually donating it yet. It’s only just a bit more than a promise of eventual future donation.
1. You don't have to sell the stock -- one could fund an ultra-wealthy lifestyle by renting expensive things, using stock as collateral. As your stock goes up in value, so does the value of things you have access to.
Points 2 and 3 are also being accomplished by corporations being willing to sponsor politicians that will reduce them no matter how horrible or unqualified they are in other domains.
This is a little random, but I had received stock as part of an acquisition, which I had to pay taxes on as if it were income. Now, if I sold that stock, do I have to pay taxes again?
Presumably only on the capital gains, assuming any. So if the stock was taxed as being valued at X when you received it, and you sold it at x + y , you'd need to pay taxes on y.
"The results are stark. According to Forbes, those 25 people saw their worth rise a collective $401 billion from 2014 to 2018. They paid a total of $13.6 billion in federal income taxes in those five years, the IRS data shows. That’s a staggering sum, but it amounts to a true tax rate of only 3.4%."
Income taxes paid divided by increase in net worth, how is this NOT conflating?
No one's definition of 'true tax rate' is calculated this way.
Wealth taxes in practice tend to make income taxes look simple - to be effective they need to be capricious and arbitrary in way that's difficult to sustain in a country with a legal system that at least makes a reasonable show of not liking either of those two things.
Fringe, whacky ideas are getting funded and their bad ideas given fuel to spread, and boosted on social media. Just thinking back how laughably bad of an idea communism was, and how many lives it cost.
Just because you're a billionaire does not mean you should be playing a social engineer.
It's very possible to pay more taxes while married. Two high income people getting married will very often face a large "marriage penalty".
It's the dumbest thing I've ever heard of when I first looked into taxes when thinking about getting married. We seriously thought about not getting married on paper because of it.
You can just Google "Marriage Tax Penalty" and you'll get more details and history than I can write in a post.
I imagine it's not a super common problem in the general population. But for the HN demographics, two high earning bay area tech people getting married is pretty common, and they'll often be hit with the penalty.
The source of how they got the tax returns is the story - very unsettling that the IRS had a security breach (either leak or hacked). I suspect SolarWinds has a part in this
Capital gains are not eventually taxed if you hold the stock until you pass them get the step up in cost basis. Easier to do if you can borrow cheaply and deduct the interest.
please help me understand what you call "capital gains".
in india, when you are holding a share in a company for example, its value goes from $1 to $4 in a year. for that financial year, your accountant says "hey. you earned $3 as capital gains", and its appropriately taxed as short term capital gains or long term.
how do American financial statements show "wealth"? i read the article but i don't understand. if my personal balance sheet was $ 1 at the start of the year and by the closing, i say my capital balance is now $2, that means i got the balance through some earning so that is what is taxed. why the half assed approach to delay till final sale?
accrual is an accounting word. isn't it?
Delaying until final sale encourages people to keep money in the market. Money in the market is, ostensibly, providing a value to society as good; probably better, than anything government has ever done.
The distinction is "wealth as personal consumption" versus "wealth as resource allocation."
The former is something that only benefits the wealthy person. The latter is something that already benefits society.
> "wealth as personal consumption" versus "wealth as resource allocation."
Wanted to post exactly the same comment.
We are yet to develop an appropriate terms, that are _widely_ understood that describe the problem in details.
Personally, I don't see the problem with "rich getting richer". I see the problem with poor getting poorer.
It seems it is waaaay more complicated then the simple tax the rich
> in india, when you are holding a share in a company for example, its value goes from $1 to $4 in a year. for that financial year, your accountant says "hey. you earned $3 as capital gains", and its appropriately taxed as short term capital gains or long term.
Capital gains taxes in India appear to work the same way as capital gains taxes in the United States[0]:
> Simply put, any profit or gain that arises from the sale of a ‘capital asset’ is a capital gain.
The tax is only incurred at the time of sale. If you don't sell anything then your accountant will report $0 in capital gains, even if the value of your assets (on paper) has increased.
If you are invested in a mutual fund then (at least by US rules) you may have reportable short-term or long-term gains despite not actually selling any shares due to trading activity in the fund; the taxes are passed through to the fund's investors. However, this is unrelated to any change in the value of the fund's shares.
If I buy a share of a company for $1 January 1 2019 and it is worth $2 January 1 2020 I've got $1 of 'unrealized gains'. I pay zero taxes.
If I sold it before 1 year of holding, I'd pay $1 in taxes (the gain) at my top tax rate based on my other income. If I sell it after 1 year I pay tax at a reduced rate on the total gain.
In the US (and most western countries), the difference is not reported as income until you actually sell it. This removes any debate about the value of the asset.
Yes, and that's the only sensible way to do it, IMHO.
The market value of an asset goes up and down all the time. There is only an actual gain or an actual loss when that asset is sold. That's the appropriate time to tax (and that's also when the person is sure to have the cash to pay any tax since they have just sold the asset!)
Because,there’s no income until you actually sell.
Imagine someone poor, having bought a small house in a sketchy neighborhood for not much. Imagine this neighborhood now becoming really fancy with hipsters moving in. With your system, the person would have to basically sell his house just to pay taxes on gains that didn’t translate into anything in his real life.
In many places in the US (California aside), property taxes are pegged against the assessed value of the home and re-assessed on a regular cadence. So the scenario you paint can definitely happen.
The way that property taxes work in California is more similar to Capital Gains in the US where your taxes are based on the sale price (although imposed continually, not just when a transaction occurs). The net effect of this is that you have neighbors with effectively identical homes who pay a full order of magnitude difference in property taxes every year (i.e. 2k vs 20k). [1]
what is wrong with you. when did i talk about a "poor" person. i specifically wrote when you record an amount in your financial statements as your "gain", after close of financial year, there is no uncertanity of what was earned. the actual has happened.
why would a regular home owner create his financial statement?
You said "accrual of income". Everyone has been trying to clarify to you, that the change in value of an unsold asset is not income, it is not a gain or loss as far as taxes are concerned.
Not if you never sell. At death the "basis" is reset to the current market price. All those capital gains accumulated during a lifetime are never subject to capital-gains tax.
There is currently a proposal to eliminate this loophole which was originally intended to deal with the difficulty of determining the history of a dead person's assets. Obviously this doesn't apply to the extremely rich with accountants, lawyers and financial advisors.
This article does not conflates income and wealth, stop saying that. This is NOT what it says.
Thats' the whole damn point, they say that the system "tax the income" is flawed because it allows to borrow as much as your wealth allows, and live your life exactly as if you had that in income, without ever paying the income tax.
I am quoting "Their wealth derives from the skyrocketing value of their assets, like stock and property. Those gains are not defined by U.S. laws as taxable income unless and until the billionaires sell"
> "tax the income" is flawed because it allows to borrow as much as your wealth allows, and live your life exactly as if you had that in income, without ever paying the income tax.
I don't see how that can be true, you eventually have to repay the loan, to do that you need income which will be taxed. For example if you borrow 100000 dollars for one year with 3% interest you will have to pay to the bank 103000 dollars, as far as I understand you can only write off the 3000 dollars on your taxes. The reason rich people borrow against their equity is because they don't want to sell it and their equity makes them more money than the interest rate on their loans.
Furthermore while the article does distinguish wealth from income, it fails to distinguish realized from unrealized gains. Taxing unrealized gains comes with two very significant downsides.
Firstly to make the system fair it should provide tax credits for unrealized losses which means when the market goes down all of these people will use that tax credit to cancel out the huge salaries they will be paying themselves on that year.
Secondly while a tax on unrealized gains will be annoying to rich people it will be devastating to small time investors, because it will force them to liquidate their minor positions in order to pay their taxes.
To give a concrete example lets assume a college grad has a single share of amazon he bought last year for around 2000 usd, today that same share is worth around 3000 usd that's 1000 dollars of gains if our hypothetical student has to pay income tax on that 1000 dollars let's say 20% because he also has income. He will have to pay with his income (which has already been taxed) or he will have to sell that stock essentially robbing him of the future gains he could have if he held that stock.
This is what I guessed, but maddeningly the article doesn't actually say it out loud, instead talking about estate taxes and trusts (which surely also play a role). Do you know another source for this?
The US tax code has had step-up basis for over 100 years, since income tax was first put in place. I don't think there are any archival documents showing the reasoning for that particular choice. I think the common belief is that it was a simplification due to the relative lack of record keeping 100+ years ago.
If you inherited some assets in 1909 it could have been very hard to figure out what the cost basis was, since you would have no idea where the records were or if any records had even been kept.
This isn't true; they have no relation to one another. It definitely wasn't a "well, since we are taxing the estate, we should create a step-up basis".
The step-up basis was the result of Treasury Decision T.D. 2690 in 1918. The modern estate tax went into effect in 1916.
The step-up basis is likely simply a mistake influenced by UK norms. The tax code was created from whole cloth by regulators that had never done it before. (Congress basically passed the buck, abdicating responsibility to Treasury to figure it all out.)
Treasury made several errors of basic logic in the early years, some of which were subsequently fixed, others (like step-up basis) weren't.
On the UK influence: back in 1913 the UK (and most other countries at the time) didn't tax capital gains at all. The law passed by Congress implied that capital gains should be taxed but the drafter of the law (it was written by a single person) was surprisingly confused and vague on the subject giving five or six different possible interpretations of what he meant.
And so: step-up basis. The original 1913 income tax law didn't say what should happen. Over the next several years Treasury grappled with the issue, and related capital gains questions, effectively a "first time in history" kind of solving the problem.
From a history of early errors in the tax code by the Treasury:
"Beyond mere error, there was the influence of the income tax of the United Kingdom––the foreign income tax most prominent in the minds of the drafters of the 1914 regulations––which did not tax capital gains at all. As Marjorie Kornhauser recounts in her work on the early history of capital gains taxation under the federal income tax, from 1913 until 1921 Treasury’s interpretation of the income tax as encompassing capital gains was controversial, and it was unclear whether Treasury’s interpretation would withstand judicial challenge. If total exemption of capital gains was thinkable because of the UK model, then basis rules allowing for widespread self-help exemption might have seemed unexceptionable. In addition, the trust law distinction between principal and income––under which capital gains are assigned to principal rather than income—may have influenced Treasury’s misunderstanding of the role of basis in an income tax. Finally, there was the statutory declaration that income did not include the value of property received by way of gift or bequest. For regulators not accustomed to the distinction between deferral and exclusion provisions, it would have been easy to overread the statute as implying a permanent exclusion rather than as merely being silent on the question of permanent exclusion versus deferral."
The Treasury decision was enshrined into law in 1921 -- based on the Congressional testimony of a single person whose testimony has been described as "not his finest hour" due to logical errors like this that went unremarked upon by the Senators -- cementing the mistake permanently due to a failure to apply consistent logic to taxation issues.
The claim that one should get a step-up basis because of the estate tax is obviously nonsensical. If you sell the assets before death, you pay both the capital gains tax and then the estate tax. But if you don't sell the assets before death, you only pay one tax.
There is no logical explanation for why the application of both taxes should occur if the sale happens before death but only one tax should apply if the death happens before the sale.
In 1976 Congress got rid of the step-up basis in the Tax Reform Act of 1976.
Due to intense lobbying by rich people, it was restored in 1980.
You have $100M of stock in Berkshire Hathaway. You use use that as collateral to borrow $11M. You use $1M of the loan to pay expenses (including the interest on the loan). You invest the other $10M in Amazon.
A year later you have $11M in Amazon stock and $110M in Berkshire Hathaway. You borrow against the Amazon stock and use that to pay off the first loan. Lather, rinse, repeat.
The bankers are always happy. Why would they ever foreclose on you?
You are right, they aren't. You need to grow wealth and hang out with bankers at company expense ;)
No more growth and no more yaht trips then it is time for dividends or shares sell off to pay loans.
Only if the value of the assets goes down signficantly. Your loan based on Enron stock needs to be paid back (or recollaterialized), but one based on a stock that's been doing well or on a reasonably diversified portfolio can probably avoid repayment until you sell or die. From what I've seen, asset backed loans will have a % limit of value for initiating a loan and a higher % limit to keep the loan, but both limits are often much lower than a brokerage margin loan.
Of course they aren't, which is why they're perfectly happy to continue refinancing. They make money on the interest, not the principle. And each refinance increases the bank's total collected interest. As long as they eventually get the principle back, a bank is perfectly happy with this arrangement.
Why do you think people are willing to put money into accounts that they pay no taxes on now, but will have to pay taxes on later?
There's multiple reasons, and they all tend to apply to equity too. As a bonus, equity in things like property has even more bonuses for taking loan cash now and repayment later: things depreciate in value (theoretically), and you get write offs. There's all sorts of tax shenanigans you can do to shift around what money you owe when to minimize your tax burdens. Getting 'paid' with a loan is one of them.
Another major thing is: they can borrow so much that it doesn't matter. If you could borrow a billion dollars based on your house, would you do it? Do you think you could turn that money into something more? What if you never turned a profit off that billion, and instead just lived off of it. Then died. Never paid any taxes, because you 'lost' money every year. Combine that with all the BS you can do with estate taxes, and you can probably send a huge chunk of change to your kids too.
I googled a bit, it looks to me that pledged asset lines, typically require you to pay off the capital.
There are loans marketed as interest only, but my understanding is that even with these loans the payment of the capital is deferred to the end of the term, not that you don't have to pay it back at all.
There are annuities, a financial instrument where the seller receives a lump sum and then pays back a fixed amount in perpetuity but I think only insurance companies sell these.
I think the most likely scheme is what the other comment is suggesting, refinancing the loan repeatedly
No, there is no "end of term". You just have to pay the interest every month. They can ask for the principal back at any moment though but by the nature of the loans if that happened you'd sell your stocks to make good on it. But in practice that would only happen if there is a sharp decline in the underlying assets so if you only borrow like 30% of the value then you are generally fine. Obviously there is risk involved since this involves the stock market and borrowing money.
That's exactly how they work. As long as you keep making interest payments, and the value of the asset you took the loan against remains above a pre-defined threshold, you never need pay back the principal. The idea being that you invest the money you borrowed and earn a profit on the difference between the interest payment and your investment return. And the interest payment itself is tax-deductible because you borrowed to invest. Neat trick, right?
Btw, this is a power also available to ordinary people, in the form of a HELOC.
Is that true though? "Ordinary people" also have to pay additional fees (ex. Mortgage insurance), have higher interest rates, and have access to fewer high-interest investment opportunities.
I mean, I'm glad I didn't HELOC my way to a few Bitcoin last month, so maybe it's best we leave these tricks to the rich folk anyway.
Only borrow half of what they allow you to. Don't borrow the full amount. In that case it would require more than a 50% drop before you run into issues.
I don't think anyone is arguing to tax any unrealized gains except the exceptionally wealthy? Like can you argue that someone worth over 100mm would be hurt by say 1% annually?
I can see an argument for executive controlled corps, like Zuckerberg wants to maintain control of a company. But it seems like there are many ways Zuck for instance could avoid losing his voting power or restructure some even odder special share class so it doesn't matter.
If he doesn't want to pay cash maybe even allow treasury to hold this 1% as stock and pass the voting power back to the owner.
