538 had almost a 1 in 3 chance that Trump won in their final prediction before t...

		nsgoetz on Dec 18, 2018 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Why we should care about the Nate Silver vs. Nassi... 538 had almost a 1 in 3 chance that Trump won in their final prediction before the election. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/