Opens a HUGE can of worms in many ways (hold, sell, incentives to increase value can be bad for the rest of us).
But I like the fundamental concept of adding back benefit for OUR gov for all we do to help.
if the rest of us taxpayers are giving huge support to the market and corporations like QE, stimi, loose regulation/tax law, trade wars, whatever, we should also get some of the gains to fund services or lower taxes on the other 50 or even 99%.
> This article does not conflates income and wealth, stop saying that.
The article repeatedly uses what it calls a "true tax rate", which is calculated from wealth. It does this knowing that people reason about tax rates as percentages of income.
With this in mind, I think it's fair to say that the article puts a fair amount of work into talking about wealth and income as different, but also willingly conflates the two in order to produce shocking numbers when it's convenient.
They explicitly calculate it based on increase in wealth, rather than total wealth, which seems like a reasonable substitution.
If you look at Scrooge McDuck's giant pit full of gold coins, and even though the pipe flowing into the room marked 'income' doesn't have any coins rolling down it into the pile, but the pipe heading out marked 'expenses' seems to be steadily draining coins... and yet the pile of coins is somehow still getting bigger...
.... maybe you have to accept that just looking at what's going on in that income pipe isn't giving you the whole picture.
You're completely right on both counts. That's precisely what they do. Income is definitely not the whole picture.
I don't disagree with anything you've written here. I just think that conflating growth in value of assets and liquid cash is misleading, and using a snappy sloganeered idiom to do so compounds the error. That this is done in pursuit of illustrating an absolutely critical and nuanced political point about finances makes it, in my opinion, all the more important to be clear.
I recognize that this is a position with which reasonable people might differ.
I think that would be a great approach. Incomes and asset values are very different and work differently. They benefit from being discussed with different vocabulary in order to make this distinction clear to the general public.
I don't understand. How that is a reasonable alternative to income? The degree to which your stock goes up or down is irrelevant for tax purposes, until you sell.
It is reasonable in this analysis, which is trying to compare normal people to billionaires. As explained in the article, wealthy people can get loans collateralized by their financial assets. Then they proceed to spend and pay back the loan (which is a deductible expense). The result is that they pay minuscule taxes compared to their worth (read more here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27447959 and here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=27438941). The argument that their worth is not spendable until they sell does not stand up to scrutiny, as the example above shows.
So you end up with these wealthy people spending a ton and increasing their net worth by huge amounts, and paying small (or zero!) taxes.
I agree with you that a different tax law that calculated owed tax like this would not be completely reasonable, but it certainly shows the inequality and I believe it's a reasonable alternative. How would you measure the tax impact on the mega-rich otherwise?
Excellent advice! I read and understood the article as using this the first time. I feel my criticism stands, though again I understand that others may feel differently.
I think most people forget about this. You can have capital gains, not pay taxes, and borrow against them, and spend the money.
In my opinion, do away with income and capital gains tax and have a pure consumption tax instead. Want a lavish lifestyle? Then you will pay higher taxes.
>> In my opinion, do away with income and capital gains tax and have a pure consumption tax instead. Want a lavish lifestyle? Then you will pay higher taxes.
I hold a similar view. Why should someone pay more taxes just because they earn more.
Taxes should include a 'constant' term for benefit that everyone in the society is reaping (e.g., security, public infrastructure and facilities, etc.). There can also be terms proportional to the spendings/lifestyle (i.e., sales tax) and even income, when again the government is introducing some benefit per sale or money earned.
The prime purpose for governments, and thereby enforced taxes should be to pay for things needed that no one individually will otherwise pay for but which the society as a whole needs. An an example, pollution hurts everyone, yet, no particular entity would spend on curbing pollution unless done by enforcing at a social level.
Note: If there is no tax whatsoever in earnings, there would also be a need for some additional tax like inheritance tax, which I support, so that people do not just keep on hoarding the earnings without ever spending.
You don't necessarily have to pay back the loan until your death, then it is taken from the estate and the balance passed on to heirs. At that point the step up basis occurs and the process starts over again. No taxes were paid on the value of the loan. (Correct me if wrong on this)
That’s one of those things that seems too dumb to possibly be true, but it looks like it is? An estate can sell stocks in probate with cost basis set to date of death, not purchase? Sort of makes sense, the heirs would get the stepped-up basis, the stocks, and the debt if the executor didn’t net them out in probate.
I guess it’s a bet you’ll be dead before the interest outweighs the potential tax, or volatility spikes? Betting on your own death seems to macabre, and too tempting too the fates.
For ultra-high net worth individuals it's a pretty safe strategy. Typically a low volatility equity that doesn't pay dividends is used and only a small percentage of their portfolio is used.
Over the long run it tends to work in their favour as well, since it's very likely that the increase in the portfolio value will outpace the interest paid.
That's assuming the asset that would've been sold doesn't increase in value. It's likely that the asset will increase in value more than the cost of the loan.
Loans still have to be paid back with cash plus interest. It can give wealthy people some leverage to make their tax payments more efficient in that they can spread their payments over time or wait for a down year, to liquidate a chunk of assets to pay down debt so they never have a bulge in realized income. But there is still a cost in terms of debt service that make this have limited value. It's not like loans are free money.
Is this even serious?
"what-about" them? It seems pretty obvious that they don't have as much wealth, so the issue is less relevant. Again, that's the point of the article.. Common folks didn't see their wealth skyrocketing
It depends on what your definition of common folks is. Even here in Montreal, where housing prices have been historically depressed VS the US and the rest of Canada, I know plenty of families with very modest salaries who bought 200-300k $ homes 10-20 years ago that are now worth well north of 1.5m+. Obviously a lot of people didn't get richer, but a huge proportion of the population did (at least on paper).
By any definition being worth more than 1m$ is a lot of money, especially here. But it seems like the goalposts keep getting moved to the point where saying "what about the millionaires" is seen as an attack on the working class because billionaires exist. I've seen people argue that Bernie wasn't rich because he is just worth less than 2m$(!!). Sure, billionaires have a lot more wealth than your average millionaire but I'd bet even taxing them at 100% would bring so much less revenue than raising the tax rates on the "lower millionaire bourgeoisie" by a few percentage points. Yes we can do both, but it's not going to happen considering the complete focus on the mega wealthy sometimes coming from other rich people in denial.
You can get similar returns buying index funds and you don't need a down payment or good credit. The sunk cost or rent is usually higher than the sunk cost of mortgage interest and home maintenance, but gives the added benefit of increased liquidity and ability to diversify. And personal mobility.
Unless you are a wage or salary earner, it is trivially easy to avoid having to pay taxes, at least in the USA. Same with the much lauded “inheritance tax” and even, to a lesser extent, sales taxes. It costs about 4000us a year to maintain the legal structures required to pay essentially no taxes, except sales taxes in some locations. In many cases, for lower levels of income, just having a small business can negate income tax burdens.
Taxation always has been, and continues to be, a burden for the servile class to bear. The rich or enterprising pay taxes only when they are ill prepared or choose to, often to reduce scrutiny.
The " I should pay more taxes" rhetoric from the wealthy is merely virtue signaling, it is totally legal to pay more taxes than you owe, and you can even reclaim the money later if you need to. There is nothing preventing anyone from paying the taxes that they feel that they should owe, in excess of legal requirements.
By and large, sales taxes are more evenly applied, but that too is far from perfect.
I think “I should pay more taxes” is generally understood as shorthand for “all people in my financial situation should pay more taxes.”
It’s a bit like saying “I should be required to have fire protection”, “I should be required to carry health insurance,” or “I should be required to use standard turn signals on the road.”
I advocate for higher taxes on myself and others in my position. I vote that way. I worked on a presidential campaign that focused heavily on economic policy and social programs, all of which involved raising taxes.
It's not a secret that one party in the United States wants to raise taxes on higher earners, which includes many in Silicon Valley.
Are you saying that people who say “i should be required to have fire protection, carry health insurance or use turn signals” should be able to not do those things and not look like a hypocrit?
As a trivial example, it's perfectly rational to say, "I should be required to carry health insurance, because universal insuring would lower the premiums for everyone, but I will not do so until then because the premiums are too high."
As a less trivial example that perhaps engages more with what I think your argument is, one can also argue, "Collisions between two SUVs have a higher rate of serious injuries than collisions between two sedans, but in a collision between an SUV and a sedan the sedan has an even higher serious injury rate. Ergo, because all of my fellow commuters drive SUVs, I am also driving an SUV, but I believe SUVs should be outlawed." (I've borrowed this example from an old James Surowiecki column: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2007/07/23/fuel-for-thoug....)
Irrespective of whether these are good policies for other reasons—perhaps we believe it's too much of an infringement upon individual liberty to ban driving SUVs!—it is not inherently hypocritical to not voluntarily take part in an activity which one believes has positive external value only if universally partaken.
Quite frankly, this is a trivial point, yet it's often lost in somewhat silly accusations of hypocrisy, which I think is really disappointing.
Another way to frame this: if I'm a millionaire and want all millionaires to pay more tax (including me), paying more tax without trying to get others to do so could allow other millionaires to spend their tax savings to lobby against higher taxes. I may not want to sacrifice myself nor do I want to pay more tax for myself, but simply want a fairer system. A society is more than the sum of individuals, obviously.
Why would you need others to do something you think you should do? Actually, how would anybody ever start doing that thing if everybody is waiting for someone else to do it first and that person too is waiting for others to do it first?
“Tax me more” is just a publicity stunt and unfortunately it confuses people.
As I noted elsewhere in this thread, this is the nature of what are called "collective action problems."
In effect, these are situations where coordinated collective action may be beneficial, but there is a disincentive to being the initiator of such an action.
The examples I gave above were fireproofing your building, buying health insurance before you are sick, and mandatory turn signals on cars, but these abound in public policy: think, mandatory face mask wearing during a global pandemic in which masks which block the transmission of a disease from an infected person are cheaper than masks which block the infection of someone else.
Regardless of where you come down on the ideological question—perhaps you think it's fundamentally immoral for governments to exist at all, which I can respect!—it's very simple economics that such problems (where the global optimal is only achieved if we ignore individual optimization) exist.
So Warren Buffet and others should wait for the government to increase their tax rate and then they can pay more taxes? And this has to happen because if any one of them pays more taxes before the others they are at a disadvantage?
I think "at a disadvantage" may be the wrong framing. As a member of (say) the 1%, but not the 0.01%, my personal take is this:
- My money does more good, dollar-for-dollar, by my own personal definition of "good", when I donate it to specific charities than when it's collected as tax and then spent.
- We would nonetheless have a net benefit from more aggressive taxation of people like me because a) the reduced effectiveness, per dollar, is counterbalanced by increased overall spending, and b) more progressive taxation would help address inequality of wealth and income, which has other, independent, pernicious impacts.
Because I believe those two things, I both a) advocate for higher taxes on "people like me" and b) to the extent legally possible, minimize my tax burden and prefer to make voluntary charitable contributions.
I believe this last part is fully consistent with the first two bullet points if we take them axiomatically, though they each may of course be themselves wrong.
Edit: I also want to add: I think when we talk policy, we often talk in a "if I were King of the World" sort of way. So, if I were King of the World, we'd raise tax rates but not spend the money on stuff I disagree with. ;) If you told me, "Yeah, we can raise the top income tax rate, but all the extra money will go to drone strikes against civilians," of course I'd oppose it. I think a lot of our "should dos" assume we get other policy outcomes we desire as well.
Let me summarize I guess. I just get annoyed when people like Warren Buffet go "oh if only they'd tax me more" when he's clearly in a position to pay more in taxes if he wants. I certainly empathize with the general social dilemma you outlined, of course, but in this case it just strikes me as marketing and it's very off-putting.
I do think it would be neat if we could just get a receipt for our taxes. At least a general percentage showing what percent goes to what and an opportunity to drill down more into it if we wanted. Though it's a bit bizarre. I don't think I've paid enough in taxes to even buy a cruise missile... lol
I explained my thinking because I can _imagine_ it to also describe someone like Buffet's thinking.
The top 0.1% have about 11% of the income in the US, or about $2Tn. So for someone like Buffet, a one-time contribution of half his net worth—which he has promised to do—is about $55Bn; an extra 1% effective taxation of the income of the 0.1% would be $200bn _per year_.
So even if you're Buffett—and even if you're pledged to donate have of your personal wealth to charity—it's a pretty small amount compared to the ongoing returns from a small tax increase.
I do strongly disagree with many of the things my tax money goes to, obviously. But I think this is where the "King of the World" thing comes in. ;)
It seems to me that Warren Buffet can do both though. He can pay more in taxes by not taking deductions or just giving more to the government and advocate for a higher rate. Lead by example.
For sure, but I assume his calculation may be similar to mine: that it's even more optimal to advocate for a higher tax rate and give his money directly to charities he chooses (which he has done, sort of, by pledging to give half his wealth to the Gates Foundation).
Wouldn't it make sense to just pay more taxes and also give away money to charities?
I mean, even if the tax rates are raised it's not like that money will universally (maybe not even majority) be applied to "good" programs... so once the tax rates are raised you're going to be funding more bombs and all that too. It's not going to just go to welfare (not using this term negatively) programs.
It seems to me if you want to reduce wealth inequality you could do something like pay for a few people each month. Kind of like a patron. Why wait for a government program in which some of the money will be siphoned off for bloat, some of it will not actually go to the issue you want to address, and even so you won't have much of a say in how the money is spent in the first place?
I actually run a non-profit. (Site is down at the moment b/c I didn't want to pay $300 for another year of Wix so I am going to redeploy it on S3 - where art thou time). I see a lot of other non-profits in my space who seem to be siphoning up money for not-so-great ideas and projects and general government contracts. Feels like nobody is really great at this stuff.
I may have been a little unclear. I'm typing this while in a meeting. ;)
My point was that a rational actor might believe that per dollar more good is done by the dollar being given directly to the charity of choice than to the government, but also believe in raising tax rates overall (as a means to social goods).
As a result, the actor should rationally prefer to give as much of their money as possible directly to the charity and not to taxes even while arguing for elevated taxes.
I think the overall issue is that what I personally think someone should do is that if they believe in paying higher taxes, it shouldn't matter what anybody else does, they should just pay higher taxes or even spend money to lobby for higher taxes via campaign contributions, lobbyists, etc.
It just seems like mental gymnastics that some wealthy people use to avoid feeling bad that there are poor people by saying if only they raised taxes you'd pay more while also not paying more. Of course you'd pay more if taxes were raised, except in the case where taxes were raised and then you found loopholes or deductions to not pay them... It's just a way to convince yourself to have your cake and eat it too.
But even if taxes weren't raised, why can't you self-fund social programs? Even at a very basic level - food stamps. You could just offset how much you think you should pay in additional taxes by donating to food pantries or just buying people groceries. You don't need the government to do that. You could make a huge impact in your own community. We all could!
Some of my friends and friends of friends got stimulus money when that first stimulus came around. Based on the previous year's tax returns we received a couple hundred bucks or something. I don't remember exactly. Could have used the money for something? Sure. We could have taken the money and bought something we felt like buying, then went online and said it was a terrible thing that others didn't get enough money and we were getting money. We could have went and did what my friends did and buy new GPUs or something. No. We just turned right around and donated it to the Mid-Ohio Foodbank. They all went on about how they didn't need the money (obviously) and that it was sad people were losing their jobs and on lockdown and all of that and that the government should do something. Like.. why don't you do something? Take that $1,000 you got and turn around and give it to someone who needs it.
Please don't take that personally or anything - I'm exploring this with the aim of a good discussion. I'm not quite as well off as you but we do very well for ourselves and probably need to donate more money anyway. It just always drives me up the wall when Bill Gates or Warren Buffet come out and say they should pay more taxes... they can just do that. They don't need anyone else to. Am I more moral or more of a leader than they are? I highly doubt it. So what's left? Game theory? Or maybe they just want to craft a persona? Idk. I don't mind that people are wealthy. We certainly are depending on who we are being compared to, but I just feel like people are being dishonest with themselves and others on this particular topic, even if it's not intentional.
Don’t worry. I’m not at all offended. It’s a good faith discussion. :)
I think I agree more than I disagree. A few points:
1. Note that Buffet and Gates have both pledged to give half their wealth to charity in their lifetimes. Is your concern that half is too little, that it’s charity and not taxes, or something else?
2. For me personally, quite frankly, I absolutely struggle with the question of how much I should give. I could afford to give more than I do without impacting my lifestyle, and while I don’t live high on the hog maybe my lifestyle should be impacted. I struggle with this, because there’s no obvious answer—if you’re lucky enough to have disposable income, you can always afford to give a little more, no?
My personal view is that what I save now will go to charity when I (and my partner) die, so I don’t worry too much about it—I’m sure at that point the need will be as great as it is now. But I do think these are difficult questions, and I would certainly forgive anyone for having no pat answer to them.
Then again, there’s always the question of extremes. A la Peter Singer (I think), should I donate a kidney to a stranger? For me, utilitarianism says yes, but I just can’t bring myself to do that.
So is it possible I’m being less than fully rational and some of this is guilt assuaging? Yeah, I think so. But anyone as lucky as we are who doesn’t feel a bit of, well, if not guilt, then somehow conflicted about it is someone I really wonder about.
I'd say that for Buffet and Gates the issue is the terminology used. If instead of saying "I'm not taxed enough" they said "people need to give more" or something along those lines that would be fine with me. It's specifically that they're talking about not paying enough taxes while actively using methods to not pay those taxes that bothers me. I have little doubt that they write off their philanthropic contributions for example. Just... don't do that and there ya go. You paid the higher tax rate you say you want to pay. It's their insistence that they are unable to take action that bothers me. They can take action. They are the most capable people in the world who could take action. So for me I just can't believe that it's not marketing and trying to craft an image. Have you ever seen Becoming Warren Buffet on HBO by the way? Fun documentary if taken with a grain of salt.
I think your personal philosophy is in line with mine too. I try to donate time and energy and knowledge into endeavors and source money from others who have the same viewpoint you do. That allows me to have the benefit of working on compounding interest while still effectively doing something. But even then we give a little bit, certainly not enough.
> But anyone as lucky as we are who doesn’t feel a bit of, well, if not guilt, then somehow conflicted about it is someone I really wonder about.
Couldn't agree more. And I'm not sure if guilt is the right word? I feel what we would describe as guilt, but I'm not exactly doing anything "wrong" so it's a complex emotion for me.
If you're ever in Columbus, Ohio let me know - I'll buy you a beer.
It's only reasonable in a competitive environment, outside of that, you have to actually show your reasoning. If we're participants in a market that is designed to be fair, to say the rules should be changed for everyone in order for you not to take advantage of a loophole with negative effects but competitive advantage makes sense. It's saying that you're participating in a market that was designed incorrectly, and asking for the design to be corrected.
To say you're going to keep dodging personal taxes until no one can dodge personal taxes is just dodging taxes. There's no market and no competition. Paying the taxes you think are ideal will just put you in the place you would be if taxes were how you think they should be.
>it is totally legal to pay more taxes than you owe, and you can even reclaim the money later if you need to. There is nothing preventing anyone from paying the taxes that they feel that they should owe, in excess of legal requirements.
Gary Trudeau had a story about how he and his wife were always getting audited because they paid more taxes than people in their income bracket normally paid, so that would be one reason why you might not want to pay more than you have to.
also if I thought I should pay more tax I would probably also think the other people like me should pay more tax and since I am probably in competition with them over things I would not like to disarm myself unless they were likewise disarmed.
I remember a speech by the British comedian David Mitchell. There had been recent scrutiny on a celebrity figure when it came to light that he used all sorts of dirty (but legal) tricks to avoid paying income tax.
Tax avoidance is, of course, legal. In this sense the rich are allowed to choose how much tax they wish to pay, based on their individual conscience or morals.
So effectively, governments have a 'tax on moral behavior', which is stupid.
> In this sense the rich are allowed to choose how much tax they wish to pay, based on their individual conscience or morals.
Not so. There's the law that dictates a minimum amount of tax payable and everyone is entitled to pay only what is strictly owed under the law and not more.
Conscience and morals have nothing to do with it and in my view playing that card in an attempt to make people pay more than legally owed is a form of bullying.
Now, of course we can discuss if the law makes sense and is just, but that's another issue.
That's one framing. Another framing is that if you think we ought to have roads and socialized healthcare and so on, then it seems like it's a bad thing if people are financially incentivized to pay a small platoon of rule-understanders to prevent their money from being spent on those things you think we ought to have.
Here's another framing: I think the government ought to fund infrastructure, healthcare, and so on, and also that it doesn't mainly because it's filled with corrupt lackeys of the wealthy elite, and even where it does fund these things the mechanism of distribution (government contractors) is also corrupt. It's perfectly rational to attempt to minimize funding that.
This framing seems like a classic case of "yesterday's compromise is today's loophole".
The rules and their various exceptions and special cases were put in to be used. Would you complain that someone takes a right turn on red where allowed or complain that someone builds a structure to the maximum specifications they can before incurring additional permitting or construction compliance requirements?
If I was alive when the special cases were put in, I would also have told you that I did not care for them.
If the rules create incentives that lead to bad outcomes, it is a problem with the rules.
I generally regard people building large buildings as a good outcome, so about the max-without-x-permit-sized buildings, I probably would not be too upset, but I would have to think about what buildings would exist in the absence of the rule.
Do you level the same criticism at people who are upset that they are employed for just less than full time? "Well you see, you voted for Barack Obama, and he spent all his political capital to pass a subsidy for the insurance industry, and as part of a compromise internal to the Democratic party that subsidy included incentives to employ people for less than full time, so really this is on you" and so on?
>If the rules create incentives that lead to bad outcomes, it is a problem with the rules.
So then why complain about the people following the rules? They're just making the best of the situation they're in.
>I generally regard people building large buildings as a good outcome, so about the max-without-x-permit-sized buildings, I probably would not be too upset, but I would have to think about what buildings would exist in the absence of the rule.
So then it's about whether or not you like the outcome that rule provides?
Regardless of how much you care about compliance with the law it is farcical to pick and choose laws that get special treatment (within the same class of laws, we're not talking about dodging sales tax vs murder here). You don't get to pick one area of minor noncompliance to be good guys and one area to be bad guys, equality under law and all that.
>Do you level the same criticism at people who are upset that they are employed for just less than full time?
I levy the criticism at the people screeching online about how the companies that do it are evil, as if they have a choice and it's not a collective action problem.
Sure Home Depot could take a stand and give everyone 40hr and eat the cost of the healthcare requirements but then Lowe's would eat their lunch. The only way to fix these problems is to change the rules for everyone.
> Unless you are a wage or salary earner, it is trivially easy to avoid having to pay taxes, at least in the USA. Same with the much lauded “inheritance tax” and even, to a lesser extent, sales taxes. It costs about 4000us a year to maintain the legal structures required to pay essentially no taxes, except sales taxes in some locations. In many cases, for lower levels of income, just having a small business can negate income tax burdens.
If it is that easy and costs only $4000, would you mind describing the technique(s)? I can't believe that it would be simple / cheap / legal, because otherwise every business owner would do it?!
I think starting with that assumption is the primary disservice you are doing yourself.
Its important to actually understand taxes so that you don't eventually assume that the tax collector / revenue service is an adversary. They are exuberant collaborators.
Reading comprehension is key because even just imagining that rich people have an army of lawyers and accountants to figure it out is wrong. That takes way too much trust and those lawyers and accountants arent incentivized properly to figure things out. They have to be steered by the person that knows what they want and what ongoing compliance burdens they are willing to have, which requires already knowing or being part of a network of people that already have compliant systems set up and will tell. There are many more people that make wrong assumptions, to their detriment.
Listing “the techniques” aren't useful, reading the tax code is. Read IRS codes from the 400s section (tax deferral accounts) and the 500s section (tax-exempt entities) as a start. That will boost your own search queries by using more useful terms to search.
I sometimes find entire industries I was unaware of simply by being surprised by what the law says. The IRS has many parallel tax regimes that are different than the default one. You have to know to look behind door number 2 and door number 3, there are IRS agents sitting behind them bored and excitedly waiting to help you after you find them.
Better advice might be to talk to an accountant and/or tax attorney. It's not exactly reasonable to expect someone to know enough about the tax code just from reading it.
Their answer will be “it depends, what do you want to do”
You’ll say “I don’t want to pay taxes, I heard I can pay $4000 and not pay taxes”
They'll say what I said “it depends on what you want to do and what compliance burdens you want to deal with” along with “where did you hear that, my retainer is $10,000 and hourly rates are $700 and $300 for the junior”
and you still don’t know what you want to do
RTFTaxCode and find a service provider that specializes in that part of the tax code and then come back with specific queries about how those topics work
This is more analogous to saying “go to a medical school professor and your dentist” as they are both doctors and one might be licensed to practice, when neither of them can actually help you, and your dentist says “the eye doctor specializes in this topic” but you hadn't quite figured that out yet and you really have to go to your primary care doctor first who will still be confused about whether that’s the right recommendation for you because you can’t articulate what you really want to do
But since everyone that read this far is still here, and even more frustrated, I’ll
point out that 401ks are a whole industry that is simply a reference to subsection 401(k) of the IRS’ 400 section and someone eventually noticed. There are other less used sections. 501(c)3 which you also may have heard of in passing are simply a reference to that subsection of 500 section of which there are many other less mentioned sections. All of which may be more interesting to your specific goal.
How does having the income in a business help? At some point you want to do something with the money, and then you have to take it out of the company and it is taxed, isn't it? Can that be avoided?
The article is fairly thorough on this point. Among the available strategies is taking out loans against your shares, as ProPublica asserts Ellison and Musk have done.
I'm surprised at the extent to which some people appear to have mortgaged their shares. Musk, in particular. The article suggests that he has placed ~$57B of his shares out of a (net worth of ~$151B) as collateral. If TSLA begins to fall, he may face one heck of a margin-call.
You'll still have to pay at some point (basis step-up aside), but the bill can be deferred or, in the case of a decrease in share value, perhaps avoided to some extent.
I still don't understand the scheme here. If you take out a loan against your shares, won't you have to pay back the loan (plus interest), which would still require you to eventually sell your shares and pay tax on capital gains?
Yes, but assuming your shares continue to appreciate at a faster rate than the interest you can defer any tax payments so far into the future that the amount becomes more and more insignificant due to economic inflation and capital appreciation.
You're right that you still have to pay the tax, but you pay it on far more favourable terms than the average person. Of course the flip side of this is that the price of your shares collapse, but typically these secured loans are a fraction of an individuals net-worth and the risk is very low.
Edit: I should add you can also time when you're taxed. So for example if taxes in the present are high you can wait then realise any profits when they're lower.
Sure, but you can't just classify everything as a business expense.
And regardless, that's not really a carve out for the wealthy, that's just a policy we have because we think it encourages business growth, which is generally a good thing.
> Sure, but you can't just classify everything as a business expense.
If the business is buying it, then sure you can. There's limits on this for sole proprietors as the tax authorities will argue that the businessman who bought a yacht "for the business" only ever uses it for himself.
But the rich folk, who have 20% of the company (the largest share, usually), can force the company to buy a yacht where use is limited to that single shareholder ... once again proving that the rich would pay less tax than the poor.
Depends on how you structure it. It also depends on how much in assets you have (many people start with a heloc). As if the market takes a dip or long term low inflation you can end up stuck. You also have to be careful not to overleverage yourself. As you can end up borrowing to pay back another loan. It is why you see 'rich movie stare declarers bankruptcy'. It is not risk free. But with discipline you can do it. Also remember you can 'own' more than one company. Perhaps one company owns 5 houses which one of those you happen to live in...
Find yourself an accountant. They will show you how to set it up. It is also usually decently complex enough to be a pain to do in the day to day running of it (hence the accountant).
Also up above I said 'long term low inflation' can hurt? Look at what is going on and you can figure out why suddenly we have lots of it. Think about borrowing at 2-3% and inflation is 5%.
That's covered under the "standard deduction" in US federal taxes. I'm not saying it's fair--that deduction doesn't really cover rent in most places--but that's the intent. Basically, you can't use the same system because the tax code is rigged in favor of the wealthy.
The new pass through entity deductions are HUGE and lots of loopholes even if you're one of the consultant etc categories.
also this year I could get a 1:1 credit for time off for covid and covid supplies. Like not just lowering my taxable income.
basic example traditional deduction take 10k off net income, if i'm taxed @20% saves me 2k. From what I could tell this was 10k off my tax bill.. like if i owed 20k it's now 10k.
there's more too. i think car depreciation is better/doesn't exist if you buy personally but my car which is used for business is a tax benefit and pre-tax money I think.
The devil is in the details. Should one attempt to tax unrealized capital gains, what is a workable way to do so? Would there be massive credits for paper losses? How does one value illiquid shares? Minority shares of private companies?
The capital-gains step-up definitely is worthy of reconsideration. It is unclear to me why an asset's basis should change simply because someone died. If heirs don't sell, they won't owe the tax, but it makes sense that they would at the time of sale.
Buffett has thought long and hard about these questions -- how to address inequities in tax burdens without breaking industry. Don't miss his reply to ProPublica (cited within the article): https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/20798866-buffett-sta...
Some countries do not tax capital gains except on professional traders (the criterion being something like, "is it your main line of work") but do tax wealth.
That seems like a model which results in a meaningful tax on the ultra-rich while avoiding the complexities you mention.
(For some reason, people always say, "But wealth taxes are really hard to enforce," which is really baffling to me since the US, somewhat uniquely, already requires citizens to go through a rather arduous reporting process for foreign assets.)
The Netherlands is an example of such a country which effectively taxes wealth, not income. Technically it does tax income, but it's an assumed fictitious income based on your net wealth that's taxed, regardless of actual investment income or the nature of your investments.
There's definite pros and cons to this. The obvious pros is that it's relatively easy to administer as you don't need to record investment income or losses. You only need to measure net assets periodically, which is not easy but definitely a lot easier.
It also means fewer loopholes are possible. On the other hand, those loopholes aren't set in stone, they're a human construct. Choosing to tax wealth instead of capital gains is a choice, just like the deductions and valuation rules and carryforwards and carrybacks are choices for capital gains taxes, which can be changed. But in general again here, taxing wealth is the simpler approach.
The obvious cons is that it goes against basic principles of taxation that many people agree with (but seem to let go, at large amounts). The basic principle is: only if you earn money, you're supposed to share some of it to taxation to fund public goods and the less fortunate. That's why we tax added value, or profit, but not turnover. Taxing wealth means those with losses or no-income, still get taxed and lose money.
In the Netherlands there've been many court cases against the state precisely because of this. People with $200k in savings, a zero-appetite for (risky) investments in stocks or bonds, are losing their own money (for which they've already paid either income tax or inheritance tax to gain) to taxes without any income.
But it's more than that, even those who have large investment returns would feel it. (although here I would say, that's okay and entirely the point. Still it can be surprising to what extent). Paul Graham has written about how a small seemingly innocuous wealth tax (e.g. 1% per year) can really bite you over-time here: http://www.paulgraham.com/wtax.html
This is true essentially regardless of your average level of return, whether it's 0% or 5%.
What the wealth tax does do is push you into riskier investments. If you pay 1% and have say a 1% savings account, your effective investment income tax is 100% and you slowly lose purchasing power to inflation. It almost forces you to invest in higher return, but riskier assets, like stocks. At the same time, people like me who average 20% returns per year so far, are very much undertaxed by a tiny 1% wealth tax (as there's no other capital gains tax in the Netherlands). It also very much favours leveraged investments, as it's a tax on net wealth, favouring heavy use of debt (particularly popular in Dutch real estate markets). Suppose you somehow borrow 99%, invest 1%, and average only a 1% net return on your total investments, you're still earning a 100% return which is then taxed at just 1%. It's a strange system indeed, not sure what system would be best, but wealth tax systems have some obvious flaws as well.
I feel there’s a rhetorical trick where detractors of the current US system are expected to create the perfect system, when the US one is very very far from ideal (e.g. generates little revenue, burdens the wrong people, any everyone hates it). No matter what we have to make arbitrary decisions just to have a workable decision.
(This isn’t really a direct comment against your post, it just got me thinking.)
That’s all to say, I’m dead curious how we could simulate the effect of the Netherlands tax system here and how much better/worse off the median family would be under it.
Simple but too easy answer is “much better” by skipping the simulation and looking at the actual stats in the Netherlands and other Nordics.
Well, all tax schemes are about balancing potential perverse incentives or other warping effects against the social interest of, you know, collecting tax revenue.
I am a little bit skeptical of the assumption that a wealth tax encourages riskier investment strategies, though. After all, the effect of a fixed rate wealth tax is the same irrespective of your investment strategy; riskier strategies still yield both greater potential returns and losses.
> I am a little bit skeptical of the assumption that a wealth tax encourages riskier investment strategies, though. After all, the effect of a fixed rate wealth tax is the same irrespective of your investment strategy; riskier strategies still yield both greater potential returns and losses.
Yes you're fully correct, in principle it should be no different financially. But for people holding straight up cash, there's a psychological hit to seeing your nominal amount of money go down due to a tax bill. If you hold $100k and it turns into $99k, then $98k, then a few years later $95k, you'll feel some drive to compensate those losses. If you hold $100k and it stays that much, a lot of people feel very comfortable and safe with keeping it just like that. (particularly in Europe where many countries don't have as much of a direct stock-investing culture traditionally, and where stocks are still seen by many as a form of gambling, or a world full of scams where only a few clever people profit, particularly the older generation).
For example in many European countries banks now charge minor negative interest (e.g. -0.5%) on your savings account (due to the negative deposit facility rate of the ECB). Suddenly there's an uptick of people who take their savings and invest it, because otherwise they'd 'lose money' and actually see their savings drop over time simply by holding it in a bank account.
However, these same people happily let that cash sit for 10 years at an inflation rate averaging 2%, losing 20% of their purchasing power in this time, responding differently to a universe in which inflation was 0% but the bank or taxes took the same 2% a year. They also happily ignored opportunity costs of various low-risk assets (e.g. a 3y savings deposit) that they could've invested in but didn't. Compared to letting the cash sit idly, the 2% inflation or 2% opportunity costs on low-risk asset-returns were happily ignored, yet when a -0.5% interest rate is charged by a bank, many spring into action. It's likely because while it may not be financially as bad, psychologically seeing $100k turn into $99k, or literally seeing interest charges being deducted from your account, feels worse than if $100k stays $100k nominally but is only worth $98k in real terms due to inflation, even though that's worse.
The fixed wealth tax works a bit similar. You have all these people who, every year, receive a tax bill, and are seeing a chunk of their savings having to be sent to the tax authorities. It inspires people to seek out financial advisers to help them compensate this. If at least you're compensating the fixed tax bill with a return on the stock market for example, it doesn't feel as painful.
Anyway that's what I'm seeing among friends/family and cobbling together from various sources, but it's just a hypothesis.
If you want a system that taxes unrealized capital gains, it is possible to defer the actual collection until the time of sale, but backdate the tax as though you bought and sold the asset each year under interpolated appreciation causing a taxable event.
After each taxable event, the government would an increasing slice of the appreciating asset, which would itself compound.
This essentially removes the incentive to buy and hold for tax purposes. It also means there's never any tax owing for paper gains.
Yeah, and anyone who has had to spend some time digging into the nuances of capital gains taxation (e.g. active cryptocurrency traders like myself) soon realizes that almost all of the complexity is due to the intractable problem of timing: the decision to buy or sell an asset should be dictated by the economics of the asset itself, which generally has no relationship to the imaginary line between December 31st of one year and January 1st of the following year.
I'm convinced that any rational and just approach to capital gains taxation must provide a mechanism for matching income to the holding period of the asset rather than the strict and arbitrary cutoff between calendar years.
The biggest problem IMO with capital-gains step-up, is knowing the cost basis of the asset. If my uncle dies and leaves me his house, and he owned it outright, how do I know what he paid for it? It would put an impossible burden on heirs.
My own suggestion for a solution, is to focus on the corporations instead of the individuals. Leave the system as is for individuals. But tax corporate revenue at a low percentage like 1% or something.
Seems that the most common retort in this thread is to hammer down on the principle that unrealised gains should not be taxed.
This is directly addressed in the article. Unrealised gains can still work as collateral for loans. The spending habits appear as if your unrealised gains were bonafide income. At what point does the distinction between wealth and income become arbitrary?
There seems to be a large amount of "missing the point" in this thread. As a wage labourer my wealth growth is significantly hampered by taxation. For the small group of people with net worth tied up in financial assets, taxation doesn't slow their growth in any meaningful capacity. If we ignore any ideological predispositions and instead simply ask what limit this system is approaching I think the answer seems terrifying.
A common sentiment here is that inequality is not a problem in and of itself. "How does Bezos wealth possibly impact me?". Having seen the difference in equality in Scandinavia, USA, and South Africa I would beg to differ. Inequality eats at a society at all levels. The rich I met in America seemed less happy than the poor in Sweden. In South Africa even more so.
> At what point does the distinction between wealth and income become arbitrary?
I think risk is the difference. Someone invested (esp. heavily in one name) who borrows against that holding to finance consumption is basically adding leverage to their position, increasing their risk in order to continue growing their investment. Since growth is a social good, that's incentivized. It becomes income when you take your chips off the table i.e. making that capital entirely private instead of investing alongside others.
The risk is less apparently in TFA since it, you know, focuses on 25 of the absolute wealthiest people in the world, any one of whom can finance any sort of consumption short of becoming a nation-state without impacting their position, borrowing or selling.
Whether _wealth_ inequality is so undesirable that it should be ameliorated even at the expense of growth is a policy conversation worth having, but equating change in wealth to income and arguing _income_ inequality doesn't really hold water, esp. for wealth primarily invested in public names
To clarify the intent of my original content, I'm referring to wealth vs income with regards to the obscenely wealthy. As you've pointed out, risk is generally very low for billionaires. The ELOCs that they utilize for credit have very generous terms as the sheer amount of assets all but guarantee that the debt can be serviced.
What I'm trying to get at is that while the distinction of wealth and income is very palpable for wage earners such as myself, it is less so for billionaires. Throughout my life my wealth will consist mostly of my primary residence and retirement portfolio. I can't really use that for my day to day consumption. But if a billionaire can get an ELOC against a portion of their stock portfolio and use it to purchase yachts, cars and whatever tickles their fancy then their wealth enables behaviour that renders the lack of liquidity irrelevant.
Could you explain what you mean by inequality eats at society at all levels?
Obviously if inequality gets to a certain point, where you don't have a solid middle class anymore - that's problematic. I'm just curious about your stance because I too feel like Jeff being rich doesn't really make my life any worse.
It erodes social cohesion. When I went to elementary school in Sweden I shared a classroom with both a child that came to our country has a refugee and another whose parent sat in parliament. Different social classes intermingled frequently. While there are clear class divisions in Sweden, the distances are not so great. There is a sense of security that comes with a more equal society that I think can't be replicated by any other means. I think that once you've lived in a fairly equal society, though Scandinavia does have its shortcomings, it is hard to excuse inequality.
How does Bezos harm you? I don't want to put the blame squarely on his shoulders but I would like to point out an apparent dynamic. When a class of people are decoupled from the issues the majority faces the outcome is resentment. Recordbreaking growth for billionaires while many are suffering their most trying year to date is creating tension.
There is definitely a narrative that can explain why Bezos fortune is rightfully his down to the last cent and why he is a net positive in this world. And it wouldn't necessarily be incorrect. However you can't avoid the fact that his wealth is manifasted as unaccountable power. A society plagued by unaccountable power, which is what I believe that inequality ultimately is, is not healthy.
Much of Adam Smith's Wealth of Nations actually addresses the issues of inequality and the dynamic between wealth and power: "Wealth, as Mr Hobbes says, is power." That's one of the shortest and most direct sentences in a book given to long and complex writing.
The Spirit Level is a book-length exploration of the problems of inequality and highly-unequal societies.
I’m not sure why this is considered some giant revelation. Anyone who owns and holds stocks that do not pay dividends is aware that you only pay capital gains taxes when you sell. Why is this a surprise?
I’m not against heavily revising the tax code, but I’m not sure a wealth tax is the way to do it. I’d rather we tax the utility of money rather than the quantity (e.g., a billionaire who spends millions on cancer research will not have that money taxed, but one who spends millions on yachts and super cars will pay 90% tax). Society could then vote to determine what things should have high and low taxes.
This might come as a surprise to folks who do not own stocks and are not aware of the difference between income and (unrealized) capital gains. According to this article [1] from 2020, about half of American families owned stocks. But only 14% own stocks directly, the rest is through retirement accounts.
The media does their part with sensationalist headlines like "Jeff Bezos got 100B richer during the pandemic". Without some financial literacy, someone might interpret this that someone handed Jeff Bezos a 100B paycheck.
I think you’re missing the point of the article. Everyone here understands that unrealized capital gains aren’t taxed. That’s what the article is about. It’s saying, “look, this is the result of the tax policy” - staggering gains in wealth with essentially negligible tax burden. It seems unfair, because it is unfair.
So, we all understand it, but maybe some of us think that because it is, it must be. I’ve never understood that point of view.
> Without some financial literacy, someone might interpret this that someone handed Jeff Bezos a 100B paycheck.
Which is exactly the reaction those kinds of headlines are fishing for.
A 100b check is very different than your already massive business booming more and making you richer because you own a huge share of it and that share is now worth more.
They seem to be suggesting it's better the money is earned through ownership. Which is funny as I'd lean the other way and say that beyond a point, allowing such large income through ownership and not actual work is a bad idea.
Note: Bezos and Musk, could ask for a hefty salary so they may work out to similar total income, unless someone else could run it cheaper and better. While hedge funds and inherited wealth that only own and don't contribute would receive less.
And it's worse than just 'assets not cash' - Amazon might not be the best example, but even so there's no way can dump ~1/10th of it without moving the price; even ignoring disclosure requirements and the effects of insider selling, it'd be way down just on that volume (10x 30d average).
I think wealth coffers are past the upper limit of what can be construed as reasonable even in the most anarchic of capitalist societies.
Just like on the monopoly board, one cannot win when all the spaces are already owned - that’s the situation we fundamentally have. A wealth tax is necessary.
> Just like on the monopoly board, one cannot win when all the spaces are already owned - that’s the situation we fundamentally have.
Monopoly has a fixed game board with no possible means of expanding or changing the spaces the player can land on. The real world is constantly at risk of disruption from changes in technology and geopolitics that can substantially change the competitive landscape.
That doesn't work out in practice. "The richest families in Florence in 1427 are still the richest families in Florence" https://qz.com/694340/the-richest-families-in-florence-in-14... The headline tells you what you need to know. The disruption thing is just a chimera to fool gullible people into thinking that rich people actually earned what they got and that the system is fair. It absolutely is not.
The richest families in the US are certainly not the richest ones from 1950 let alone 1427. The largest companies by market cap are Apple, MS, Google, Amazon, and FB... None of those businesses existed a generation ago let alone the technology that powers them or even their business models. At least some of the founders of those companies are immigrants. There is no reasonable extrapolation from wealthy families in Florence to "disruption is just a chimera to fool the gullible" in SV.
The three richest families in the US are (according to a simple Google search) the Waltons, Kochs, and the Mars. These three families were already in the 1950 very wealthy. I don't know enough to say whether they were among the richest, but for sure they weren't poor.
True, in monopoly those with nothing aren’t allowed to take back the means of production by force when all changes create further and further wealth inequality.
The same outlets that publish those headlines also publish ones like “Company XYZ made billions in revenue and paid zero in taxes”, completely glossing over payroll tax, deferred losses, and credits for capital investment.
Payroll tax is paid by employers on behalf of their employees. That is, it is the employees money that pays the tax - not the employers. VAT works similarly.
There’s two halves to payroll tax. One paid by the employee that is deducted from their paycheck. The other is paid by the employer and counts as an expense against revenue.
Employees do not get to deduct the second half from their taxes. It’s considered to be paid by their employers.
This one makes me so mad, because it's always some ignoramus comparing taxes with revenue and ignoring the fact that if the company paid zero taxes then most or all of that revenue was ploughed back into the local economy. Jobs, construction, equipment, etc. all mean that cash lands on everyone, and then people swallow the spin and complain about it.
Now, if they were making billions in profit and paying zero taxes then that's different.
> Now, if they were making billions in profit and paying zero taxes then that's different.
Some companies are, and are very clever in hiding that (offshoring profits, etc.).
Other companies (and their boards apparently) are content with "merely" overcompensating their executives, who then have their own teams of accountants and lawyers to avoid paying taxes. The companies themselves aren't running much profit, on the promise of a better stock price and future growth. In some cases this is legitimate because they are indeed investing in their own infrastructure or intellectual property.
You omit the fact that billionaires supposedly never realize their gains, yet they somehow are able to afford mansions and planes (not company owned).
The gains are realized, but due to various loopholes untaxed diaposable cash is created.
How does this happen and why is it legal?
Obviously there are ways (e.g. borrowing money against stock) - but maybe this should be closed?
If you are a regular person your wages are taxed and then you build a house using taxed materials.
If you are rich you borrow money against shares to a trust in a tax haven and then that trust builds a home for you as a company (so not even tax on materials) and you get an untaxed home where you can live.
Definitely the significant difference. It's not just that the ultra wealthy can stash money in these sort of asset havens and avoid taxes, it's that they can somehow use them as liquid as cash.
Your average person may have access to some of the asset storage options, like wealth stored in their 401k or even purchasing stocks directly. What we can't do is use those assets as if they're money in a bank account and avoid tax. I can lower my income by stashing money in my 401k and defer taxes until I retire but when I retire, I will pay taxes and between now and then, those assets can't be touched for much beyond an emergency without incurring fees, taxes, etc.
Wealth is very different than income but if wealth can be utilized just like income (liquidated) yet not taxed, something is off in the tax system and this is what people get cranky about. If the assets weren't as liquid and usable in place of cash and had to be tucked away or otherwise taxed, less people would be cranky.
For all intents and purposes for the ultra wealthy, that wealth is readily accessible, well above the amount of money they could need or most could even want which people equate to their income. They might not quickly liquidate their entire estate but they can liquidate or borrow against large enough portions that they can do about anything they want.
I’m confused how using their assets to borrow against lets them avoid taxes. If they borrow $10M for a yacht, they still have to presumably back that money back at some point to whomever they borrowed from. And to get that money from their assets, they will have to pay capital gains taxes on it. What am I missing?
> The gains are realized, but due to various loopholes untaxed diaposable cash is created.
How does this happen and why is it legal?
I'm sure there are loopholes, but at some level it also demonstrates how stupendously wealthy the super rich are that financing their lifestyles (i.e. houses) often requires a tiny fraction of their overall wealth.
From the American perspective, they still have too much to spend on corrupting politics and justice hiding behind "spending money is free speech." There needs to be a 90% tax bracket and we should subject capital gains to normal tax brackets if percentage of gross income is, say, 50% or higher. This makes more sense to me versus total wealth tax. Also reinstate a meaningful inheritance tax (aristocracy-prevention tax)
The lack of a wealth tax means they just get to pick and choose when they take their income out of their assets, always at the most favorable time. Capital gains going up wouldn’t make much of a dent in someone paying under 5%.
Oh really? But car parts are just 20% so let‘s just cut the Veyron in half before delivery. And the yacht is better privately rented from that Serbian shell company whose business model it is to just own one boat and rent it to a single person.
Rich people are smart and greedy. And if they aren‘t, so are their tax advisors.
There is a massive case for simplicity in tax code, even if it does not fit perfectly.
Minimum gloval tax, revenue tax, Tobin tax, high inheritance tax (with significant tax free minimums) and a land value tax would be way harder to cheat and easier to implement.
The only one you can’t actually cheat is property tax. The government can send someone there and seize the asset. Everything else can be avoided or fought.
I think what we are seeing is the beginning of the slow destruction of the nation state which was built to fight existential and total wars. The only thing higher tax rates are going to do is push wealth out of some countries and into others, unfortunately. Why doesn’t the U.S. just invade the Bahamas and stop tax avoidance? Once you realize why, you’ll realize that just taxing more won’t work.
Whether we like it or not, I think the standing down of the nation state from wars in the past is going to lead to a collapse of welfare states and social programs (I don’t use these terms negatively so don’t assume I’m “against” these programs), and continued fragmentation of large national and international organizations. Some people are very happy with their nation (Norway or Switzerland or something), others aren’t (United States, China). Those who aren’t are going to move their wealth to somewhere that is advantageous to them. Even China doesn’t stop this. Wonder why housing prices are so high in Vancouver?
Most people for most of history haven’t lived in anything approaching a nation state. It’s a new thing, and it is likely in my view to be temporary. It’s hard for us to see because it’s what we were born into and our perspectives are short term.
What about the following proposition - any publicly traded company must issue, every calendar year, new shares worth of 2% of the total shares outstanding, and transfer them to the tax office.
That's essentially a 2% wealth tax on the stock market, borne equally by all shareholders, regardless of their residence. Maybe I'm just naive, but I don't see any accounting magic to avoid such a tax.
But then again - there's one agenda that unites left and right across the developed world - no wealth taxes.
The tax office where? In the United States? Maybe companies would just stop “going public” or would become publicly traded in another jurisdiction. Or maybe France doesn’t like that China says French companies have to issue 2% per year in new shares to operate in China. Or better yet, how do you do this in all countries? Is it 2%/year in all countries?
Etc. I think there are a lot of scenarios to think through.
-edit-
Didn’t downvote you BTW. Shame on those who are when you’re just having a discussion. We really need to get rid of that as a tool.
A land tax (a special case of a property tax) is probably among the more avoidance-resistant taxes. There should be numerous others which might exist, particularly in regulated financial industries.
I'd just say you can think of it in colloquial terms. China is a nation state, as is France, Germany, Russia, Venezuela, etc. Some are looser than others, some are stronger. Along these lines I think ethnicity and homogeneity play a part but not always.
There's some room for argument about who and what are nation states - does the Bahamas qualify as a nation state or just a convenient government? Are some countries stronger nation states? What's the difference between countries and nation states? Is there one? There are probably some items to explore there for me too.
Maybe there's something you have in mind you want to discuss with respect to the concept of the nation state?
The US used to have a lot more "luxury taxes" on things like yachts. They got repealed "because they were hurting jobs in the industry" (e.g. the yacht industry). Leading Democrats at the time led the repeal push...
What would be ideal, in some ways, is a progressive consumption tax, with the hard parts being defining consumption (e.g. is cancer research consumption?) and actually measuring it....
I’m not sure why this is considered some giant revelation.
The very first paragraph:
ProPublica is a nonprofit newsroom that investigates abuses of power. The Secret IRS Files is an ongoing reporting project.
(Among other things) "News" tends to be bad news. This is a well known fact and if you try to google up studies on news and mental health, it will likely auto-complete (or auto-suggest) a phrase for you.
Not to say it isn't a valid criticism and not to suggest it's in any way untrue, but among other things, I have had a class in journalism and I'm a writer by trade and recent years have been very hard on traditional news outlets. The competition for eyeballs is really fierce and lots of publications are struggling to survive or outright going under, much to the detriment of the quality of journalistic writing you can find today.
Writers are being paid less in real terms. They can't do the kind of research they used to do. Etc.
I think replacing income tax with a progressive consumption tax is something worth considering (or at least modeling out). Currently the bottom half of W2 earners in the US don't pay any income tax and the wealthiest only pay capital gains.
It doesn't seem fair that the upper middle income earners carry so much if the tax burden (at least as a percentage of their wealth). We also need to get away from the idea of taxation "as punishment" and think about it in terms of "what does funding the system actually require".
No one type of tax is the best. The key to effective taxation is to have many different kinds of tax so that there's no way for the rich to avoid paying any taxes at all by reorganizing their financial affairs. So if you avoid one kind of tax, then you'll have to pay more of a different kind of tax. So a progressive consumption tax is perhaps a great addition to income tax, not a substitute.
> The key to effective taxation is to have many different kinds of tax so that there's no way for the rich to avoid paying any taxes at all by reorganizing their financial affairs.
Or just tax less to increase the wealth floor where avoiding it becomes useful thereby decreasing the number of people who do it thereby reducing the losses. You're basically reducing amplitude of the tax curve in order to capture a wider range. The billionaires may be stupid rich but there's so few of them they make up a negligible percent of public coffers.
Nobody bothers registering their car out of state to save a $50 fee. Nobody bothers putting their house in a trust to save a couple thousand in taxes. Not hard to extrapolate from there.
I'm for government having a consistent, reliable revenue stream. For a given amount of tax revenue many smalln types of tax should be better than a few big ones.
Economic distortion as a result of taxation is primarily due to tax avoidance activities by those who can afford to (large corporations and the rich), so a system that makes it not worth the effort should minimize economic distortion, too.
No way that would be manipulated and abused by the politicians and the wealthy. I think at some point we have to accept that people are going to game any system (on all sides and angles). Resource competition is the base problem.
LVT would make it much more difficult. LVT does not value based on the improved properties on a site--in the purest form, it is a tax based on the land alone. A vacant lot would have the same tax as a lot with a tall building.
Worse, if you build an improvement which makes the location more valuable (for example, a tech company building their headquarters and creating demand for nearby residential space) then you pay LVT on the value you created. LVT proponents like to pretend that they only want to tax the "intrinsic value" of the land, as if the entire concept of intrinsic value were not thoroughly discredited long ago, but in practice only the physical structure would be exempt from the tax as an "improvement"—anything else would be too subjective. Perhaps if LVT were only assessed on the value of similar unoccupied land far away from all improvements it might be more reasonable… but that would not fulfill the LVT supporters' objectives.
> Worse, if you build an improvement which makes the location more valuable (for example, a tech company building their headquarters and creating demand for nearby residential space) then you pay LVT on the value you created.
How is that worse when that's how you are currently taxed? The more value you create, the more money you make, the wealthier you are, the more you get taxed. Except if you're currently a billionaire tax dodger, you can't dodge any more.
> How is that worse when that's how you are currently taxed?
It's worse from the point of view of the LVT proponents' argument that the tax is based on the "intrinsic value" of the land and not improvements contributed by the property owner. You're correct that it's not that different from an income tax, but LVT is supposed to be more "fair" than an income tax specifically because it taxes "unearned" natural resources and not the owner's contributions. An income tax, of course, is designed to be exactly the opposite: a tax on earnings from economic activity.
This is not to say that an income tax is objectively better than LVT, just that LVT and property tax have more in common than some prefer to admit, mostly because the practical/legal definition of "improvement" (i.e. buildings and other physical changes to the property) does not encompass all economic value created by the owner.
You would never get forced out by developers. You'd sell up because you can't afford the land value tax. This puts that property to a more efficient use. Whoever takes over your property will pay the high taxes, and wherever you move will have lower taxes.
You have it completely backwards. LVT would solve that, because all the people using the little parcels of land for a single family home would no longer be able to afford the taxes on their land. They'd sell to developers who'd have to build huge apartment complexes, making housing affordable again.
LVT ensures that each unit of land is put to its most productive purpose.
There are clever ways of addressing gaming, for example, to counter undervaluation there could be a rule that says that if you value your land at $X then anyone is legally allowed to force you to sell it to them for $X.
This works both ways. If the government overvalues your land at $X then you can force them to purchase it from you for that much, for example.
> There are clever ways of addressing gaming, for example, to counter undervaluation there could be a rule that says that if you value your land at $X then anyone is legally allowed to force you to sell it to them for $X.
That doesn't work. Just because I inherited my fathers beloved VW Beetle[1] that's only worth $1000 doesn't mean that I want to part with my father's beloved VW Beetle; it means much more to me than the official valuation.
Same goes for any other property - boats, land, etc.
I don't understand the objection. If it's only worth $1000 absent sentimental value then no one will offer to buy it from your for anything more than $1000, therefore you would only pay property taxes on $1000 of value.
> I don't understand the objection. If it's only worth $1000 absent sentimental value then no one will offer to buy it from your for anything more than $1000.
No, but you could be forced to sell at exactly $1000.
And, of course, some people are just mean.
A person who wanted to punish their ex could, by force, buy a beloved item for more than what it is valued for, simply as retaliation against their ex.
Your wedding gifts are typically as close to worthless as possible as far as money goes, and yet someone with a grudge against you could simply take it off you for a small cost to themselves.
So, no, confiscating things from people with "fair reparations" to give them to other people is simply a no-go.
If you cannot understand the objection at this point, then you never will.
> No, but you could be forced to sell at exactly $1000.
No you couldn't. You can't be forced to sell at all unless you are unwilling to pay land value tax on the offered value.
Anyway, I'm proposing a simple game theoretic construct that can address the problem of under- and overvaluation of property with regard to property taxes. I am not a president about to sign a bill into legislation. I acknowledge that this idea requires refinement before it would work in practice. I just thought people would find it interesting.
> No you couldn't. You can't be forced to sell at all unless you are unwilling to pay land value tax on the offered value.
So, under your proposal, you would have to value your property at the sentimental value it has for you, which for some things is infinite.
My theoretical dad's VW would have to be "valued" at $1500, and if I think someone with a grudge against me is willing to pay that, I'd have to progressively increase the tax I pay on it just to keep it?
This is a very bad idea; in fact, I cannot think of a single state that ever experimented with such an idea. If no state, even failed states, thinks it's a good idea I don't see what refinement you could make that turns it from a bad idea into a good idea.
This is a game theoretical idea that shows how to address under- and overvaluation of property. How to refine it into a practical system is an open question but I'm sorry, I just don't see how your example of inheritance of a Beetle scuppers the whole thing.
Property taxation being used to unfairly seize objects of mere sentimental value seems an easy to problem resolve compared to the problem of imposing property taxation at all. The real reason land value tax hasn't seen much use in any jurisdiction is that it massively advantages the common person above the wealthy landowner, so there are huge structural pressures against it.
So rich people could just take whatever land they wanted, or am I misunderstanding you? If Big Ag wants my family farm, there’s nothing I can do but shut up and accept the money?
If Big Ag offers to buy your family farm for $10M then you have two options:
1. Sell it to them for $10M
2. Pay land value tax on it as though it were worth $10M
What other meaning does "land value" have than what someone is willing to pay for it?
(Roughly. There has to be some hysteresis and other frictional factors inserted to make it workable. My comment was not supposed to be interpreted as a finished piece of legislation, just a rough idea of how to prevent gaming.)
In your scenario, Big Ag just needs to offer an amount that causes the tax burden to be unbearable for the person who currently owns the farm. That’s not “the value of the land” but the cash flow of the owner at a moment in time.
I presume it would be easy to set up systems of mortgages to pay land value tax. In fact I imagine that in practice land value taxation would be indistinguishable from paying a slightly higher mortgage, for most people. In fact given the downward pressure it would impose on property prices it could easily mean people end up paying less than what they would pay as mortgage under the current system.
Say the tax is 10%. You already have a mortgage on the property, and not a lot of other assets. "Big Ag" offers 20 times what the property is worth to buy you out and eliminate a competitor. The tax (10% of 20x) would be double the standard market value. No bank is going to let you borrow double the ordinary market value in addition to what you already owe to cover the tax. You have no choice but to sell.
There are many implausible aspects to this scenario.
Firstly, the tax will be nowhere near 10% p.a.. The order of magnitude yield on real estate is 5%. Unimproved land will be less, of course. 1% seems to be a more likely order of magnitude for LVT rate.
Secondly, would "Big Ag" really offer 20x the intrinsic value of the property? Seems unlikely.
Thirdly, who wouldn't be dancing for joy to receive 19x the value of their property in cash (after paying off a possibly hefty mortgage)?
Finally, if you are sitting on land that has economic value but you are refusing to unlock that economic value then yes, LVT is a pressure to sell. That's (part of) the point of LVT.
The rate was, of course, fictitious. Feel free to use a different estimate.
> Unimproved land will be less, of course.
Unimproved land would be more since a higher tax rate is needed to bring in the same tax revenues if you exclude the value of the improvements.
> Secondly, would "Big Ag" really offer 20x the intrinsic value of the property?
To eliminate a competitor? I don't find that implausible at all. They wouldn't pay that much for an arbitrary plot of land, but it's not the land that they're paying for here.
> Thirdly, who wouldn't be dancing for joy to receive 19x the value of their property in cash…?
Presumably the owner who didn't want to sell the land at the ordinary market value in the first place. Maybe it's been in their family for generations, or they just really despise Big Ag and don't want them to get it. Maybe cash just isn't all that valuable to them.
> …then yes, LVT is a pressure to sell. That's (part of) the point of LVT.
And that is part of what is wrong with LVT. Property owners have the right to keep their property no matter who wants it or how much they are willing to offer. Regardless of the reason.
> > Firstly, the tax will be nowhere near 10% p.a..
> The rate was, of course, fictitious. Feel free to use a different estimate.
The scenario fails with a different estimate. If one chooses 1% p.a. then it's even less plausible that "Big Ag" is going to offer 200x the value of the property!
> > Unimproved land will be less, of course.
> Unimproved land would be more since a higher tax rate is needed to bring in the same tax revenues if you exclude the value of the improvements.
Interesting. I hadn't considered that. I'm hard for me to understand the implications. Anyway, you seem to be suggesting 10% of the total property value (including improvements), which is far higher than would occur in practice.
> Property owners have the right to keep their property no matter who wants it or how much they are willing to offer. Regardless of the reason.
Right, so I think your objection is to LVT at all, not this particular strategy of countering under- and overvaluation. That's a reasonable position. I don't agree, but I'm sympathetic. Your particular objection about "Big Ag" buying the family farm seems a too precise and implausible objection to the very vague system I laid out.
(Or intended to lay out. If readers misinterpreted my comment then I take full responsibility and apologise!)
After they do this a few years in a row, the family will be bankrupt from paying property tax and the "Big" firm will be able to buy the farm for less than it was originally worth.
That works fine (and by "fine" I mean it can be implemented, not that it will produce the desired result) if you're managing authoritarian society where everyone is under the government's thumb but anywhere with a shred of democracy will vote out politicians who violate their property rights like that.
Some people don’t view anyone as having a “right” to something they had no hand in creating.
Earth existed, then humans existed: why does any one human have a claim to this finite resource of planetary surface area?
LVT says no human has intrinsic ownership of land, that it is “held in common”, and so no one ought to be able to monopolize the gains of its unimproved benefit. Make as much money as you want by your productive use of the land, or pay the market value if you don’t: but don’t horde it to yourself without paying your share.
I can understand how land value taxation could be interpreted as violating property rights but I can't see how the method I outlined for establishing property values is any greater a violation of property rights.
In both cases if you keep your property if and only if you pay your land value tax! Of course, this method needs some work to be palatable, but that's negligible compare to making land value tax itself palatable.
I don't understand why so many people applaud hefty inheritance taxes, with some far-left voices demanding inheritance taxes well above 90% or even 100%. It feels to me like this is sending the signal to "use it or lose it". While everyone is talking about cutting unnecessary consumption you're effectively telling people to spend all their money on frivolous luxury items because they can't pass it on to their children anyway. As someone with children, my main motivation is living within my means and keeping the rest of my assets as a retirement/rainy-day fund, or, after my demise, to have it passed on to my children. If you tell me I can't do that I might as well just buy an expensive sports-car tomorrow...
In our modern economic system wealth accrues more wealth. If you don’t actively redistribute the wealth, not just the income, then you end up with wildly unequal societies, in essence what we have today. Wildly unequal not just in terms of resources but also in opportunity. If you believe that equal opportunity should be a birthright of everyone then a sensible way to deliver a more equal opportunity for each new generation is to redistribute the wealth tied up in inherited estates from those with a lot of opportunity (the inheritors) to those lacking opportunity.
What's wrong with an unequal society? I get that you might want to help out the poor, but I don't care if someone has more money than me. I don't like what some of those rich people or corporations are doing to the society, but I really don't care about their money.
When you talk about opportunities, what do you specifically mean by that?
Considering how many things in our society are effectively illegal for the poor (e.g. the concept of fines for breaking the law as opposed to jail time) but legal for the rich, it's pretty clear why an extremely unequal society is inherently evil.
Wealth becomes a proxy for power, freedom, liberty, and so forth in our society.
The most obvious example is that the very wealthy do not have to work. Their wealth snowballs at some point through investment vehicles and others manage their wealth. At that point you can do whatever you want with your life.
You and I on the other hand may not have that option. I'm in a high income bracket relative to most,, but I still rely on my labor (time), even if I live frugally. I have to spend a large portion of my life working to remain solvent in society. I could reject society and go out into the woods as a survivalist or become homeless but that's not a very desirable life for many to live.
To your example, let's say the offense is a speeding fine. If I get a fine for speeding, depending on the state and speed, you can accumulate these indefinitely. At some point it's just a fee to do something you want to do.
Let's assume that you can't speed indefinitely though, let's say it's a wreckless driving offense, well for me I'm out of options--after a ticket or two I'll lose my license to drive which is critical to my livelihood. I'll go to court for repeat offenses because I'm the driver.
What if I'm really rich and I hire someone to speed for me: a driver? As a passenger I have no legal responsibility, it's the driver. I could cycle through drivers willing to speed for me whenever they lose their licenses for wreckless driving. If I pay them enough, I guarantee you'll find drivers willing to speed regularly for you. The money goes back into the economy, sure, but using wealth, I've passed risks and liabilities off to others and inherently can do things others in society cannot. I've got you to trade your freedoms to drive to my desire to speed. Wealth has been used as a proxy to give rights someone otherwise wouldn't have. This is one silly example but there are many rights and laws that have no sort of co-conspirator offense wealth can buy away. We realized this with murder which is why you can be charged when you pay someone to murder someone else. Not all laws have these catches, buying co-conspirators rights.
> The most obvious example is that the very wealthy do not have to work.
Why is this a problem? People don't become wealthy through not working. Either they, or their parents or some of their ancestors worked to allow not working. What's wrong with that?
For what it's worth, the very poor can also avoid working and live off the government (obviously being poor and not working is a much shittier situation than rich and not working)
During communism in my country we still had a corrupted ruling class with more power, freedom, liberty and so forth. I'm never going to be a part of it and have the same options either way. Nor do I even have any desire to be a part of it.
> Let's assume that you can't speed indefinitely though, let's say it's a wreckless driving offense, well for me I'm out of options--after a ticket or two I'll lose my license to drive which is critical to my livelihood.
That's pretty much how it works in my country. I believe the only exception is when you have governmental immunity and that has nothing to do with wealth.
> What if I'm really rich and I hire someone to speed for me: a driver? As a passenger I have no legal responsibility, it's the driver.
And guess what happens then? He will lose his driving license too and he won't be able to do this job anymore.
Maybe instead of flipping the entire society upside down you should simply improve the law to prevent such scenarios. It can be done.
Comparing this to murder is too much of a stretch to me.
>Maybe instead of flipping the entire society upside down you should simply improve the law to prevent such scenarios. It can be done.
Which is what I continually advocate for.
We need to patch these flaws and add mechanisms to patch future flaws more quickly because corruption is highly adaptive, we need to be as responsive as it is. We have an otherwise pretty well functioning system. Wealth should not buy you more rights in society, it should buy you luxuries and serve as a reward, not allow oppression, authoritarianism, and so forth.
Think hard about the concept of bail while you're at it. It is essentially the purchase of temporary rights for people who have not been convicted of a crime. The underlying question being: "Who should be allowed to have their freedoms, and should it be based on your wealth?"
Because if you let the inequality to get too bad, the millions of poor murder the rich, to restore the balance.
>“THERE were two “Reigns of Terror,” if we would but remember it and consider it; the one wrought murder in hot passion, the other in heartless cold blood; the one lasted mere months, the other had lasted a thousand years; the one inflicted death upon ten thousand persons, the other upon a hundred millions; but our shudders are all for the “horrors” of the minor Terror, the momentary Terror, so to speak; whereas, what is the horror of swift death by the axe, compared with lifelong death from hunger, cold, insult, cruelty, and heart-break? What is swift death by lightning compared with death by slow fire at the stake? A city cemetery could contain the coffins filled by that brief Terror which we have all been so diligently taught to shiver at and mourn over; but all France could hardly contain the coffins filled by that older and real Terror—that unspeakably bitter and awful Terror which none of us has been taught to see in its vastness or pity as it deserves.”
― Mark Twain, A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court
It seems to me that you're speaking a bit past heipei's question, which is about the actual consequences, as opposed to the intended ones, of policies.
If you have a 90-100% estate tax, then the intended consequence might be "redistribute the money via the government" but the actual consequence is much more likely to be "most of the money is spent on luxury consumption, because why not?".
At lower levels of estate taxation intended and actual consequences might align better, of course. This is pretty specifically a question about calls for near-100% estate taxation, not a question about why there's an estate tax in general.
To maximize social developments, we reward those who create value for the society. If someone, via their own efforts and without stealing/fraud, generate a lot of wealth, they would have invariably added value to the society by creating a win-win for the buyers, employees and themselves.
When however someone born to a rich person inherits wealth, they are at an unfair advantage for something that they did not really accomplish, and not for any value they added to the society.
The world should aim to equalize opportunity for everyone (irrespective of who they are born to), and then reward them when they create more value than others from the same opportunity. Agreed that defining "equalized opportunity" is hard -- what all would it cover, health?, edutcation?, etc. However, even with some challenges here, this may be better than the current system.
The "use it or lose it" would make the wealthy put money back into the system, and automatic adjustments would result via supply and demand balancing. I understand that it would also increase wastage, and this would need some thinking through. My gut reasion however is how much money can the super rich really use and waste? Ultimately, even items bought by them but unused may be reusable by others (who ideally should not be their hiers at 100%).
That's cool, but unless we're talking about some sort of progressive inheritance tax, it's not just about filthy rich people, but all of us.
For example, if I die, why shouldn't I be able to pass my house onto my children? Real estate is really goddamn expensive, so do you expect me to force my children into debt slavery just so they can afford a decent place to live?
>> unless we're talking about some sort of progressive inheritance tax, it's not just about filthy rich people, but all of us.
Agreed. It cannot be abrupt. There needs to be gradations and caveats*.
>> why shouldn't I be able to pass my house onto my children
That should be reduced for equalizing opportunity for those children who are born without such a previledge.
Yes, I agree we love our own children more, naturally. That's a result of biological evolution.
However, social policies are inherently by nature aimed at balancing the good of individuals with the good of the society overall. (For sake of example, lairs lie as they reap some advantages out of doing so. However, we consider lying bad as it takes the society farther away from the optimal point of operation.)
We can't also take away what nature built, so self-interest or the love for children cannot be taken off completely. And that's how "progressive inheritance tax" would come back into the picture.
* Sample caveat: If a child develops some illness, a parent should be able to spend more on her/him. There are again different means to handle this too -- the two extremes being all children being treated equal irrespective of who the parents are, children of God, one may say :-), and then insurance or government funds handle such caveats. The other extreme is where parents solely help the children. The answer I believe lies somewhere in the middle of the two extremes.
> That should be reduced for equalizing opportunity for those children who are born without such a previledge.
So should I be able to pass my house to my children or should it be taken away from them simply because they have a "privilege"? Because there would be zero fairness in doing that.
> However, social policies are inherently by nature aimed at balancing the good of individuals with the good of the society overall.
I understand that. The problem is that I don't see how this particular social policy would be a positive to society. As GP pointed out, "you're effectively telling people to spend all their money on frivolous luxury items because they can't pass it on to their children anyway."
I guess as long as you don't take my stuff away I shouldn't have any reason to be against it, but as this policy fails miserably and you realize that it didn't solve all of our problems, you're going to come after me as well, so my final answer is no, I'm against it.
I understand the difficulty already. This is tricky, will involve caveats, and unless well-thought though, it would have easy means for people to evade. This certainly isn't something that I could frame by myself. :-)
However, I feel that this is often rejected too soon. :-)
Help devise what could be a better policy that tries to equalizes the opportunity to all newborns. I think such a policy could have exponential impacts on the society.
It's rejected, partly because it's frankly offensive for a lot of people. You have no idea how much work, sweat and blood it took and how many sacrifices were made by my ancestors, a poor farmer family, so we can have this so-called privilege of being in the middle class. Taking it away and keeping everyone down is like a spit in their face. I guess it's not so bad if it's a progressive tax, but still.
Currently, the inheritance tax exempts the first $11.5 million of an estate from the estate tax. Do you think your heirs will need more than that? This threshold goes up every year, by the way.
I think it’s generally accepted that there should be a minimum threshold for the estate tax. You can consider it to be implied unless specifically stated otherwise.
I should have added that I'm German, and here the estate tax is only exempt on the first €500k for spouses and €400k for each child. And everything above is taxed between 25% and 50% depending on your income tax bracket. Real estate is exempt if the heirs continue to live in it for at least 10 years. Edit: And yet I've heard the calls for 90%-100% estate tax from voices in Germany...
The problem is that number was as low as $1 million a decade ago. Inheritance taxes are a political football, and the current system just blindly taxes the estate rather than the one who receives the inheritance. If the goal is fairness or distribution of resources, it makes sense to switch to system like in Ireland where each heir is taxed individually.
if an estate is worth less than ~$10 million, it is exempt from the estate tax, so you can pass on a few million to your children no problem.
IIUC, basically no one with significant estates actually pays the estate tax, so I don't think this actually matters, but estate taxes are good because dynastic wealth is the absolute worst.
> The growing disposition to tax more and more heavily large estates left at death is a cheering indication of the growth of a salutary change in public opinion....
> Of all forms of taxation, this seems the wisest. Men who continue hoarding great sums all their lives, the proper use of which for public ends would work good to the community, should be made to feel that the community, in the form of the state, cannot thus be deprived of its proper share. By taxing estates heavily at death the state marks its condemnation of the selfish millionaire's unworthy life.
> by all means such taxes should be graduated, beginning at nothing upon moderate sums to dependents, and increasing rapidly as the amounts swell, until of the millionaire's hoard, as of Shylock's, at least "_____ The other half \ comes to the privy coffer of the state."
- Andrew Carnegie, Wealth, 1889
If you have a personal wealth more than $10 million (or whatever the estate tax exemption limit is/will be), then yeah, you should spend some of it on stuff that you think is worthwhile. It doesn't need to be a fast car - Carnegie was into libraries.
> While everyone is talking about cutting unnecessary consumption you're effectively telling people to spend all their money on frivolous luxury items because they can't pass it on to their children anyway.
People will easily find a way to pass wealth to children. Naive example:
These low % media likes kinda only tell half the story because it ignores the fact that it's largely a deferral rather than avoidance. e.g.
>Those gains are not defined by U.S. laws as taxable income unless and until the billionaires sell.
This isn't some evil billionaire trick. Anyone can load up Robinhood, buy some shares, not sell and they too can achieve this 0% tax paid miracle. Mostly because the 0% is a complete misrepresentation of what's happening. It's counting the gains now, and ignoring the tax you'll be paying later. And that's true for billionaire and man on the street.
The difference comes down largely to the extent to which wealth drives options available. Buffett doesn't need to sell shares because his car broke down or to put food on the table at month end. i.e. Largely an inequality issue granting those with wealth way more options & control over actions and thus the resulting tax outcomes.
Doesn't change the outcome - working class pays disproportionately, but that imo is a wider and more serious inequality issue. One that isn't helped by noise from "evil billionaire tax dodger" articles like these
I can't find the quote now, but I heard something before along the lines of "a tax deferred is a tax avoided" as a principal for business. I'm not the wealth class, but at the time I understood the idea was if you can kick the can down the road indefinitely through a never-ending stream of tactics, you can carry on with things & never actually pay taxes. In theory you have not escaped them... but in practice you have.
Like-kind exchanges are a good example. You can defer taxes on the basis of your rental properties for your entire life (and then your children can enjoy a step up in basis)
Once you get into more complicated tax structuring then yes you can defer it for very long. The extent to which that very long becomes indefinite depends largely on the country's tax laws. Some are more open to the concept of handing down wealth through the generations than others.
Deferral opportunities are available to more normal people too. As per your rental example. Or self managed pensions in some countries etc. Or tax wrappers for stocks. Either people don't know enough or they've get their hands forced by paycheque to paycheque realities.
The only stuff really out of reach for normal people is genuine offshore stuff. The overheads on that are quite chunky so you need millions for it to make sense.
It would be a valid comparison if it was compared to the average person's wealth increase (e.g. the value of their house, 401k) vs. their income taxes.
Interesting point. Yeah, my house went up last year, and so did my 401k, and I didn't pay any tax on either one. So do people have a problem with that? If not, then it's kind of hypocrisy to have a problem with it when it happens to a billionaire, but not have a problem with it when it happens to you and me...
Hmm.. I wonder why we have problems. Well, maybe it's because we're taking half the money and giving it to the billionaire class. And no, your new tax idea won't work.
If you plan to take anything from anybody, you're going to have to use force or threats of violence. This only works against the powerless, not the powerful. That's tautological. I don't care what your 'solution' is.
However, there are plenty of organizations that easily raise money without coercion. They are called businesses. They do this by selling stock and borrowing cash. The government also does this. They print dollars and sell bonds. No difference![1]
This is not theoretical anymore. T-bill issuance has been sailing along at nearly $2T per month for the last year.[2] That's 100% of tax revenue in two months. And yet, CPI is hardly affected. No, it can't go on forever, spending must be controlled, but tax revenue is actually irrelevant. Inflation occurs when supply exceeds demand. Demand for dollars comes from economic growth and investment. Eliminate the tax burden and dollar demand will soar. The only difference is that we will no longer be subsidizing the untaxed foreign and domestic users of the dollar economy.
So just stop collecting it. It's obsolete. Stop forcing productive people to fund the ultra-rich, and let the wealth naturally accumulate to those doing the work. No 'trickle-down' economic theory needed if you don't force everybody to carry it to the top in the first place.
[1] for a tighter analogy, consider Eth as legal tender for smart contracts
This is a blind spot for Americans, but the main reason you can print so much money without a penalty, is because foreign entities that hold dollars as a reserve currency, have a vested interest in keeping the dollar stable.[1] They buy up dollars to increase their reserves and keep the dollar inflation low. America can do this because they can protect their world reserve currency status by show of force.
I not an advocate of a wealth tax, but there was something brought up in the article that is very interesting and requires more discussion.
If you own a billion dollar in stock and you want to spend $8 million this year, let's assume long term capital gains and a cost basis of 0. You sell $10 million worth of shares and are taxed 20% federally, costing you $2 million in taxes. Giving you $8 million to spend.
Or
You get a credit line $8 million, against your stock, without selling it, at a 3% interest rate. I draw down the line of credit and pay $240k per year to the bank. Before the new mortgage interest deduction was capped, you could get a credit line against your house and deduct the interest, thereby potentially only paying a portion of the $240k, because you'd get about 1/3 back in deductions; let's say $160k.
When tax professionals see that you could pay $2 million in taxes this year or $160k in interest per year, it becomes a no-brainer.
It seems like the answer is to close that different or live with the loophole.
As a tangental point, I would like to point out that the United States has ~5 trillion in tax revenue annually. From which we spend the most per capita in categories such as education, and healthcare. We are continually rated worst in the developed world in those categories per dollar spent. We don't really need any more tax revenue.
There can be an argument for redistributing the tax burden, but it's really a secondary argument to the poor value of our money once it hits the public sector.
We don't spend more per capita on education and healthcare _from federal tax money_. These costs are mostly born by wage workers paying either property taxes (again, taxing their primary means of wealth generation) or paying through their employer for health care.
Bezos claiming the child tax credit is gold. Bernie got finger-wagged in the primaries for wanting universal benefits, because others said the rich shouldn’t be able to take advantage of them too. Well, guess what, CTC is a means-tested program - millions of families have to go through BS paperwork to prove they’re deserving of it - and the richest man on earth is somehow able to claim it too! Hilarious.
Stratospheric wealth inequality is much more a consequence of monetary policy than tax policy. When the apparent goal of policymakers is to prevent large sustained drops in the value of financial assets, then those who primarily own financial assets will see their wealth effortlessly increase while the majority of the population who trade labor for money will remain in place.
It's disappointing to see how these sort of articles mix "wealth growth" (i.e. a paper gain such as the increase in the value of your house), with income tax. How easy it is to mislead people to take a side on the rich vs poor politically-driven fight.
>> If it is income, wealth tax, capital or some new form, the outcome has been clear.
In 1980 the US Govt collected $517 billion in taxes ($1.68 trillion in 2020 terms). In 2020 this number was $3.71 trillion. So then, the US Govt is collecting over 2.2x in taxes and inequality keeps getting worst.
How can it be that with more tax revenues, people are worst off?
There's an angle I'm not really seeing talked about - any wealth vehicle that allows the wealthy to defer their tax burden to a substantially later point in time creates massive incentive for those individuals to push for reduced taxation on that vehicle in the long-haul. It's one thing to want reduced taxes because it'll save you 8% on your %6M income each year, but another to want reduced taxes because it'll save you 8% on 30 years of deferred taxes.
The trick is to have enough assets so that you don't have to sell them for money. You get a loan against your assets (which in today's climate very likely has a smaller interest rate than you'll see in appreciation of your assets) to live off of, which is tax free. You pay that loan back over 10 years and each year you sell a small portion of assets to limit your tax and/or you take out other loans to help pay for previous ones.
Imagine you have $2,000,000 in liquid assets that appreciate around 6% annually on average. You borrow $100k at 3.5% over 10 years. In year one you'll pay back ~$13,500. So you sell %13,500 in assets which won't even be taxed.
In year 2 you borrow another 100k and sell some assets that lost value during this time using tax loss harvesting and/or you borrow even more money to help pay back interest and principal on older loans. You can continue this indefinitely as your compounding assets are returning much more than your loan interest.
In essence, with enough in assets you can easily create a perpetual income machine that has no or little in terms of taxable income. With clever accounting, tax loss harvesting, and smart deductions/credits you can avoid paying taxes more or less through debt-as-income.
Wealth hoarding is a source of lost productivity. I don't care how you slice it.
And this is not inherently a bad thing. People are entitled to save.
That is until the amount that's being hoarded is disproportionately large.
It's difficult to come up with an agreeably fair solution. But with decades of inaction, the problem is only growing. It's to the point where an objectively bad solution might be better than the continued inaction.
Besides wealth growth being something totally other than income, the very wealthiest people have very concentrated holdings. They want/need the associated voting power and believe in their business. So the position that accounts for basically all their wealth growth is the one they sell as little as possible.
Even besides that effect, that the dominant mechanism TFA found was ‘they don’t sell’ shows capital gains tax working as intended. Growth is reinvested to compound, which benefits everyone invested in those companies.
If the state wants to capture more wealth creation should participate in more of the risk - say by automatically buying 1% (or whatever) of every IPO conditional on the rest fully subscribing, and committing to a long (say 10+ year) lock up.
Not that there aren’t bugs to fix (step up basis), or opportunities for fraud (insufficient audit resources) , or loop holes. I’m sure they’ll find and publish plenty that won’t amount to much. But rich guys’ side bets netting -zero while they sell ~none of their primary holding isn’t shocking
My knowledge of the American tax system is limited to "I know it exists", so I hope someone can enlighten me on this:
If it's possible to use your investments as collateral for a loan, is there anything stopping you from reinvesting that into the stock market which (if your investment is large enough) will push up stock prices? This would increase the value of your position and allow you to take out additional loans, rinse repeat
I'm not suggesting "targeted" market manipulation or even malicious intent, but with enough wealth accumulated by a small group, it seems that as long as everyone has diversified their investments broadly, everytime someone invests with borrowed money it enables someone else to do the same
Am I missing something here?
Edit: the relation to the American tax system wasn't clear in the original post. My thinking is that this could create a unsustainable loop, where tax-free wealth increases are created by a circle of debt accumulation
Yes! Certain classes of loans against securities (e.g. pledged asset line[0]) cannot be used to buy more securities. Margin loans, on the other hand, can be reinvested to add leverage, but come with higher interest, more regulations, limits on borrowing relative to equity, etc.
Of course, like many things, the Very Rich can get around some of those limits viz. Bill Hwang doing (apparently) very much what you describe.
So let me understand that ProPublica is calling a "true tax rate" as the rate they paid income taxes divided by the value of wealth?
For instance I'm having a hard time reconciling this paragraph.
"In that year, Bezos, who filed his taxes jointly with his then-wife, MacKenzie Scott, reported a paltry (for him) $46 million in income, ..."
That year reported $46MM in taxes yet the article keeps claiming the Bezos earned billions a year. I believe the article is conflating reported taxable income and wealth. The US tax system is based on taxable income and wealth is a totally different asset.
I suppose the article writer is proving the difference in rate of taxable income vs wealth but that same comparison needs to be done in all other income brackets as well. Perhaps I'm missing it but I'm not seeing the "true tax rate" across different household income profiles.
I think the understanding of wealth as a huge number doesn't make a lot of sense. Basically they have enough money to buy whatever they want (which seems fair enough given their contributions) , and if/when they do they will be taxed on it. If not spent, it's just a number going up, and it doesn't take anything away from anyone else.
Even the dynastic power argument is not so strong. Bezos power comes from running a hugely important company, not money. As public companies, his children won't inherit Amazon and its power, the people who worked hard alongside him will. There's plenty of multimillionaires with no power. Money can't buy that level of power.
The companies themselves should not be allowed to dodge taxes. But the focus on their personal wealth is driven by envy IMO.
Theory: there is an equilibrium between cost of tax and cost of tax avoidance. Some of the tax avoidance costs are amortized over a broader time period than any particular tax and this requires the provision of specialist knowledge and skills. Once a tax avoidance service provider is engaged there is an incentive for the provider to go after remaining tax even if the avoidance to tax cost ratio is not as favorable as the base reason to engage the provider. The result of this is that once the avoidance to tax threshold is passed there is an larger affect on tax payments than the arithmetic amount of tax over the initial threshold.
I've asked this before but never got a proper answer. What difference would it make if the rich paid more tax?
If the top 10% of richest people had to pay twice as much tax, they'd still be the top 10% richest people, they'd just have fewer zeros in their bank accounts. But there would still be the same number of yachts and Rolls Royces to go around, so the price of those would just come down. But still only the top 10% could afford them.
Similarly, if the bottom 10% of people now have more zeros because they pay less tax, there would still be the same amount of food and low-end luxury goods to go around, so the price of those would go up.
Anyone else notice the hit list of wealthy individuals is all democrat supporting (maybe except Elon). These feels like a political hit job wrapped in a moral righteousness trying to shake the foundations of America. I really can't believe ProPublica published this - the security aspect is deeply concerning.
FWIW I don't believe the tax system is working properly etc but theres some real fallout from IRS leaks/state level security breaches at this level. How can you possibly feel safe supplying the IRS with your personal information if it was all leaked to the internet. Very unsettling.
To target ultra-wealthy individuals, I like the idea of a value-added tax (VAT). For a car for example, this would tax the steel producers, the components producers, the Ford plant, the dealership, and the consumer...but adjusting the VAT to be progressive, you can make it so the consumer doesn't bear much VAT at all, if you prefer.
Would this work in financial industries? I can see it working with products that value is added into, but for financial instruments I'm not sure how that'd operate.
Very interesting article. Reading through the comments here, it's clear a follow up article is needed to explain why Propublica's analysis is legit and accurate.
I felt the article was not very inspiring since it emphasised the tax the rich pay in relation to their wealth not their income. Which is irrelevant. Of course they are not going to spend all their wealth and pay tax on it.
>I felt the article was not very inspiring since it emphasised the tax the rich pay in relation to their wealth not their income. Which is irrelevant. Of course they are not going to spend all their wealth and pay tax on it.
They didn't though. They show how much they paid as a fraction of their increase in wealth over that period.
The real tax isn't calculated against total wealth wealth, but the increase in wealth over a fixed period.
Thanks for sharing. Give me extra motivation to learn about these and do better plans for future.
As much as people want to cry about it, nothing will change on ground. Too much money at stakes.
Also people forget these were incentives for people to start companies, because of this US is leader in global technology. China will really appreciated if you guys take away these incentive so they have most enterprise people which in turn make them Global leader in technology.
How the f did they get the documents? That seems to be part of the story that is missing. Seems pretty sketch to me to get tax documents for all of these people.
> America’s billionaires avail themselves of tax-avoidance strategies beyond the reach of ordinary people. Their wealth derives from the skyrocketing value of their assets, like stock and property. Those gains are not defined by U.S. laws as taxable income unless and until the billionaires sell.
So if we're going to tax them in years when their wealth increases, I presume we're also going to issue tax refunds when their wealth decreases?
I'm curious how many people take advantage of the "borrow money against equity to finance lifestyle" approach. At what net worth / amount of equity does this strategy start to make sense? 100k? 500k? 10M?
I've heard that wealth managers offer very competitive (sometimes zero interest!) rates because what they are getting in return is your social / professional network's business.
Taxing realized gains has the obvious advantage that’s there’s no question as to what the value was at the transaction. Unrealized gains have to be estimated/appraised; you get into minority ownership issues as well. (How much would you personally pay for 10% of a business where I control the other 90%? If most of my wealth is tied up in a business I’ve created, given that, how do I reasonably raise the cash to pay the tax on a gain that hasn’t been realized?)
Similar questions for a house that I’ve paid off prior to retiring. It doesn’t make sense to me to have people paying imputed capital gains on some number that Zillow or a government version thereof decides is right.
Taxing unrealized gains makes no sense because that money is not earned at all until a sell is made. It's all paper. Worth something in theory but the moment taxes hike on it the value will be lost as no one will invest in that due to tax burden. The most notable bug of economics is that by changing the rules you also change the incentives and in the end the desired gains are nowhere to be seen as no-one holds the assets which are taxable pre-sell.
If I am a market maker or arbitrageur and I do tens of thousands of trades a day, I owe income tax (uh, short term capital gains tax) on all of that. If I own equity in a market maker or arbitrageur that does tens of thousands of trades a day, I owe nothing until I sell some equity.
Over reasonably long time scales with reasonable assumptions about the profitability of such businesses, the vast majority of the value of the company comes from its preferential tax treatment.
Not sure why you are downvoted but the point is correct.
Maybe the trading example isn’t great. I think a better example is simply Amazon - famously not making a profit for years.
What they are doing is reinvesting and avoiding tax on the “profit” but it’s hard to distinguish reinvestment from cost and so hard to tax.
Interestingly in my country there is an R&D tax credit for businesses and they are happy now to say that software devs are doing R&D (so like… an investment) to claim that ha ha.
The other angle is using profits to do buy backs instead of paying dividends. In both cases you give back to share holders. With buy backs you both defer and minimise tax for the investors.
There's a universe of possibilities between unrestrained globalised hyper-financialised capitalism, and murdering people who wear glasses and making everybody work on agriculture a la Cambodia.
Ideas like Georgism allow us to retain the most useful features of a market economy while taming its brutal, violent, undemocratic features. That's the premise of market socialism in general.
You don't access the money directly. You access loans against the value of it, which, when well-collateralized, have very low interest rates that are more than made up for by the rise in value of the underlying asset.
You don't have to sell shares when you can take a loan out against them instead.
Yes you pay the loan back, just like you would have to save money back up if you spent it directly, if you wanted to get back to the same level of wealth.
If you spend money, the opportunity cost is whatever else you might have done with that money in the meantime.
If you just take a loan out against the value of an asset you have, the opportunity cost is only the low cost of the collateralized loan, because you continue to own the asset and benefit from all its appreciation. AND you don't have to pay taxes on the capital gain because you haven't sold the underlying asset.
I strongly recommend looking into this at whatever depth is necessary until it clicks. This is one of the main differences in mental paradigm between people who become extremely rich and people who don't. It might be counterintuitive at first, but it's a really important, beneficial principle!
You never pay it back if you are rich. Remember a 10% loan would be billions to these people. As long as there isn’t a 90% crash then no liquidation.
It’s not like a middle class refinancing their house to buy a Ferrari and then getting into trouble when they lose their job.
Also: Almost no interest.
No tax (the tax is perpetually deferred, probably beyond death down the generations, although not sure in the US. There are trusts for this in other countries)
$4bn in earnings and $400bn in wealth, it’s more a case of what is this benefit you need with billions in cash?
Is there an apartment in New York whose rent you can’t afford?
What is for sale as a private person that’s worth cashing in the billions and paying tax to buy? You already have a business you can use to turn that into more money anyway which is probably the most satisfying game.
I don't get the stuff about borrowing. I think I'm missing something.
It seems too easy: you borrow money against your assets and then use the borrowed money to finance your life, and then pay down the loan with pre-tax money? Is it really that simple to avoid paying taxes? How do they pay down the loan with pre-tax money?
They pay down the loan (which will have some hilariously low interest rate because they're good for it) with income, and then - to rub salt in the wound - they get to write off the interest paid on their income taxes.
These guys do have substantial incomes, but through "charitable donations" (to charities they control) and interest paid, they often pay little or no income tax on it.
why do these "how much they really pay" exposés always stop short of the full comprehension of taxes paid by these business owners?
they conflate "wealth as resource allocation" (business ownership) with "wealth as consumption" (personal individual gain) to show that these people aren't paying their "fair share."
in this case, propublica has the chart showing the "true tax rate" by conflating the two different kinds of wealth.
shouldn't the "true tax rate" account the payroll taxes and business taxes paid by these businesses? if we are going to allocate the ownership of business as part of the wealth calculation, then shouldn't we also allocate the taxes paid by these businesses to the individuals as well?
The article is such click bait and so disingenuous...disgusting how they infer something is amiss, and that we should be alarmed. The info could easily have been presented in a much more authentic and positive light. The author is obviously an ahole.
How about adjusting the tax rate that is paid on income based on wealth? This would absolutely complicate the tax code for wealthy individuals, but it would certainly increase the tax paid by the wealthy on the income that they do have.
The income tax is a massive violation of privacy rights. You are forced, under pain of imprisonment to disclose this intimate information, only for it to be leaked to journalists who disclose it.
3. I don't see a model on how changing tax policy will fix anything. My stance is we need to give people Intellectual Freedom, that is, the right to reshare ideas, and repeal Intellectual Slavery laws (copyrights and patents), which are both chains on the poor and gravity for the rich.
4. That being said, it would be nice if we removed unnecessary complexity from the tax system. I have a way.
wow, only one top-level comment on the first page of comments... Maybe HN should load all comments minimized by default, and only load them when you expend them.
I'm aware that there are several enhancements to comments display and especially large-thread display, in the works. Yesterday's load-induced outages were probably related to this.
More graceful presentation of large threads is something HN could improve. It's a hard-ish problem, though there've been some elegant solutions elsewhere.
Kuro5hin progressively auto-collapsed threads as size increased. K5 itself is dead, though the Scoop CMS it ran on still has a site up and the behaviour can be seen here: http://www.scoopdev.org/main (Go to a discussion, toggle the display mode between Threaded, Nested, Minimal, Flat, Flat Unthreaded, at the bottom of the page, JS required.)
On Reddit, the default UI accepts a "?depth=<count>" argument, which can make large threads more readable. Reddit Enhancement Suite has a "hide all child comments" feature.
Seconded about loading all the comments. Or at least change the color of the “more” instead of “reply”, so that you can quickly see from toplevel where the additional comments are. But it’s a tricky problem.
Feels like the real interesting figure is that average americans seem to have ALL OF THEIR INCOME GROWTH taxed away:
> It’s a completely different picture for middle-class Americans, for example, wage earners in their early 40s who have amassed a typical amount of wealth for people their age. From 2014 to 2018, such households saw their net worth expand by about $65,000 after taxes on average, mostly due to the rise in value of their homes. But because the vast bulk of their earnings were salaries, their tax bills were almost as much, nearly $62,000, over that five-year period.
I also don't understand how wealth and income can be conflated like this. We have an income tax, so, no duh, we tax income, not wealth. Criticizing the income tax because it doesn't tax wealth is like criticizing sales tax because it doesn't tax property values. They aren't the same.
I don't get how ProPublica can take such a stance. Either it's intentional, which is bad, or it's unintentional, which is even worse?
There's lot of detail here. I wasn't really surprised at anything. Of course this is going to be a game of whack-a-mole but arguing they'll just avoid it in the end is no reason not to try.
I'd focus on three areas to begin with:
1. Property taxes. They're simply too low on ultra high end property. A $100m condo in Manhattan only pays about 10-14x the property tax that a $1m condo does. Additionally, property taxes should be significantly higher if the property is owned by a corporation/LLC;
2. Debt. In the era of zero interest rates, the ultra-rich borrow money at near zero cost rather than repatriate money they would then have to pay taxes on. The worst case here is that they're deferring taxes indefinitely. This should apply to companies too.
3. Withholding taxes. Pretty much any asset sale not associated with an SSN should have taxes withheld at source by the holding institution. We have some of this already. We need more of it.
One final point about dividends. This system actually needs to be reformed and it's bizarre to me how easy this is and that no one in America seems to see it.
Currently, if a company makes a profit they pay corporate taxes on that profit. If they then pay a dividend it counts as income and that person then pays taxes on it again. This particularly hurts smaller businesses and was a big motivation for the complicated passthrough rules introduced in the Trump tax "cuts".
In Australia, we have a system of franking credits. IIRC the corporate tax rate is 30%. If a company makes a profit of $10,000 they pay $3,000 in taxes. The company then decides to distribute those profits to shareholders as a dividend. So if you own 10% of that company you receive $700 as a dividend. But you also get a tax credit of $300 (being 10% of the $3,000).
That means that when you do your annual personal return, if your marginal tax rate is <30% you'll get a partial refund. If it's >30% you'll need to pay a little more.
These are called "franking credits" and in this example the dividend is "fully franked". There are partially franked and unfranked dividends but they are uncommon.
This completely solves the double taxation of dividends problems and I don't understand why we're doing crap like passthrough entity allowances to work around it.
Does this author understand capital gains? It seems they are conflating unsold equity paper value vs sold. Ie that the individuals gained a lot of money on paper but haven’t sold it and this haven’t yet paid taxs.
It seems very inflammatory not to mention the very shady nature of accessing illegally irs documents.
This is why the top income tax bracket should be taxed at the rate of 70% or thereabouts. Also, increasing the corporate tax rate would capture some of the gains which currently go to increases in stock valuation.
The thing that ticks me of most about this article is that the invented "True tax rate" obscures the fact that Michael Bloomberg had an effective income tax of 2% in the period they are talking about.
My point being the selected group of people is already paying effective income taxes at rates lower than a lot of people you don't need to make shit up to show the system is busted.
Most people can do this sort of tricks. Come and live offshore, some countries in EU have real taxation 5%-20% on income between 50k-1M/year. Absolutely legal, with all obligatory contributions like social and health insurance.
There is no crime, goverment is not bullying you, and rent is 600 euro/month. You can really have a family on single income, if you want to...
Not true, there is an exception for income under 80k/year. Over that person can operate via LLC with dividends etc. Most people renounce because it is difficult and frustrating to deal with US tax system.
Can you name a few such countries. I live in the EU, but when you have a business in my country you are always breaking some rules no matter what, and a lot is up to the discretion of the tax people.
But a lot of details are missing in them. Countries like Romania, Ukraine and Georgia have single-digit % tax for sole proprietors, but IIUC it applies on revenue, not income.
Estonia has 0% corporate tax, but 20% on dividends, which should go well with technique discussed in the OP.
For self employed devs Slovenia has 80% expense flat rate, so final tax is like 10% under 100k with zero administration. Bulgaria has LLCs with 10% income tax. If you have to buy property to get residency, there is Greece, Cyprus, Portugal...
Every generation there's a story like this you live long enough and you just roll your eyes when you see the same issues crop up like every 20 years but nothing ever happens
Anyone looking at these numbers should remember that % of income tax number is a flat one, linear, meaning that 20% + 20% = 40% etc. But top % of earners is exponential, meaning that second percentile of earners doesn't equal first percentile, it is actually several orders of magnitude different.
These figures are meaningless without also stating what % of income the top x% earned. for example if the top 1% earned 99% of all income then paying 24% of all tax doesn't look so good.
Those numbers are ridiculous if you think about them for a second. The bottom earners probably have zero excess earnings but somehow pay similar tax per dollar earned as the top 1% earners who have pretty much only excess earnings, even when not accounting for inflated lifestyle inefficiencies. That is just insane.
> The bottom earners probably have zero excess earnings but somehow pay similar tax per dollar earned as the top 1% earners who have pretty much only excess earnings, even when not accounting for inflated lifestyle inefficiencies.
Again, this is in the source I linked, and if by similar you mean, differing by 14.4%, then sure.
> “The release of a private citizen’s tax returns should raise real privacy concerns regardless of political affiliation or views on tax policy. In the United States no private citizen should fear the illegal release of their taxes."
The Financial Times just put out an article on the front page on FT.com stating that the USA is going to investigate the leak of the records. Michael Bloomberg is angry, and he says that he is going to use "every resource possible" (loosely quoted) to figure out who leaked this information.
TL;DR: unrealised capital gains aren’t income, so they’re not subject to income tax.
Also this article is 100% stupid. There’s a lot of proposals about wealth taxes, which have their problems, but apparently the author of this article expects capital owners to be taxed in income as a share of the growth of the value of their assets... should they get money back when/if the markets crash? This is a completely unrealistic proposal.
The issue is quite complicated. I think a common denominator is to have a single tax that gets taxed once, which is pretty much how it works in Germany but I guess similarly in most OECD countries. (At the same time there are calls for a tax per transaction like the Tobin tax.) But what happens is that "traditionally" business owners buy things effectively tax-free (or at 50% less taxes) through their companies that they use at home. I think this is now even widened towards self-employed or even just more or less regular remote employees who work for a company in a different country. Practically all companies that I recently talked to that do remote in a different country would require me to found a separate company.
As mentioned elsewhere, if you are in a higher income segment (to be realistic even a medium one suffices) you have access to a proportionally much wider range of tax discounts.
> should they get money back when/if the markets crash? This is a completely unrealistic proposal.
Still it hits a nerve. If you happen to be one of the upper 0.1% you are likely to have (not very profitable) assets like real estate that survive practically any market crash. For most people it makes no sense at all to invest in such assets unless you want to go ultra low risk and accept even loosing money over time while prevent a total loss - even without the tax. In fact in London many completely overpriced real estate objects are known to not be inhabited and bought by very wealthy people that just want to secure their money. Unfortunately this practice drives prices up even more and damages the market.
> the author of this article expects capital owners to be taxed in income as a share of the growth of the value of their assets... should they get money back when/if the markets crash?
Sure, and people paying inheritance taxes should get their money back when they produce new heirs.
Extremely disappointed to see Propublica (typically a place of important journalism) resort to clickbait headlines and disingenuous charts like this.
Here’s the TL;DR of main reason why Bezos, Musk, etc don’t pay taxes:
Unrealized capital gains.
This is not some evil nefarious “tax avoidance” scheme. When you create a business, and the entire world starts wanting to buy your products, and the business becomes extremely valuable (sometimes temporarily since the market is arguably in bubble territory)...AND you don’t sell any of that ownership stake, no, you obviously don’t have to pay taxes on that theoretical increase in wealth.
You haven’t sold, thus the gains aren’t even real. Tesla stock could drop by 90% next week and so would Musk’s wealth.
The fact that propublica is including unrealized gains in these charts completely undermines the reputation they once had for me.
As they point out in the article though, its possible for them to take out very substantial loans using that stock as collateral, effectively giving them a way of realising those gains without having to actually sell the stock and pay capital gains tax on it. They even get to offset the interest on those loans for what income tax they do pay.
Then the author should have written an article focusing on the stupidity of allowing loan interest deductions, not charts of unrealized capital gains trying to conflate it with income.
Doesn't matter if you take out loans against those gains, they will be taxed eventually when sold.
As many poster already pointed out the article is absolute rubbish due to conflation of wealth gain with income. Would love to get my hands on the actual IRS data though. Any ideas?
1. Capital Gain taxes are delayed until you actually sell the stock.
2. Corporate taxes are being reduced because companies are moving profits to foreign jurisdictions.
3. Estate taxes & income taxes are being avoided by the creation of charitable foundations.
The 2nd and 3rd points are very valid, and I wish the author had spent more time on them. Unfortunately instead, the author spends much more time on point 1, conflating wealth with income, and avoiding the obvious argument that capital gains are eventually taxed - the rich are not escaping that.
...unless point 3 (foundation) occurs. And that should be the main story.
Squabbling over a wealth tax is not useful. The real issue is that the super rich create these personal "foundations" that act as never-taxed income holes, and then use them as personal and political tools.
In total, there's nothing very revealing about this article. It's everything we've already known. IMO, we need to curb foreign tax havens, and severely limit tax exemptions for charitable donations.
A more interesting question is how did ProPublica get a copy of Jeff Bezos' tax returns. Seems like a leak at the IRS?